--- title: "Apocalypse case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Apocalypse ($34.03) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 7 items with odds, observed 87.41% over 1,018 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/apocalypse rendered: 2026-11-11T19:59Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Apocalypse](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/apocalypse) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Apocalypse A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/apocalypse?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/apocalypse?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/apocalypse) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/apocalypse?window=all) Price · $34.03 · 52.35 gems Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $30.62 from 7 items Observed RTP, 30d · 87.41% · 1,018 openings, odds method Variance · 4.5× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 17 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 80.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 66.07% ±40.80 104 openings 7 days · 88.56% ±14.65 806 openings 30 days · 87.41% ±13.04 1,018 openings since tracking started · 87.41% ±13.04 1,018 openings 24.5% 66.0% 107.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/apocalypse?window=24h) | 104 | 66.07% ±40.8 | −1.1σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/apocalypse?window=7d) | 806 | 88.56% ±14.7 | −0.2σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/apocalypse) | 1,018 | 87.41% ±13.0 | −0.4σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/apocalypse?window=all) | 1,018 | 87.41% ±13.0 | −0.4σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 7 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,042 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [StatTrak™ AWP \| Containment Breach (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-containment-breach-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $446 686 gems | 29.1% | 18 | 20.8 | 0.86× | | [AWP \| Containment Breach (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-containment-breach-factory-new) | 1 in 25 | $202 310 gems | 26.3% | 43 | 41.7 | 1.03× | | [AWP \| Containment Breach (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-containment-breach-minimal-wear) | 1 in 25 | $79.18 122 gems | 10.3% | 39 | 41.7 | 0.94× | | [P250 \| Nuclear Threat (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-nuclear-threat-minimal-wear) | 10.0% | $46.62 71.72 gems | 15.2% | 112 | 104.2 | 1.07× | | [Tec-9 \| Nuclear Threat (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-nuclear-threat-field-tested) | 20.0% | $19.30 29.69 gems | 12.6% | 207 | 208.4 | 0.99× | | [MAC-10 \| Nuclear Garden (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-nuclear-garden-factory-new) | 30.0% | $5.36 8.24 gems | 5.2% | 318 | 312.6 | 1.02× | | [Negev \| Nuclear Waste (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-nuclear-waste-factory-new) | 30.0% | $1.16 1.78 gems | 1.1% | 305 | 312.6 | 0.98× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 17:55 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=apocalypse) [MAC-10 | Nuclear Garden (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-nuclear-garden-factory-new) Hidden $34.03 52.35 gems $5.36 8.24 gems 0.16x 2026-11-11 19:31 UTC [MAC-10 | Nuclear Garden (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-nuclear-garden-factory-new) Hidden $34.03 52.35 gems $5.36 8.24 gems 0.16x 2026-11-11 19:31 UTC [Negev | Nuclear Waste (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-nuclear-waste-factory-new) Hidden $34.03 52.35 gems $1.16 1.78 gems 0.03x 2026-11-11 19:31 UTC [Tec-9 | Nuclear Threat (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-nuclear-threat-field-tested) Hidden $34.03 52.35 gems $19.30 29.69 gems 0.57x 2026-11-11 19:31 UTC [Negev | Nuclear Waste (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-nuclear-waste-factory-new) Hidden $34.03 52.35 gems $1.16 1.78 gems 0.03x 2026-11-11 19:31 UTC [P250 | Nuclear Threat (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-nuclear-threat-minimal-wear) [https://kick.com/waxumfriendly](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/https%3A%2F%2Fkick.com%2Fwaxumfriendly) $34.03 52.35 gems $46.62 71.72 gems 1.37x 2026-11-11 19:31 UTC [Negev | Nuclear Waste (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-nuclear-waste-factory-new) Hidden $34.03 52.35 gems $1.16 1.78 gems 0.03x 2026-11-11 09:47 UTC [MAC-10 | Nuclear Garden (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-nuclear-garden-factory-new) Hidden $34.03 52.35 gems $5.36 8.24 gems 0.16x 2026-11-11 09:47 UTC [Tec-9 | Nuclear Threat (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-nuclear-threat-field-tested) Hidden $34.03 52.35 gems $19.30 29.69 gems 0.57x 2026-11-11 09:47 UTC [Negev | Nuclear Waste (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-nuclear-waste-factory-new) Hidden $34.03 52.35 gems $1.16 1.78 gems 0.03x 2026-11-11 09:47 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $34.03 | 90.00% | 7 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 10.0% restricted 10.0% #8847ff 20.0% mil spec 30.0% industrial 30.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt