--- title: "Arctic Pulse Case case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Arctic Pulse Case ($38.05) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 10 items with odds, observed 67.43% over 823 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/arctic-pulse-case rendered: 2026-11-11T13:55Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Arctic Pulse Case](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/arctic-pulse-case) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Arctic Pulse Case A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/arctic-pulse-case?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/arctic-pulse-case?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/arctic-pulse-case) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/arctic-pulse-case?window=all) Price · $38.05 · 58.54 gems Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $34.25 from 10 items Observed RTP, 30d · 67.43% · 823 openings, odds method Variance · 18.2× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 50 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 95.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 148 openings · below min 7 days · 71.00% ±32.76 651 openings 30 days · 67.43% ±29.14 823 openings since tracking started · 67.43% ±29.14 823 openings 23.0% 92.3% 161.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/arctic-pulse-case?window=24h) | 148 | 92.11% ±68.7 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/arctic-pulse-case?window=7d) | 651 | 71.00% ±32.8 | −1.1σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/arctic-pulse-case) | 823 | 67.43% ±29.1 | −1.5σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/arctic-pulse-case?window=all) | 823 | 67.43% ±29.1 | −1.5σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 10 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 832 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AWP \| Medusa (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-medusa-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $3,200 4,922 gems | 9.3% | 0 | 0.8 | — | | [M4A4 \| Poseidon (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poseidon-factory-new) | 1 in 500 | $2,057 3,164 gems | 12.0% | 0 | 1.7 | 0.00× | | [★ Karambit \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 500 | $1,242 1,910 gems | 7.3% | 1 | 1.7 | 0.60× | | [M4A1-S \| Blue Phosphor (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-blue-phosphor-factory-new) | 1 in 67 | $553 851 gems | 24.2% | 11 | 12.5 | 0.88× | | [P250 \| Whiteout (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-whiteout-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $174 267 gems | 15.2% | 28 | 25.0 | 1.12× | | [FAMAS \| Mecha Industries (Factory New) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-mecha-industries-factory-new) | 10.0% | $37.69 57.99 gems | 11.0% | 83 | 83.2 | 1.00× | | [USP-S \| Blueprint (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-blueprint-factory-new) | 15.0% | $20.84 32.06 gems | 9.1% | 120 | 124.8 | 0.96× | | [AK-47 \| Ice Coaled (Factory New) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-ice-coaled-factory-new) | 15.0% | $10.36 15.94 gems | 4.5% | 126 | 124.8 | 1.01× | | [AWP \| Ice Coaled (Well-Worn) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-ice-coaled-well-worn) | 15.0% | $5.92 9.1 gems | 2.6% | 123 | 124.8 | 0.99× | | [MP9 \| Airlock (Minimal Wear) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-airlock-minimal-wear) | 40.0% | $4.02 6.18 gems | 4.7% | 340 | 332.8 | 1.02× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Karambit | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-gamma-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $38.05 58.54 gems $1,242 1,910 gems 32.63x 2026-11-05 18:20 UTC [M4A1-S | Blue Phosphor (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-blue-phosphor-factory-new) Hidden $38.05 58.54 gems $553 851 gems 14.53x 2026-11-11 09:43 UTC [M4A1-S | Blue Phosphor (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-blue-phosphor-factory-new) Hidden $38.05 58.54 gems $553 851 gems 14.53x 2026-11-11 09:39 UTC [M4A1-S | Blue Phosphor (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-blue-phosphor-factory-new) Hidden $38.05 58.54 gems $553 851 gems 14.53x 2026-11-11 04:42 UTC [M4A1-S | Blue Phosphor (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-blue-phosphor-factory-new) Hidden $38.05 58.54 gems $553 851 gems 14.53x 2026-11-10 22:10 UTC [M4A1-S | Blue Phosphor (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-blue-phosphor-factory-new) Hidden $38.05 58.54 gems $553 851 gems 14.53x 2026-11-10 21:51 UTC [M4A1-S | Blue Phosphor (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-blue-phosphor-factory-new) Hidden $38.05 58.54 gems $553 851 gems 14.53x 2026-11-10 07:53 UTC [M4A1-S | Blue Phosphor (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-blue-phosphor-factory-new) Hidden $38.05 58.54 gems $553 851 gems 14.53x 2026-11-10 06:57 UTC [M4A1-S | Blue Phosphor (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-blue-phosphor-factory-new) Hidden $38.05 58.54 gems $553 851 gems 14.53x 2026-11-09 14:32 UTC [M4A1-S | Blue Phosphor (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-blue-phosphor-factory-new) Hidden $38.05 58.54 gems $553 851 gems 14.53x 2026-11-08 15:37 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=arctic-pulse-case) [MP9 | Airlock (Minimal Wear) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-airlock-minimal-wear) Hidden $38.05 58.54 gems $4.02 6.18 gems 0.11x 2026-11-11 09:58 UTC [AK-47 | Ice Coaled (Factory New) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-ice-coaled-factory-new) Hidden $38.05 58.54 gems $10.36 15.94 gems 0.27x 2026-11-11 09:58 UTC [MP9 | Airlock (Minimal Wear) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-airlock-minimal-wear) Hidden $38.05 58.54 gems $4.02 6.18 gems 0.11x 2026-11-11 09:58 UTC [AK-47 | Ice Coaled (Factory New) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-ice-coaled-factory-new) Hidden $38.05 58.54 gems $10.36 15.94 gems 0.27x 2026-11-11 09:58 UTC [USP-S | Blueprint (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-blueprint-factory-new) Hidden $38.05 58.54 gems $20.84 32.06 gems 0.55x 2026-11-11 09:58 UTC [FAMAS | Mecha Industries (Factory New) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-mecha-industries-factory-new) Hidden $38.05 58.54 gems $37.69 57.99 gems 0.99x 2026-11-11 09:58 UTC [AWP | Ice Coaled (Well-Worn) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-ice-coaled-well-worn) Hidden $38.05 58.54 gems $5.92 9.1 gems 0.16x 2026-11-11 09:54 UTC [MP9 | Airlock (Minimal Wear) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-airlock-minimal-wear) Hidden $38.05 58.54 gems $4.02 6.18 gems 0.11x 2026-11-11 09:54 UTC [MP9 | Airlock (Minimal Wear) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-airlock-minimal-wear) Hidden $38.05 58.54 gems $4.02 6.18 gems 0.11x 2026-11-11 09:54 UTC [AK-47 | Ice Coaled (Factory New) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-ice-coaled-factory-new) Hidden $38.05 58.54 gems $10.36 15.94 gems 0.27x 2026-11-11 09:54 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $38.05 | 90.00% | 10 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 0.1% classified 1.7% #ffd700 0.2% mil spec 18.0% Legendary 25.0% uncommon 15.0% #d32ee6 40.0% best hit $1,242 (32.63x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt