--- title: "Armory case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Armory ($30.10) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.99% from 12 items with odds, observed 68.87% over 410 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/armory rendered: 2026-11-11T13:36Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Armory](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/armory) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Armory A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/armory?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/armory?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/armory) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/armory?window=all) Price · $30.10 · 46.31 gems Advertised RTP · 89.99% · EV $27.09 from 12 items Observed RTP, 30d · 68.87% · 410 openings, odds method Variance · 6.9× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 18 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 79.5% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 53 openings · below min 7 days · 64.69% ±27.07 360 openings 30 days · 68.87% ±25.37 410 openings since tracking started · 68.87% ±25.37 410 openings -0.5% 68.8% 138.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/armory?window=24h) | 53 | 66.99% ±70.6 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/armory?window=7d) | 360 | 64.69% ±27.1 | −1.8σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/armory) | 410 | 68.87% ±25.4 | −1.6σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/armory?window=all) | 410 | 68.87% ±25.4 | −1.6σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 448 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AK-47 \| B the Monster (Factory New) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-b-the-monster-factory-new) | 1 in 133 | $763 1,174 gems | 21.1% | 1 | 3.4 | 0.30× | | [M4A1-S \| Fade (Factory New) weapon · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 80 | $311 479 gems | 14.4% | 2 | 5.6 | 0.36× | | [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Gold Toof (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-gold-toof-factory-new) | 1 in 67 | $210 323 gems | 11.6% | 4 | 6.7 | 0.60× | | [M4A1-S \| Vaporwave (Minimal Wear) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-vaporwave-minimal-wear) | 1 in 50 | $124 191 gems | 9.1% | 12 | 9.0 | 1.34× | | [Zeus x27 \| Dragon Snore (Minimal Wear) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeus-x27-dragon-snore-minimal-wear) | 1 in 40 | $82.02 126 gems | 7.6% | 7 | 11.2 | 0.63× | | [Galil AR \| Rainbow Spoon (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-rainbow-spoon-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $40.94 62.98 gems | 7.6% | 27 | 22.4 | 1.21× | | [Glock-18 \| AXIA (Field-Tested) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-axia-field-tested) | 1 in 13 | $32.25 49.62 gems | 8.9% | 28 | 33.6 | 0.83× | | [AUG \| Lil' Pig (Field-Tested) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-lil-pig-field-tested) | 10.0% | $23.94 36.83 gems | 8.8% | 59 | 44.8 | 1.32× | | [Desert Eagle \| Heat Treated (Factory New) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-heat-treated-factory-new) | 12.5% | $11.47 17.65 gems | 5.3% | 55 | 56.0 | 0.98× | | [UMP-45 \| Crimson Foil (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-crimson-foil-factory-new) | 15.0% | $4.96 7.63 gems | 2.7% | 66 | 67.2 | 0.98× | | [MP9 \| Arctic Tri-Tone (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-arctic-tri-tone-field-tested) | 17.0% | $2.60 4 gems | 1.6% | 73 | 76.2 | 0.96× | | [Dual Berettas \| Hydro Strike (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-hydro-strike-field-tested) | 25.0% | $1.27 1.95 gems | 1.2% | 114 | 112.0 | 1.02× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [AK-47 | B the Monster (Factory New) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-b-the-monster-factory-new) Hidden $30.10 46.31 gems $763 1,174 gems 25.36x 2026-11-03 20:04 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=armory) [Dual Berettas | Hydro Strike (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-hydro-strike-field-tested) Hidden $30.10 46.31 gems $1.27 1.95 gems 0.04x 2026-11-11 13:06 UTC [UMP-45 | Crimson Foil (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-crimson-foil-factory-new) Hidden $30.10 46.31 gems $4.96 7.63 gems 0.16x 2026-11-11 13:06 UTC [MP9 | Arctic Tri-Tone (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-arctic-tri-tone-field-tested) Hidden $30.10 46.31 gems $2.60 4 gems 0.09x 2026-11-11 13:06 UTC [Dual Berettas | Hydro Strike (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-hydro-strike-field-tested) [\*Ajooo\*](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/*Ajooo*-269066) $30.10 46.31 gems $1.27 1.95 gems 0.04x 2026-11-11 13:06 UTC [Galil AR | Rainbow Spoon (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-rainbow-spoon-factory-new) Hidden $30.10 46.31 gems $40.94 62.98 gems 1.36x 2026-11-11 09:46 UTC [Dual Berettas | Hydro Strike (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-hydro-strike-field-tested) Hidden $30.10 46.31 gems $1.27 1.95 gems 0.04x 2026-11-11 09:46 UTC [MP9 | Arctic Tri-Tone (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-arctic-tri-tone-field-tested) Hidden $30.10 46.31 gems $2.60 4 gems 0.09x 2026-11-11 09:46 UTC [M4A1-S | Vaporwave (Minimal Wear) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-vaporwave-minimal-wear) Hidden $30.10 46.31 gems $124 191 gems 4.11x 2026-11-11 09:46 UTC [AUG | Lil' Pig (Field-Tested) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-lil-pig-field-tested) Hidden $30.10 46.31 gems $23.94 36.83 gems 0.80x 2026-11-11 09:46 UTC [Dual Berettas | Hydro Strike (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-hydro-strike-field-tested) [duccster](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/duccster) $30.10 46.31 gems $1.27 1.95 gems 0.04x 2026-11-11 09:46 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 01:59 UTC | $30.10 | 89.99% | 12 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed legendary 0.8% epic 1.3% Ancient 1.5% rare 17.0% uncommon 10.0% pink 12.5% violet 57.0% best hit $763 (25.36x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.99 on average: an expected loss of $10.01 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt