--- title: "Asiimov Dream case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Asiimov Dream ($5.88) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.93% from 7 items with odds, observed 90.63% over 6,817 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/asiimov-dream rendered: 2026-11-12T00:43Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Asiimov Dream](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/asiimov-dream) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Asiimov Dream A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/asiimov-dream?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/asiimov-dream?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/asiimov-dream) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/asiimov-dream?window=all) Price · $5.88 · 9.05 gems Advertised RTP · 89.93% · EV $5.29 from 7 items Observed RTP, 30d · 90.63% · 6,817 openings, odds method Variance · 11.1× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 50 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 92.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 60.34% ±24.83 690 openings 7 days · 85.45% ±8.76 5,539 openings 30 days · 90.63% ±7.90 6,817 openings since tracking started · 90.63% ±7.90 6,817 openings 35.0% 67.0% 99.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/asiimov-dream?window=24h) | 690 | 60.34% ±24.8 | −2.3σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/asiimov-dream?window=7d) | 5,539 | 85.45% ±8.76 | −1.0σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/asiimov-dream) | 6,817 | 90.63% ±7.90 | +0.2σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/asiimov-dream?window=all) | 6,817 | 90.63% ±7.90 | +0.2σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 7 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 6,877 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Asiimov (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-asiimov-well-worn) | 1 in 50 | $139 215 gems | 52.7% | 139 | 137.5 | 1.01× | | [AK-47 \| Bloodsport (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-bloodsport-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $35.49 54.6 gems | 6.7% | 67 | 68.8 | 0.97× | | [AWP \| Redline (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-redline-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $17.43 26.81 gems | 3.3% | 60 | 68.8 | 0.87× | | [MAC-10 \| Fade (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 25 | $9.51 14.63 gems | 7.2% | 299 | 275.1 | 1.09× | | [Desert Eagle \| Kumicho Dragon (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-kumicho-dragon-battle-scarred) | 1 in 14 | $3.93 6.05 gems | 5.2% | 508 | 481.4 | 1.06× | | [Glock-18 \| Water Elemental (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-water-elemental-field-tested) | 35.0% | $1.71 2.63 gems | 11.3% | 2,389 | 2406.9 | 0.99× | | [P250 \| Asiimov (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-asiimov-well-worn) | 50.0% | $1.44 2.21 gems | 13.6% | 3,415 | 3438.5 | 0.99× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 12 Nov, 00:07 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=asiimov-dream) [Glock-18 | Water Elemental (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-water-elemental-field-tested) Hidden $5.88 9.05 gems $1.71 2.63 gems 0.29x 2026-11-12 00:12 UTC [P250 | Asiimov (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-asiimov-well-worn) Hidden $5.88 9.05 gems $1.44 2.21 gems 0.24x 2026-11-12 00:12 UTC [P250 | Asiimov (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-asiimov-well-worn) [Anne Frank](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Anne%20Frank) $5.88 9.05 gems $1.44 2.21 gems 0.24x 2026-11-12 00:12 UTC [P250 | Asiimov (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-asiimov-well-worn) Hidden $5.88 9.05 gems $1.44 2.21 gems 0.24x 2026-11-12 00:10 UTC [MAC-10 | Fade (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-fade-factory-new) Hidden $5.88 9.05 gems $9.51 14.63 gems 1.62x 2026-11-12 00:10 UTC [Glock-18 | Water Elemental (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-water-elemental-field-tested) [Anne Frank](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Anne%20Frank) $5.88 9.05 gems $1.71 2.63 gems 0.29x 2026-11-12 00:10 UTC [Glock-18 | Water Elemental (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-water-elemental-field-tested) Hidden $5.88 9.05 gems $1.71 2.63 gems 0.29x 2026-11-12 00:10 UTC [P250 | Asiimov (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-asiimov-well-worn) Hidden $5.88 9.05 gems $1.44 2.21 gems 0.24x 2026-11-12 00:10 UTC [P250 | Asiimov (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-asiimov-well-worn) [Anne Frank](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Anne%20Frank) $5.88 9.05 gems $1.44 2.21 gems 0.24x 2026-11-12 00:10 UTC [Glock-18 | Water Elemental (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-water-elemental-field-tested) Hidden $5.88 9.05 gems $1.71 2.63 gems 0.29x 2026-11-12 00:10 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $5.88 | 89.93% | 7 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 3.0% classified 93.0% mil spec 4.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.93 on average: an expected loss of $10.07 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt