--- title: "Atlantis case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Atlantis ($4,628.85) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 7 items with odds, observed 26.34% over 6 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/atlantis rendered: 2026-11-11T13:24Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Atlantis](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/atlantis) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Atlantis A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/atlantis?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/atlantis?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/atlantis) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/atlantis?window=all) Price · $4,628.85 · 7,121 gems Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $4,165.92 from 7 items Observed RTP, 30d · 26.34% · 6 openings, odds method Variance · 4.8× · of price², per opening Tail share · 10.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 80.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 30 days · 6 openings · below min since tracking started · 6 openings · below min -0.5% 100.8% 202.0% **Small sample.** 6 openings and 0.6 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/atlantis?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/atlantis?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/atlantis) | 6 | 26.34% ±175.2 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/atlantis?window=all) | 6 | 26.34% ±175.2 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 7 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 6 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Sticker \| Titan (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-titan-holo-katowice-2014) | 10.0% | $34.1K 52,490 gems | 81.9% | 0 | 0.6 | — | | [AWP \| Gungnir (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-factory-new) | 10.0% | $6,003 9,235 gems | 14.4% | 1 | 0.6 | — | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Amphibious (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-amphibious-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $1,238 1,905 gems | 1.5% | 1 | 0.3 | — | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Bright Water (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-bright-water-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $704 1,084 gems | 0.8% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [★ Karambit \| Bright Water (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-bright-water-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $473 727 gems | 0.6% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [AK-47 \| Vulcan (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-vulcan-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $441 678 gems | 0.5% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [USP-S \| Blueprint (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-blueprint-factory-new) | 60.0% | $18.38 28.28 gems | 0.3% | 4 | 3.6 | 1.11× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [AWP | Gungnir (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-factory-new) Hidden $4,629 7,121 gems $6,003 9,235 gems 1.30x 2026-11-03 22:53 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Amphibious (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-amphibious-minimal-wear) Hidden $4,629 7,121 gems $1,238 1,905 gems 0.27x 2026-11-03 22:53 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=atlantis) **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 01:59 UTC | $4,629 | 90.00% | 7 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed legendary 10.0% covert 25.0% extraordinary 5.0% mil spec 60.0% best hit $6,003 (1.30x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt