--- title: "Avalanche case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Avalanche ($60.11) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 7 items with odds, observed 100.49% over 228 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/avalanche rendered: 2026-11-11T13:10Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Avalanche](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/avalanche) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Avalanche A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/avalanche?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/avalanche?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/avalanche) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/avalanche?window=all) Price · $60.11 · 92.48 gems Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $54.10 from 7 items Observed RTP, 30d · 100.49% · 228 openings, odds method Variance · 2.6× · of price², per opening Tail share · 20.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 80.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 12 openings · below min 7 days · 105.02% ±21.74 209 openings 30 days · 100.49% ±20.81 228 openings since tracking started · 100.49% ±20.81 228 openings -0.5% 66.8% 134.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/avalanche?window=24h) | 12 | 42.83% ±90.7 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/avalanche?window=7d) | 209 | 105.02% ±21.7 | +1.4σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/avalanche) | 228 | 100.49% ±20.8 | +1.0σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/avalanche?window=all) | 228 | 100.49% ±20.8 | +1.0σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 7 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 228 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Stiletto Knife \| Blue Steel (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-blue-steel-factory-new) | 20.0% | $246 379 gems | 91.0% | 52 | 45.6 | 1.14× | | [AK-47 \| Frontside Misty (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-frontside-misty-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $34.60 53.23 gems | 3.2% | 10 | 11.4 | 0.88× | | [P2000 \| Silver (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-silver-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $13.66 21.02 gems | 1.3% | 5 | 11.4 | 0.44× | | [P90 \| Glacier Mesh (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-glacier-mesh-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $11.82 18.18 gems | 1.1% | 12 | 11.4 | 1.05× | | [MAG-7 \| Silver (Factory New) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-silver-factory-new) | 15.0% | $7.01 10.78 gems | 1.9% | 32 | 34.2 | 0.94× | | [Tec-9 \| Avalanche (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-avalanche-factory-new) | 15.0% | $1.93 2.97 gems | 0.5% | 37 | 34.2 | 1.08× | | [CZ75-Auto \| Silver (Factory New) weapon · light blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-silver-factory-new) | 35.0% | $1.44 2.22 gems | 0.9% | 80 | 79.8 | 1.00× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=avalanche) [CZ75-Auto | Silver (Factory New) weapon · light blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-silver-factory-new) Hidden $60.11 92.48 gems $1.44 2.22 gems 0.02x 2026-11-10 22:59 UTC [Tec-9 | Avalanche (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-avalanche-factory-new) Hidden $60.11 92.48 gems $1.93 2.97 gems 0.03x 2026-11-10 22:59 UTC [AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-frontside-misty-factory-new) Hidden $60.11 92.48 gems $34.60 53.23 gems 0.58x 2026-11-10 22:59 UTC [P2000 | Silver (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-silver-minimal-wear) Hidden $60.11 92.48 gems $13.66 21.02 gems 0.23x 2026-11-10 22:59 UTC [CZ75-Auto | Silver (Factory New) weapon · light blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-silver-factory-new) Hidden $60.11 92.48 gems $1.44 2.22 gems 0.02x 2026-11-10 22:59 UTC [Tec-9 | Avalanche (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-avalanche-factory-new) [Helqxz](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Helqxz) $60.11 92.48 gems $1.93 2.97 gems 0.03x 2026-11-10 22:59 UTC [★ Stiletto Knife | Blue Steel (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-blue-steel-factory-new) Hidden $60.11 92.48 gems $246 379 gems 4.10x 2026-11-10 22:23 UTC [CZ75-Auto | Silver (Factory New) weapon · light blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-silver-factory-new) Hidden $60.11 92.48 gems $1.44 2.22 gems 0.02x 2026-11-10 22:23 UTC [Tec-9 | Avalanche (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-avalanche-factory-new) Hidden $60.11 92.48 gems $1.93 2.97 gems 0.03x 2026-11-10 22:23 UTC [CZ75-Auto | Silver (Factory New) weapon · light blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-silver-factory-new) Hidden $60.11 92.48 gems $1.44 2.22 gems 0.02x 2026-11-10 22:23 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $60.11 | 90.00% | 7 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 20.0% classified 5.0% mil spec 10.0% #87c7ff 15.0% restricted 15.0% light blue 35.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt