---
title: "awesome-butterfly case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "awesome-butterfly ($4.24) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 70.01% over 1,314 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/awesome-butterfly
rendered: 2026-11-12T10:51Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [awesome-butterfly](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/awesome-butterfly)

# [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · awesome-butterfly

A case on Clash.gg, first seen 4 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/awesome-butterfly?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/awesome-butterfly?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/awesome-butterfly) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/awesome-butterfly?window=all)

Price · $4.24 · 6.52 gems

Advertised RTP · — · no catalog

Observed RTP, 30d · 70.01% · 1,314 openings, sample method

Variance · — · needs odds

Tail share · — · needs odds

Below price · — · needs odds

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band outside band small sample

24 hours · 564 openings · below min

7 days · 72.26% ±59.87 1,272 openings

30 days · 70.01% ±57.96 1,314 openings

since tracking started · 70.01% ±57.96 1,314 openings

-0.5% 90.3% 181.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/awesome-butterfly?window=24h) | 564 | 86.90% ±93.3 | — | sample |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/awesome-butterfly?window=7d) | 1,272 | 72.26% ±59.9 | — | sample |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/awesome-butterfly) | 1,314 | 70.01% ±58.0 | — | sample |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/awesome-butterfly?window=all) | 1,314 | 70.01% ±58.0 | — | sample |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · none published

**No catalog** Clash.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.

Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $4.24 6.52 gems $1,141 1,756 gems 269.3x 2026-11-10 22:30 UTC

[★ Butterfly Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) Hidden $4.24 6.52 gems $1,008 1,550 gems 237.7x 2026-11-12 04:58 UTC

[★ Butterfly Knife | Night (Well-Worn) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-night-well-worn) Hidden $4.24 6.52 gems $428 658 gems 101.0x 2026-11-12 06:10 UTC

[★ Butterfly Knife | Case Hardened (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-case-hardened-field-tested) Hidden $4.24 6.52 gems $325 499 gems 76.57x 2026-11-06 03:10 UTC

[★ Butterfly Knife | Night (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-night-minimal-wear) Hidden $4.24 6.52 gems $288 443 gems 67.94x 2026-11-12 04:54 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=awesome-butterfly)

[Negev | Bulkhead (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-bulkhead-factory-new) Hidden $4.24 6.52 gems $0.12 0.18 gems 0.03x 2026-11-12 06:12 UTC

[Negev | Bulkhead (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-bulkhead-factory-new) Hidden $4.24 6.52 gems $0.12 0.18 gems 0.03x 2026-11-12 06:12 UTC

[Sticker | Bum A Smoke sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-bum-a-smoke) Hidden $4.24 6.52 gems $0.01 0.02 gems 0.00x 2026-11-12 06:12 UTC

[Sticker | Bum A Smoke sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-bum-a-smoke) Hidden $4.24 6.52 gems $0.01 0.02 gems 0.00x 2026-11-12 06:12 UTC

[Sticker | Bum A Smoke sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-bum-a-smoke) Hidden $4.24 6.52 gems $0.01 0.02 gems 0.00x 2026-11-12 06:12 UTC

[Sticker | Bum A Smoke sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-bum-a-smoke) [Awesome](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Awesome) $4.24 6.52 gems $0.01 0.02 gems 0.00x 2026-11-12 06:12 UTC

[Negev | Bulkhead (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-bulkhead-factory-new) Hidden $4.24 6.52 gems $0.12 0.18 gems 0.03x 2026-11-12 06:11 UTC

[Negev | Bulkhead (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-bulkhead-factory-new) Hidden $4.24 6.52 gems $0.12 0.18 gems 0.03x 2026-11-12 06:11 UTC

[Negev | Bulkhead (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-bulkhead-factory-new) Hidden $4.24 6.52 gems $0.12 0.18 gems 0.03x 2026-11-12 06:11 UTC

[Negev | Bulkhead (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-bulkhead-factory-new) Hidden $4.24 6.52 gems $0.12 0.18 gems 0.03x 2026-11-12 06:11 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed best hit $1,141 (269.3x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 70.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $70.01 on average: an expected loss of $29.99 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
