--- title: "AWP Heaven case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "AWP Heaven ($532.99) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 5 items with odds, observed 97.57% over 24 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/awp-heaven rendered: 2026-11-11T21:17Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [AWP Heaven](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/awp-heaven) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · AWP Heaven A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/awp-heaven?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/awp-heaven?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/awp-heaven) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/awp-heaven?window=all) Price · $532.99 · 820 gems Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $479.69 from 5 items Observed RTP, 30d · 97.57% · 24 openings, odds method Variance · 3.2× · of price², per opening Tail share · 10.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 80.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 18 openings · below min 30 days · 24 openings · below min since tracking started · 24 openings · below min -0.5% 84.8% 170.0% **Small sample.** 24 openings and 2.4 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/awp-heaven?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/awp-heaven?window=7d) | 18 | 53.71% ±83.1 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/awp-heaven) | 24 | 97.57% ±72.0 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/awp-heaven?window=all) | 24 | 97.57% ±72.0 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 5 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 24 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AWP \| The Prince (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-the-prince-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $2,760 4,246 gems | 28.8% | 2 | 1.2 | 1.67× | | [AWP \| Dragon Lore (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-well-worn) | 1 in 20 | $2,521 3,878 gems | 26.3% | 2 | 1.2 | 1.67× | | [AWP \| Medusa (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-medusa-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $2,415 3,715 gems | 25.2% | 0 | 1.2 | 0.00× | | [AWP \| Desert Hydra (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-desert-hydra-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $1,787 2,749 gems | 18.6% | 1 | 1.2 | 0.83× | | [AWP \| Fever Dream (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fever-dream-factory-new) | 80.0% | $7.01 10.78 gems | 1.2% | 19 | 19.2 | 0.99× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 17:55 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [AWP | The Prince (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-the-prince-minimal-wear) Hidden $533 820 gems $2,760 4,246 gems 5.18x 2026-11-03 22:40 UTC [AWP | The Prince (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-the-prince-minimal-wear) Hidden $533 820 gems $2,760 4,246 gems 5.18x 2026-11-03 22:40 UTC [AWP | Dragon Lore (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-well-worn) Hidden $533 820 gems $2,521 3,878 gems 4.73x 2026-11-07 19:43 UTC [AWP | Dragon Lore (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-well-worn) Hidden $533 820 gems $2,521 3,878 gems 4.73x 2026-11-06 19:18 UTC [AWP | Desert Hydra (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-desert-hydra-factory-new) Hidden $533 820 gems $1,787 2,749 gems 3.35x 2026-11-03 22:40 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=awp-heaven) [AWP | Fever Dream (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fever-dream-factory-new) Hidden $533 820 gems $7.01 10.78 gems 0.01x 2026-11-09 11:21 UTC [AWP | Fever Dream (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fever-dream-factory-new) Hidden $533 820 gems $7.01 10.78 gems 0.01x 2026-11-09 11:21 UTC [AWP | Fever Dream (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fever-dream-factory-new) Hidden $533 820 gems $7.01 10.78 gems 0.01x 2026-11-09 11:21 UTC [AWP | Fever Dream (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fever-dream-factory-new) Hidden $533 820 gems $7.01 10.78 gems 0.01x 2026-11-09 11:21 UTC [AWP | Fever Dream (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fever-dream-factory-new) Hidden $533 820 gems $7.01 10.78 gems 0.01x 2026-11-09 11:21 UTC [AWP | Fever Dream (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fever-dream-factory-new) [Palm Beach Pete](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Palm%20Beach%20Pete) $533 820 gems $7.01 10.78 gems 0.01x 2026-11-09 11:21 UTC [AWP | Dragon Lore (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-well-worn) Hidden $533 820 gems $2,521 3,878 gems 4.73x 2026-11-07 19:43 UTC [AWP | Fever Dream (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fever-dream-factory-new) Hidden $533 820 gems $7.01 10.78 gems 0.01x 2026-11-07 19:43 UTC [AWP | Fever Dream (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fever-dream-factory-new) Hidden $533 820 gems $7.01 10.78 gems 0.01x 2026-11-07 19:43 UTC [AWP | Fever Dream (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fever-dream-factory-new) Hidden $533 820 gems $7.01 10.78 gems 0.01x 2026-11-07 19:43 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $533 | 90.00% | 5 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 20.0% classified 80.0% best hit $2,760 (5.18x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt