--- title: "Azure Skies case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Azure Skies ($117.27) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 12 items with odds, observed 94.39% over 48 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/azure-skies rendered: 2026-11-11T21:10Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Azure Skies](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/azure-skies) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Azure Skies A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/azure-skies?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/azure-skies?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/azure-skies) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/azure-skies?window=all) Price · $117.27 · 180 gems Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $105.54 from 12 items Observed RTP, 30d · 94.39% · 48 openings, odds method Variance · 0.7× · of price², per opening Tail share · 22.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 88.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 24 openings · below min 30 days · 48 openings · below min since tracking started · 48 openings · below min 65.0% 98.5% 132.0% **Small sample.** 48 openings and 10.6 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/azure-skies?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/azure-skies?window=7d) | 24 | 98.30% ±32.8 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/azure-skies) | 48 | 94.39% ±23.2 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/azure-skies?window=all) | 48 | 94.39% ±23.2 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 48 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Amphibious (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-amphibious-field-tested) | 1 in 33 | $443 682 gems | 12.6% | 2 | 1.4 | 1.39× | | [M4A1-S \| Blue Phosphor (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-blue-phosphor-minimal-wear) | 1 in 33 | $347 534 gems | 9.9% | 1 | 1.4 | 0.69× | | [Sticker \| Titan (Holo) \| Katowice 2015 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-titan-holo-katowice-2015) | 1 in 33 | $347 534 gems | 9.9% | 2 | 1.4 | 1.39× | | [Sticker \| Winged Defuser sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-winged-defuser) | 1 in 33 | $291 448 gems | 8.3% | 1 | 1.4 | 0.69× | | [★ Shadow Daggers \| Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $114 175 gems | 5.4% | 3 | 2.4 | 1.25× | | [★ Moto Gloves \| Polygon (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-polygon-well-worn) | 1 in 20 | $106 164 gems | 5.0% | 4 | 2.4 | 1.67× | | [★ Huntsman Knife \| Bright Water (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-bright-water-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $90.32 139 gems | 4.3% | 1 | 2.4 | 0.42× | | [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Cobalt Disruption (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-cobalt-disruption-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $90.01 138 gems | 4.3% | 2 | 2.4 | 0.83× | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Frontside Misty (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-frontside-misty-factory-new) | 10.0% | $76.10 117 gems | 7.2% | 7 | 4.8 | 1.46× | | [FAMAS \| Waters of Nephthys (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-waters-of-nephthys-factory-new) | 15.0% | $63.26 97.33 gems | 9.0% | 10 | 7.2 | 1.39× | | [Sticker \| EliGE (Foil) \| Atlanta 2017 sticker · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-elige-foil-atlanta-2017) | 20.0% | $60.31 92.79 gems | 11.4% | 7 | 9.6 | 0.73× | | [Sticker \| Team Liquid (Holo) \| Atlanta 2017 sticker · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-liquid-holo-atlanta-2017) | 23.0% | $58.64 90.21 gems | 12.8% | 8 | 11.0 | 0.72× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 17:55 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=azure-skies) [★ Moto Gloves | Polygon (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-polygon-well-worn) Hidden $117 180 gems $106 164 gems 0.91x 2026-11-10 13:14 UTC [M4A1-S | Blue Phosphor (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-blue-phosphor-minimal-wear) Hidden $117 180 gems $347 534 gems 2.96x 2026-11-10 13:14 UTC [StatTrak™ AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-frontside-misty-factory-new) Hidden $117 180 gems $76.10 117 gems 0.65x 2026-11-10 13:14 UTC [FAMAS | Waters of Nephthys (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-waters-of-nephthys-factory-new) Hidden $117 180 gems $63.26 97.33 gems 0.54x 2026-11-10 13:14 UTC [★ Shadow Daggers | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear) Hidden $117 180 gems $114 175 gems 0.97x 2026-11-10 13:14 UTC [★ Moto Gloves | Polygon (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-polygon-well-worn) [CodeWILDCS 2K LB](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/CodeWILDCS%202K%20LB) $117 180 gems $106 164 gems 0.91x 2026-11-10 13:14 UTC [Sticker | Team Liquid (Holo) | Atlanta 2017 sticker · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-liquid-holo-atlanta-2017) Hidden $117 180 gems $58.64 90.21 gems 0.50x 2026-11-09 02:28 UTC [StatTrak™ AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-frontside-misty-factory-new) Hidden $117 180 gems $76.10 117 gems 0.65x 2026-11-09 02:28 UTC [FAMAS | Waters of Nephthys (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-waters-of-nephthys-factory-new) Hidden $117 180 gems $63.26 97.33 gems 0.54x 2026-11-09 02:28 UTC [FAMAS | Waters of Nephthys (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-waters-of-nephthys-factory-new) Hidden $117 180 gems $63.26 97.33 gems 0.54x 2026-11-09 02:28 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 01:59 UTC | $117 | 90.00% | 12 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed extraordinary 8.0% classified 33.0% remarkable 3.0% High Grade 3.0% covert knife 5.0% covert 5.0% #d32ce6 20.0% violet 23.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt