--- title: "Banksy case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Banksy ($7.92) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.97% from 10 items with odds, observed 93.34% over 8,504 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/banksy rendered: 2026-11-11T18:21Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Banksy](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/banksy) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Banksy A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/banksy?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/banksy?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/banksy) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/banksy?window=all) Price · $7.92 · 12.18 gems Advertised RTP · 89.97% · EV $7.12 from 10 items Observed RTP, 30d · 93.34% · 8,504 openings, odds method Variance · 21.7× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 59 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 90.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 105.75% ±26.80 1,163 openings 7 days · 98.29% ±10.54 7,518 openings 30 days · 93.34% ±9.91 8,504 openings since tracking started · 93.34% ±9.91 8,504 openings 78.5% 105.8% 133.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/banksy?window=24h) | 1,163 | 105.75% ±26.8 | +1.2σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/banksy?window=7d) | 7,518 | 98.29% ±10.5 | +1.5σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/banksy) | 8,504 | 93.34% ±9.91 | +0.7σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/banksy?window=all) | 8,504 | 93.34% ±9.91 | +0.7σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 10 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 8,647 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Karambit \| Stained (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-stained-battle-scarred) | 1 in 500 | $571 878 gems | 16.0% | 18 | 17.3 | 1.04× | | [★ Hand Wraps \| Cobalt Skulls (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-cobalt-skulls-field-tested) | 1 in 200 | $304 468 gems | 21.4% | 49 | 43.2 | 1.13× | | [★ Hand Wraps \| Duct Tape (Minimal Wear) gloves · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-duct-tape-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $127 196 gems | 17.8% | 97 | 86.5 | 1.12× | | [M4A4 \| Neo-Noir (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-neo-noir-factory-new) | 1 in 77 | $72.77 112 gems | 13.3% | 96 | 112.4 | 0.85× | | [MAC-10 \| Stalker (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-stalker-factory-new) | 1 in 67 | $61.13 94.05 gems | 12.9% | 141 | 129.7 | 1.09× | | [FAMAS \| Mecha Industries (Factory New) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-mecha-industries-factory-new) | 1 in 18 | $14.95 23 gems | 11.5% | 449 | 475.6 | 0.94× | | [Sealed Graffiti \| Clutch King graffiti · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-clutch-king) | 20.0% | $1.09 1.68 gems | 3.1% | 1,766 | 1729.4 | 1.02× | | [P250 \| Franklin (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-franklin-minimal-wear) | 20.0% | $0.95 1.46 gems | 2.7% | 1,685 | 1729.4 | 0.97× | | [AWP \| Capillary (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-capillary-minimal-wear) | 20.0% | $0.40 0.62 gems | 1.1% | 1,756 | 1729.4 | 1.02× | | [Sticker \| Street Artist (Glitter) sticker · 8](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-street-artist-glitter) | 30.0% | $0.05 0.08 gems | 0.2% | 2,590 | 2594.1 | 1.00× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 17:55 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Karambit | Stained (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-stained-battle-scarred) Hidden $7.92 12.18 gems $571 878 gems 72.09x 2026-11-11 16:48 UTC [★ Karambit | Stained (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-stained-battle-scarred) Hidden $7.92 12.18 gems $571 878 gems 72.09x 2026-11-11 09:17 UTC [★ Karambit | Stained (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-stained-battle-scarred) [Дядя Вова](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/%D0%94%D1%8F%D0%B4%D1%8F%20%D0%92%D0%BE%D0%B2%D0%B0) $7.92 12.18 gems $571 878 gems 72.09x 2026-11-11 09:16 UTC [★ Karambit | Stained (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-stained-battle-scarred) Hidden $7.92 12.18 gems $571 878 gems 72.09x 2026-11-10 17:00 UTC [★ Karambit | Stained (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-stained-battle-scarred) Hidden $7.92 12.18 gems $571 878 gems 72.09x 2026-11-10 16:49 UTC [★ Karambit | Stained (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-stained-battle-scarred) Hidden $7.92 12.18 gems $571 878 gems 72.09x 2026-11-10 04:44 UTC [★ Karambit | Stained (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-stained-battle-scarred) Hidden $7.92 12.18 gems $571 878 gems 72.09x 2026-11-09 14:33 UTC [★ Karambit | Stained (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-stained-battle-scarred) Hidden $7.92 12.18 gems $571 878 gems 72.09x 2026-11-09 08:32 UTC [★ Karambit | Stained (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-stained-battle-scarred) Hidden $7.92 12.18 gems $571 878 gems 72.09x 2026-11-09 07:59 UTC [★ Karambit | Stained (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-stained-battle-scarred) [Vortex](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Vortex) $7.92 12.18 gems $571 878 gems 72.09x 2026-11-08 22:17 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=banksy) [P250 | Franklin (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-franklin-minimal-wear) Hidden $7.92 12.18 gems $0.95 1.46 gems 0.12x 2026-11-11 18:15 UTC [Sticker | Street Artist (Glitter) sticker · 8](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-street-artist-glitter) Hidden $7.92 12.18 gems $0.05 0.08 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 18:15 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Clutch King graffiti · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-clutch-king) Hidden $7.92 12.18 gems $1.09 1.68 gems 0.14x 2026-11-11 18:15 UTC [Sticker | Street Artist (Glitter) sticker · 8](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-street-artist-glitter) [Gralex27](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Gralex27) $7.92 12.18 gems $0.05 0.08 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 18:15 UTC [AWP | Capillary (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-capillary-minimal-wear) Hidden $7.92 12.18 gems $0.40 0.62 gems 0.05x 2026-11-11 18:00 UTC [P250 | Franklin (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-franklin-minimal-wear) Hidden $7.92 12.18 gems $0.95 1.46 gems 0.12x 2026-11-11 18:00 UTC [MAC-10 | Stalker (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-stalker-factory-new) Hidden $7.92 12.18 gems $61.13 94.05 gems 7.72x 2026-11-11 18:00 UTC [Sticker | Street Artist (Glitter) sticker · 8](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-street-artist-glitter) Hidden $7.92 12.18 gems $0.05 0.08 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 18:00 UTC [Sticker | Street Artist (Glitter) sticker · 8](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-street-artist-glitter) Hidden $7.92 12.18 gems $0.05 0.08 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 18:00 UTC [FAMAS | Mecha Industries (Factory New) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-mecha-industries-factory-new) [Winther wins](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Winther%20wins) $7.92 12.18 gems $14.95 23 gems 1.89x 2026-11-11 18:00 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $7.92 | 89.97% | 10 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed 8 30.0% covert 3.0% extraordinary 0.5% #ffd700 1.0% Legendary 25.5% classified 20.0% Rare 20.0% best hit $571 (72.09x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.97 on average: an expected loss of $10.03 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt