--- title: "Barb Wire case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Barb Wire ($27.68) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 8 items with odds, observed 105.07% over 359 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/barb-wire rendered: 2026-11-11T20:51Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Barb Wire](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/barb-wire) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Barb Wire A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/barb-wire?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/barb-wire?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/barb-wire) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/barb-wire?window=all) Price · $27.68 · 42.58 gems Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $24.91 from 8 items Observed RTP, 30d · 105.07% · 359 openings, odds method Variance · 4.4× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 17 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 86.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 52 openings · below min 7 days · 102.97% ±24.05 289 openings 30 days · 105.07% ±21.58 359 openings since tracking started · 105.07% ±21.58 359 openings 12.0% 69.8% 127.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/barb-wire?window=24h) | 52 | 69.25% ±56.7 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/barb-wire?window=7d) | 289 | 102.97% ±24.0 | +1.1σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/barb-wire) | 359 | 105.07% ±21.6 | +1.4σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/barb-wire?window=all) | 359 | 105.07% ±21.6 | +1.4σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 359 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Gut Knife \| Lore (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $269 414 gems | 21.6% | 7 | 7.2 | 0.97× | | [★ Gut Knife \| Urban Masked (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-urban-masked-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $216 333 gems | 17.4% | 14 | 7.2 | 1.95× | | [★ Gut Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $174 268 gems | 14.0% | 7 | 7.2 | 0.97× | | [★ Gut Knife \| Black Laminate (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-black-laminate-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $155 238 gems | 12.4% | 8 | 7.2 | 1.11× | | [★ Gut Knife \| Damascus Steel (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-damascus-steel-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $101 155 gems | 8.1% | 8 | 7.2 | 1.11× | | [★ Gut Knife \| Ultraviolet (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-ultraviolet-minimal-wear) | 1 in 50 | $94.34 145 gems | 7.6% | 10 | 7.2 | 1.39× | | [★ Gut Knife \| Safari Mesh (Minimal Wear) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-safari-mesh-minimal-wear) | 1 in 50 | $67.81 104 gems | 5.4% | 2 | 7.2 | 0.28× | | [Tec-9 \| Cut Out (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-cut-out-factory-new) | 86.0% | $3.92 6.03 gems | 13.5% | 303 | 308.7 | 0.98× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 17:55 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=barb-wire) [★ Gut Knife | Safari Mesh (Minimal Wear) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-safari-mesh-minimal-wear) Hidden $27.68 42.58 gems $67.81 104 gems 2.45x 2026-11-11 17:03 UTC [Tec-9 | Cut Out (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-cut-out-factory-new) Hidden $27.68 42.58 gems $3.92 6.03 gems 0.14x 2026-11-11 17:03 UTC [Tec-9 | Cut Out (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-cut-out-factory-new) Hidden $27.68 42.58 gems $3.92 6.03 gems 0.14x 2026-11-11 17:03 UTC [Tec-9 | Cut Out (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-cut-out-factory-new) [Kick/HarryJZ](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Kick%2FHarryJZ) $27.68 42.58 gems $3.92 6.03 gems 0.14x 2026-11-11 17:03 UTC [Tec-9 | Cut Out (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-cut-out-factory-new) Hidden $27.68 42.58 gems $3.92 6.03 gems 0.14x 2026-11-11 03:10 UTC [Tec-9 | Cut Out (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-cut-out-factory-new) Hidden $27.68 42.58 gems $3.92 6.03 gems 0.14x 2026-11-11 03:10 UTC [Tec-9 | Cut Out (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-cut-out-factory-new) [ncfoodie code DGN](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/ncfoodie%20code%20DGN) $27.68 42.58 gems $3.92 6.03 gems 0.14x 2026-11-11 03:10 UTC [Tec-9 | Cut Out (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-cut-out-factory-new) Hidden $27.68 42.58 gems $3.92 6.03 gems 0.14x 2026-11-11 03:10 UTC [★ Gut Knife | Damascus Steel (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-damascus-steel-factory-new) Hidden $27.68 42.58 gems $101 155 gems 3.63x 2026-11-11 03:10 UTC [Tec-9 | Cut Out (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-cut-out-factory-new) [ncfoodie code DGN](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/ncfoodie%20code%20DGN) $27.68 42.58 gems $3.92 6.03 gems 0.14x 2026-11-11 03:10 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $27.68 | 90.00% | 8 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 8.0% covert knife 2.0% Immortal 2.0% #ffd700 2.0% #4b69ff 86.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt