--- title: "Barbenheimer case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Barbenheimer ($130.57) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 10 items with odds, observed 77.83% over 343 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/barbenheimer rendered: 2026-11-11T16:57Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Barbenheimer](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/barbenheimer) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Barbenheimer A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/barbenheimer?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/barbenheimer?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/barbenheimer) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/barbenheimer?window=all) Price · $130.57 · 201 gems Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $117.52 from 10 items Observed RTP, 30d · 77.83% · 343 openings, odds method Variance · 4.5× · of price², per opening Tail share · 10.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 85.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 12 openings · below min 7 days · 73.96% ±25.65 265 openings 30 days · 77.83% ±22.54 343 openings since tracking started · 77.83% ±22.54 343 openings -0.5% 72.3% 145.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/barbenheimer?window=24h) | 12 | 23.83% ±120.5 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/barbenheimer?window=7d) | 265 | 73.96% ±25.6 | −1.2σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/barbenheimer) | 343 | 77.83% ±22.5 | −1.1σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/barbenheimer?window=all) | 343 | 77.83% ±22.5 | −1.1σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 10 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 343 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Vice (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-vice-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $940 1,447 gems | 40.0% | 15 | 17.1 | 0.87× | | [★ Bayonet \| Scorched (Factory New) knife · knifes](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-scorched-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $897 1,380 gems | 38.2% | 14 | 17.1 | 0.82× | | [Tec-9 \| Nuclear Threat (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-nuclear-threat-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $353 543 gems | 15.0% | 18 | 17.1 | 1.05× | | [AWP \| Pink DDPAT (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-pink-ddpat-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $86.13 133 gems | 3.7% | 7 | 17.1 | 0.41× | | [M4A1-S \| Control Panel (Factory New) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-control-panel-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $43.55 67 gems | 1.1% | 8 | 10.3 | 0.78× | | [AK-47 \| Neon Revolution (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-revolution-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $35.48 54.59 gems | 0.9% | 11 | 10.3 | 1.07× | | [SCAR-20 \| Splash Jam (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-splash-jam-minimal-wear) | 1 in 33 | $20.91 32.17 gems | 0.5% | 11 | 10.3 | 1.07× | | [XM1014 \| XOXO (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-xoxo-factory-new) | 1 in 17 | $4.60 7.08 gems | 0.2% | 26 | 20.6 | 1.26× | | [Desert Eagle \| Trigger Discipline (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-trigger-discipline-factory-new) | 15.0% | $1.11 1.71 gems | 0.1% | 54 | 51.4 | 1.05× | | [Sticker \| Tamara sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-tamara) | 50.0% | $0.47 0.73 gems | 0.2% | 179 | 171.5 | 1.04× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Sport Gloves | Vice (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-vice-field-tested) Hidden $131 201 gems $940 1,447 gems 7.20x 2026-11-09 22:06 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Vice (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-vice-field-tested) Hidden $131 201 gems $940 1,447 gems 7.20x 2026-11-09 22:04 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Vice (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-vice-field-tested) [efe](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/efe) $131 201 gems $940 1,447 gems 7.20x 2026-11-09 22:02 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Vice (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-vice-field-tested) Hidden $131 201 gems $940 1,447 gems 7.20x 2026-11-09 14:33 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Vice (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-vice-field-tested) Hidden $131 201 gems $940 1,447 gems 7.20x 2026-11-09 00:14 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Vice (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-vice-field-tested) Hidden $131 201 gems $940 1,447 gems 7.20x 2026-11-05 16:40 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Vice (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-vice-field-tested) Hidden $131 201 gems $940 1,447 gems 7.20x 2026-11-05 16:39 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Vice (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-vice-field-tested) Hidden $131 201 gems $940 1,447 gems 7.20x 2026-11-05 16:22 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Vice (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-vice-field-tested) Hidden $131 201 gems $940 1,447 gems 7.20x 2026-11-05 16:21 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Vice (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-vice-field-tested) Hidden $131 201 gems $940 1,447 gems 7.20x 2026-11-04 19:51 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=barbenheimer) [Tec-9 | Nuclear Threat (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-nuclear-threat-factory-new) Hidden $131 201 gems $353 543 gems 2.71x 2026-11-10 19:44 UTC [Sticker | Tamara sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-tamara) Hidden $131 201 gems $0.47 0.73 gems 0.00x 2026-11-10 19:44 UTC [Desert Eagle | Trigger Discipline (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-trigger-discipline-factory-new) Hidden $131 201 gems $1.11 1.71 gems 0.01x 2026-11-10 19:44 UTC [Sticker | Tamara sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-tamara) Hidden $131 201 gems $0.47 0.73 gems 0.00x 2026-11-10 19:44 UTC [Desert Eagle | Trigger Discipline (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-trigger-discipline-factory-new) Hidden $131 201 gems $1.11 1.71 gems 0.01x 2026-11-10 19:44 UTC [XM1014 | XOXO (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-xoxo-factory-new) [Bottavious](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Bottavious) $131 201 gems $4.60 7.08 gems 0.04x 2026-11-10 19:44 UTC [Sticker | Tamara sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-tamara) Hidden $131 201 gems $0.47 0.73 gems 0.00x 2026-11-10 19:41 UTC [Desert Eagle | Trigger Discipline (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-trigger-discipline-factory-new) Hidden $131 201 gems $1.11 1.71 gems 0.01x 2026-11-10 19:41 UTC [Desert Eagle | Trigger Discipline (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-trigger-discipline-factory-new) Hidden $131 201 gems $1.11 1.71 gems 0.01x 2026-11-10 19:41 UTC [XM1014 | XOXO (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-xoxo-factory-new) Hidden $131 201 gems $4.60 7.08 gems 0.04x 2026-11-10 19:41 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $131 | 90.00% | 10 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed extraordinary 5.0% knifes 5.0% restricted 25.0% Legendary 3.0% covert 3.0% classified 9.0% High Grade 50.0% best hit $940 (7.20x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt