--- title: "Battle Hardened V2 case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Battle Hardened V2 ($86.25) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.99% from 6 items with odds, observed 88.47% over 997 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/battle-hardened-v2 rendered: 2026-11-11T22:57Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Battle Hardened V2](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/battle-hardened-v2) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Battle Hardened V2 A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/battle-hardened-v2?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/battle-hardened-v2?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/battle-hardened-v2) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/battle-hardened-v2?window=all) Price · $86.25 · 133 gems Advertised RTP · 89.99% · EV $77.62 from 6 items Observed RTP, 30d · 88.47% · 997 openings, odds method Variance · 10.7× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 25 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 90.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 94 openings · below min 7 days · 89.38% ±24.79 671 openings 30 days · 88.47% ±20.34 997 openings since tracking started · 88.47% ±20.34 997 openings 39.5% 106.5% 173.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/battle-hardened-v2?window=24h) | 94 | 106.53% ±66.2 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/battle-hardened-v2?window=7d) | 671 | 89.38% ±24.8 | −0.0σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/battle-hardened-v2) | 997 | 88.47% ±20.3 | −0.1σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/battle-hardened-v2?window=all) | 997 | 88.47% ±20.3 | −0.1σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 6 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,055 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ StatTrak™ Karambit \| Case Hardened (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-case-hardened-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $1,668 2,567 gems | 43.0% | 23 | 21.1 | 1.09× | | [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife \| Case Hardened (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-case-hardened-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $1,028 1,581 gems | 26.5% | 17 | 21.1 | 0.81× | | [★ Skeleton Knife \| Case Hardened (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-case-hardened-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $513 789 gems | 19.8% | 36 | 31.6 | 1.14× | | [AK-47 \| Case Hardened (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-case-hardened-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $197 303 gems | 7.6% | 28 | 31.6 | 0.88× | | [M4A4 \| The Battlestar (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-the-battlestar-factory-new) | 30.0% | $4.52 6.96 gems | 1.7% | 301 | 316.5 | 0.95× | | [MAG-7 \| Hard Water (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-hard-water-factory-new) | 60.0% | $1.74 2.67 gems | 1.3% | 650 | 633.0 | 1.03× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 17:55 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Case Hardened (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-case-hardened-factory-new) Hidden $86.25 133 gems $1,668 2,567 gems 19.35x 2026-11-11 21:59 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Case Hardened (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-case-hardened-factory-new) Hidden $86.25 133 gems $1,668 2,567 gems 19.35x 2026-11-11 11:06 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Case Hardened (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-case-hardened-factory-new) Hidden $86.25 133 gems $1,668 2,567 gems 19.35x 2026-11-10 23:41 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Case Hardened (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-case-hardened-factory-new) Hidden $86.25 133 gems $1,668 2,567 gems 19.35x 2026-11-10 23:41 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Case Hardened (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-case-hardened-factory-new) [ST](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/ST) $86.25 133 gems $1,668 2,567 gems 19.35x 2026-11-10 16:35 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Case Hardened (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-case-hardened-factory-new) [MpiXelss](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/MpiXelss) $86.25 133 gems $1,668 2,567 gems 19.35x 2026-11-10 09:10 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Case Hardened (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-case-hardened-factory-new) Hidden $86.25 133 gems $1,668 2,567 gems 19.35x 2026-11-10 04:24 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Case Hardened (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-case-hardened-factory-new) Hidden $86.25 133 gems $1,668 2,567 gems 19.35x 2026-11-09 16:23 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Case Hardened (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-case-hardened-factory-new) [conq](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/conq) $86.25 133 gems $1,668 2,567 gems 19.35x 2026-11-08 01:19 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Case Hardened (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-case-hardened-factory-new) Hidden $86.25 133 gems $1,668 2,567 gems 19.35x 2026-11-08 01:18 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=battle-hardened-v2) [MAG-7 | Hard Water (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-hard-water-factory-new) Hidden $86.25 133 gems $1.74 2.67 gems 0.02x 2026-11-11 22:15 UTC [MAG-7 | Hard Water (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-hard-water-factory-new) Hidden $86.25 133 gems $1.74 2.67 gems 0.02x 2026-11-11 22:15 UTC [M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-the-battlestar-factory-new) Hidden $86.25 133 gems $4.52 6.96 gems 0.05x 2026-11-11 22:15 UTC [M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-the-battlestar-factory-new) Hidden $86.25 133 gems $4.52 6.96 gems 0.05x 2026-11-11 22:15 UTC [M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-the-battlestar-factory-new) Hidden $86.25 133 gems $4.52 6.96 gems 0.05x 2026-11-11 22:15 UTC [MAG-7 | Hard Water (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-hard-water-factory-new) [Energetic Lion](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Energetic%20Lion) $86.25 133 gems $1.74 2.67 gems 0.02x 2026-11-11 22:15 UTC [MAG-7 | Hard Water (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-hard-water-factory-new) Hidden $86.25 133 gems $1.74 2.67 gems 0.02x 2026-11-11 21:59 UTC [MAG-7 | Hard Water (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-hard-water-factory-new) Hidden $86.25 133 gems $1.74 2.67 gems 0.02x 2026-11-11 21:59 UTC [MAG-7 | Hard Water (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-hard-water-factory-new) Hidden $86.25 133 gems $1.74 2.67 gems 0.02x 2026-11-11 21:59 UTC [MAG-7 | Hard Water (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-hard-water-factory-new) Hidden $86.25 133 gems $1.74 2.67 gems 0.02x 2026-11-11 21:59 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $86.25 | 89.99% | 6 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 34.0% gold 3.0% classified 3.0% mil spec 60.0% best hit $1,668 (19.35x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.99 on average: an expected loss of $10.01 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt