--- title: "Beach Bum case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Beach Bum ($28.73) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.99% from 6 items with odds, observed 99.23% over 354 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/beach-bum rendered: 2026-11-11T15:20Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Beach Bum](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/beach-bum) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Beach Bum A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/beach-bum?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/beach-bum?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/beach-bum) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/beach-bum?window=all) Price · $28.73 · 44.2 gems Advertised RTP · 89.99% · EV $25.85 from 6 items Observed RTP, 30d · 99.23% · 354 openings, odds method Variance · 3.2× · of price², per opening Tail share · 10.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 80.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 13 openings · below min 7 days · 99.25% ±21.13 278 openings 30 days · 99.23% ±18.72 354 openings since tracking started · 99.23% ±18.72 354 openings -0.5% 82.8% 166.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/beach-bum?window=24h) | 13 | 67.56% ±97.7 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/beach-bum?window=7d) | 278 | 99.25% ±21.1 | +0.9σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/beach-bum) | 354 | 99.23% ±18.7 | +1.0σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/beach-bum?window=all) | 354 | 99.23% ±18.7 | +1.0σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 6 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 370 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Desert Eagle \| Sunset Storm 壱 (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-sunset-storm-factory-new) | 10.0% | $177 272 gems | 68.3% | 45 | 37.0 | 1.22× | | [FAMAS \| Sundown (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-sundown-factory-new) | 10.0% | $38.73 59.59 gems | 15.0% | 28 | 37.0 | 0.76× | | [AWP \| Sun in Leo (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-sun-in-leo-factory-new) | 20.0% | $17.61 27.09 gems | 13.6% | 69 | 74.0 | 0.93× | | [MAC-10 \| Heat (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-heat-factory-new) | 20.0% | $3.76 5.78 gems | 2.9% | 86 | 74.0 | 1.16× | | [P2000 \| Oceanic (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-oceanic-factory-new) | 20.0% | $0.12 0.19 gems | 0.1% | 81 | 74.0 | 1.09× | | [MAC-10 \| Oceanic (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-oceanic-factory-new) | 20.0% | $0.11 0.17 gems | 0.1% | 61 | 74.0 | 0.82× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=beach-bum) [MAC-10 | Oceanic (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-oceanic-factory-new) Hidden $28.73 44.2 gems $0.11 0.17 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 02:08 UTC [MAC-10 | Heat (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-heat-factory-new) Hidden $28.73 44.2 gems $3.76 5.78 gems 0.13x 2026-11-11 02:08 UTC [AWP | Sun in Leo (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-sun-in-leo-factory-new) [Beljit](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Beljit) $28.73 44.2 gems $17.61 27.09 gems 0.61x 2026-11-11 02:08 UTC [FAMAS | Sundown (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-sundown-factory-new) Hidden $28.73 44.2 gems $38.73 59.59 gems 1.35x 2026-11-10 22:29 UTC [P2000 | Oceanic (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-oceanic-factory-new) Hidden $28.73 44.2 gems $0.12 0.19 gems 0.00x 2026-11-10 22:29 UTC [MAC-10 | Heat (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-heat-factory-new) Hidden $28.73 44.2 gems $3.76 5.78 gems 0.13x 2026-11-10 22:29 UTC [P2000 | Oceanic (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-oceanic-factory-new) Hidden $28.73 44.2 gems $0.12 0.19 gems 0.00x 2026-11-10 22:29 UTC [MAC-10 | Heat (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-heat-factory-new) Hidden $28.73 44.2 gems $3.76 5.78 gems 0.13x 2026-11-10 22:29 UTC [MAC-10 | Heat (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-heat-factory-new) [󠀡󠀡](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/%F3%A0%80%A1%F3%A0%80%A1) $28.73 44.2 gems $3.76 5.78 gems 0.13x 2026-11-10 22:29 UTC [P2000 | Oceanic (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-oceanic-factory-new) Hidden $28.73 44.2 gems $0.12 0.19 gems 0.00x 2026-11-10 21:38 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $28.73 | 89.99% | 6 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed restricted 30.0% #4b69ff 30.0% industrial 20.0% mil spec 20.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.99 on average: an expected loss of $10.01 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt