--- title: "Better 5% Butterfly case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Better 5% Butterfly ($44.99) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 112.98% over 192 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/better-5percent-butterfly rendered: 2026-11-12T07:20Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Better 5% Butterfly](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/better-5percent-butterfly) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Better 5% Butterfly A case on Clash.gg, first seen 7 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/better-5percent-butterfly?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/better-5percent-butterfly?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/better-5percent-butterfly) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/better-5percent-butterfly?window=all) Price · $44.99 · 69.21 gems Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 112.98% · 192 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 24 openings · below min 7 days · 192 openings · below min 30 days · 192 openings · below min since tracking started · 192 openings · below min -0.5% 246.8% 494.0% **Small sample.** 192 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/better-5percent-butterfly?window=24h) | 24 | 229.39% ±263.9 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/better-5percent-butterfly?window=7d) | 192 | 112.98% ±67.6 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/better-5percent-butterfly) | 192 | 112.98% ±67.6 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/better-5percent-butterfly?window=all) | 192 | 112.98% ±67.6 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Clash.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Butterfly Knife | Black Laminate (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-black-laminate-factory-new) Hidden $44.99 69.21 gems $1,219 1,876 gems 27.10x 2026-11-08 06:22 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) Hidden $44.99 69.21 gems $1,024 1,576 gems 22.77x 2026-11-12 07:08 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) [Da Chicken](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Da%20Chicken) $44.99 69.21 gems $1,024 1,576 gems 22.77x 2026-11-12 07:08 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) Hidden $44.99 69.21 gems $1,024 1,576 gems 22.77x 2026-11-10 00:01 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) Hidden $44.99 69.21 gems $1,024 1,576 gems 22.77x 2026-11-08 14:38 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) Hidden $44.99 69.21 gems $1,024 1,576 gems 22.77x 2026-11-08 14:38 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) [Morgath](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Morgath) $44.99 69.21 gems $1,024 1,576 gems 22.77x 2026-11-08 05:57 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Black Laminate (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-black-laminate-field-tested) Hidden $44.99 69.21 gems $768 1,181 gems 17.06x 2026-11-10 00:01 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Black Laminate (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-black-laminate-field-tested) Hidden $44.99 69.21 gems $768 1,181 gems 17.06x 2026-11-08 08:43 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=better-5percent-butterfly) [G3SG1 | Desert Storm (Minimal Wear) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-desert-storm-minimal-wear) Hidden $44.99 69.21 gems $0.01 0.02 gems 0.00x 2026-11-12 07:10 UTC [G3SG1 | Desert Storm (Minimal Wear) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-desert-storm-minimal-wear) Hidden $44.99 69.21 gems $0.01 0.02 gems 0.00x 2026-11-12 07:10 UTC [G3SG1 | Desert Storm (Minimal Wear) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-desert-storm-minimal-wear) Hidden $44.99 69.21 gems $0.01 0.02 gems 0.00x 2026-11-12 07:10 UTC [G3SG1 | Desert Storm (Minimal Wear) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-desert-storm-minimal-wear) Hidden $44.99 69.21 gems $0.01 0.02 gems 0.00x 2026-11-12 07:10 UTC [G3SG1 | Desert Storm (Minimal Wear) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-desert-storm-minimal-wear) Hidden $44.99 69.21 gems $0.01 0.02 gems 0.00x 2026-11-12 07:10 UTC [G3SG1 | Desert Storm (Minimal Wear) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-desert-storm-minimal-wear) [Da Chicken](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Da%20Chicken) $44.99 69.21 gems $0.01 0.02 gems 0.00x 2026-11-12 07:10 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) Hidden $44.99 69.21 gems $1,024 1,576 gems 22.77x 2026-11-12 07:08 UTC [G3SG1 | Desert Storm (Minimal Wear) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-desert-storm-minimal-wear) Hidden $44.99 69.21 gems $0.01 0.02 gems 0.00x 2026-11-12 07:08 UTC [G3SG1 | Desert Storm (Minimal Wear) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-desert-storm-minimal-wear) Hidden $44.99 69.21 gems $0.01 0.02 gems 0.00x 2026-11-12 07:08 UTC [G3SG1 | Desert Storm (Minimal Wear) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-desert-storm-minimal-wear) Hidden $44.99 69.21 gems $0.01 0.02 gems 0.00x 2026-11-12 07:08 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $1,219 (27.10x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 113.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $112.98 on average: an expected loss of $0.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt