--- title: "Big City case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Big City ($67.88) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 8 items with odds, observed 92.21% over 474 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/big-city rendered: 2026-11-11T17:38Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Big City](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/big-city) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Big City A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/big-city?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/big-city?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/big-city) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/big-city?window=all) Price · $67.88 · 104 gems Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $61.09 from 8 items Observed RTP, 30d · 92.21% · 474 openings, odds method Variance · 2.7× · of price², per opening Tail share · 15.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 70.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 79 openings · below min 7 days · 95.49% ±15.87 410 openings 30 days · 92.21% ±14.76 474 openings since tracking started · 92.21% ±14.76 474 openings 58.5% 95.3% 132.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/big-city?window=24h) | 79 | 95.08% ±36.2 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/big-city?window=7d) | 410 | 95.49% ±15.9 | +0.7σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/big-city) | 474 | 92.21% ±14.8 | +0.3σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/big-city?window=all) | 474 | 92.21% ±14.8 | +0.3σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 474 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AWP \| Oni Taiji (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-oni-taiji-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $454 698 gems | 37.1% | 21 | 23.7 | 0.89× | | [P90 \| Emerald Dragon (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-emerald-dragon-factory-new) | 10.0% | $209 321 gems | 34.1% | 57 | 47.4 | 1.20× | | [AK-47 \| Bloodsport (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-bloodsport-factory-new) | 15.0% | $97.65 150 gems | 24.0% | 70 | 71.1 | 0.98× | | [M4A4 \| 龍王 (Dragon King) (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-dragon-king-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $24.41 37.55 gems | 2.0% | 27 | 23.7 | 1.14× | | [SCAR-20 \| Bloodsport (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-bloodsport-factory-new) | 15.0% | $5.71 8.79 gems | 1.4% | 65 | 71.1 | 0.91× | | [MP7 \| Bloodsport (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-bloodsport-factory-new) | 15.0% | $3.06 4.7 gems | 0.8% | 70 | 71.1 | 0.98× | | [Galil AR \| Kami (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-kami-factory-new) | 15.0% | $1.26 1.94 gems | 0.3% | 72 | 71.1 | 1.01× | | [Five-SeveN \| Kami (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-kami-factory-new) | 20.0% | $0.88 1.36 gems | 0.3% | 92 | 94.8 | 0.97× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=big-city) [MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-bloodsport-factory-new) Hidden $67.88 104 gems $3.06 4.7 gems 0.05x 2026-11-11 17:38 UTC [P90 | Emerald Dragon (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-emerald-dragon-factory-new) Hidden $67.88 104 gems $209 321 gems 3.07x 2026-11-11 17:38 UTC [Galil AR | Kami (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-kami-factory-new) Hidden $67.88 104 gems $1.26 1.94 gems 0.02x 2026-11-11 17:38 UTC [Galil AR | Kami (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-kami-factory-new) [\[MLP\] Pinkie Pie](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/%5BMLP%5D%20%20Pinkie%20Pie) $67.88 104 gems $1.26 1.94 gems 0.02x 2026-11-11 17:38 UTC [AK-47 | Bloodsport (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-bloodsport-factory-new) Hidden $67.88 104 gems $97.65 150 gems 1.44x 2026-11-11 17:17 UTC [Five-SeveN | Kami (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-kami-factory-new) Hidden $67.88 104 gems $0.88 1.36 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 17:17 UTC [P90 | Emerald Dragon (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-emerald-dragon-factory-new) Hidden $67.88 104 gems $209 321 gems 3.07x 2026-11-11 17:17 UTC [MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-bloodsport-factory-new) Hidden $67.88 104 gems $3.06 4.7 gems 0.05x 2026-11-11 17:17 UTC [P90 | Emerald Dragon (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-emerald-dragon-factory-new) [FarelEnergy skinbet.gg](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/FarelEnergy%20skinbet.gg) $67.88 104 gems $209 321 gems 3.07x 2026-11-11 17:17 UTC [Galil AR | Kami (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-kami-factory-new) [Ceontea](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Ceontea) $67.88 104 gems $1.26 1.94 gems 0.02x 2026-11-11 17:17 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 01:59 UTC | $67.88 | 90.00% | 8 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 35.0% classified 30.0% #4b69ff 15.0% mil spec 20.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt