--- title: "BigRed case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "BigRed ($32.50) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 83.80% over 1,788 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/bigred rendered: 2026-11-11T16:45Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [BigRed](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/bigred) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · BigRed A case on Clash.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/bigred?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/bigred?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/bigred) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/bigred?window=all) Price · $32.50 · 50 gems Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 83.80% · 1,788 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 213 openings · below min 7 days · 85.58% ±14.71 1,578 openings 30 days · 83.80% ±13.35 1,788 openings since tracking started · 83.80% ±13.35 1,788 openings 47.5% 82.5% 117.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/bigred?window=24h) | 213 | 82.36% ±34.3 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/bigred?window=7d) | 1,578 | 85.58% ±14.7 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/bigred) | 1,788 | 83.80% ±13.4 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/bigred?window=all) | 1,788 | 83.80% ±13.4 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Clash.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Sticker | iBUYPOWER | Katowice 2014 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ibuypower-katowice-2014) Hidden $32.50 50 gems $1,684 2,590 gems 51.80x 2026-11-09 17:57 UTC [Sticker | iBUYPOWER | Katowice 2014 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ibuypower-katowice-2014) Hidden $32.50 50 gems $1,684 2,590 gems 51.80x 2026-11-05 13:00 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Autotronic (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-autotronic-minimal-wear) Hidden $32.50 50 gems $740 1,138 gems 22.77x 2026-11-10 21:56 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Autotronic (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-autotronic-minimal-wear) [Laza](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Laza) $32.50 50 gems $740 1,138 gems 22.77x 2026-11-10 14:03 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Autotronic (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-autotronic-minimal-wear) Hidden $32.50 50 gems $740 1,138 gems 22.77x 2026-11-07 13:12 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Autotronic (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-autotronic-minimal-wear) Hidden $32.50 50 gems $740 1,138 gems 22.77x 2026-11-06 13:51 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Autotronic (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-autotronic-minimal-wear) Hidden $32.50 50 gems $740 1,138 gems 22.77x 2026-11-06 00:19 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Autotronic (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-autotronic-minimal-wear) Hidden $32.50 50 gems $740 1,138 gems 22.77x 2026-11-05 23:22 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Autotronic (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-autotronic-minimal-wear) Hidden $32.50 50 gems $740 1,138 gems 22.77x 2026-11-05 21:15 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Autotronic (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-autotronic-minimal-wear) [⭕⃤ katal #brokemouse](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/%E2%AD%95%E2%83%A4%20%20katal%20%23brokemouse) $32.50 50 gems $740 1,138 gems 22.77x 2026-11-04 19:43 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=bigred) [Sticker | 3DMAX | Katowice 2015 sticker · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-3dmax-katowice-2015) Hidden $32.50 50 gems $31.88 49.05 gems 0.98x 2026-11-11 15:39 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-battle-scarred) Hidden $32.50 50 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 15:39 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-battle-scarred) [Sudainais](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Sudainais) $32.50 50 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 15:39 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-battle-scarred) Hidden $32.50 50 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 15:38 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-battle-scarred) Hidden $32.50 50 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 15:38 UTC [★ Gut Knife | Autotronic (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-autotronic-factory-new) [Sudainais](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Sudainais) $32.50 50 gems $143 220 gems 4.40x 2026-11-11 15:38 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-battle-scarred) Hidden $32.50 50 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 15:37 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-battle-scarred) Hidden $32.50 50 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 15:37 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-battle-scarred) [Sudainais](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Sudainais) $32.50 50 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 15:37 UTC [MAC-10 | Candy Apple (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-candy-apple-factory-new) Hidden $32.50 50 gems $41.54 63.91 gems 1.28x 2026-11-11 13:52 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $1,684 (51.80x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 83.8% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $83.80 on average: an expected loss of $16.20 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt