--- title: "Black Ops case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Black Ops ($1.11) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.79% from 6 items with odds, observed 90.56% over 37.7K openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/black-ops rendered: 2026-11-11T21:45Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Black Ops](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/black-ops) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Black Ops A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/black-ops?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/black-ops?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/black-ops) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/black-ops?window=all) Price · $1.11 · 1.71 gems Advertised RTP · 89.79% · EV $1.00 from 6 items Observed RTP, 30d · 90.56% · 37.7K openings, odds method Variance · 2.2× · of price², per opening Tail share · 10.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 75.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 88.79% ±3.46 7,033 openings 7 days · 90.64% ±1.58 33.7K openings 30 days · 90.56% ±1.49 37.7K openings since tracking started · 90.56% ±1.49 37.7K openings 84.5% 88.8% 93.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/black-ops?window=24h) | 7,033 | 88.79% ±3.46 | −0.6σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/black-ops?window=7d) | 33.7K | 90.64% ±1.58 | +1.0σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/black-ops) | 37.7K | 90.56% ±1.49 | +1.0σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/black-ops?window=all) | 37.7K | 90.56% ±1.49 | +1.0σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 6 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 38K openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AK-47 \| Slate (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-slate-factory-new) | 10.0% | $5.79 8.9 gems | 58.0% | 3,861 | 3799.5 | 1.02× | | [M4A1-S \| Night Terror (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-night-terror-factory-new) | 15.0% | $1.30 2 gems | 19.5% | 5,687 | 5699.2 | 1.00× | | [XM1014 \| Black Tie (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-black-tie-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $0.92 1.41 gems | 4.6% | 1,851 | 1899.7 | 0.97× | | [USP-S \| Black Lotus (Well-Worn) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-black-lotus-well-worn) | 10.0% | $0.52 0.8 gems | 5.2% | 3,856 | 3799.5 | 1.01× | | [Galil AR \| Black Sand (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-black-sand-factory-new) | 10.0% | $0.36 0.55 gems | 3.6% | 3,887 | 3799.5 | 1.02× | | [MP9 \| Black Sand (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-factory-new) | 50.0% | $0.18 0.28 gems | 9.1% | 18,853 | 18997.7 | 0.99× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 17:55 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=black-ops) [Galil AR | Black Sand (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-black-sand-factory-new) Hidden $1.11 1.71 gems $0.36 0.55 gems 0.32x 2026-11-11 21:44 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-factory-new) Hidden $1.11 1.71 gems $0.18 0.28 gems 0.16x 2026-11-11 21:44 UTC [M4A1-S | Night Terror (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-night-terror-factory-new) Hidden $1.11 1.71 gems $1.30 2 gems 1.17x 2026-11-11 21:44 UTC [M4A1-S | Night Terror (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-night-terror-factory-new) Hidden $1.11 1.71 gems $1.30 2 gems 1.17x 2026-11-11 21:44 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-factory-new) Hidden $1.11 1.71 gems $0.18 0.28 gems 0.16x 2026-11-11 21:44 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-factory-new) [Zoz](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Zoz) $1.11 1.71 gems $0.18 0.28 gems 0.16x 2026-11-11 21:44 UTC [Galil AR | Black Sand (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-black-sand-factory-new) Hidden $1.11 1.71 gems $0.36 0.55 gems 0.32x 2026-11-11 21:44 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-factory-new) Hidden $1.11 1.71 gems $0.18 0.28 gems 0.16x 2026-11-11 21:44 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-factory-new) Hidden $1.11 1.71 gems $0.18 0.28 gems 0.16x 2026-11-11 21:44 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-factory-new) Hidden $1.11 1.71 gems $0.18 0.28 gems 0.16x 2026-11-11 21:44 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $1.11 | 89.79% | 6 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed restricted 15.0% #8847ff 15.0% blue 10.0% mil spec 10.0% Rare 50.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.8% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.79 on average: an expected loss of $10.21 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt