--- title: "Blazing Start case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Blazing Start ($32.36) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.99% from 9 items with odds, observed 87.66% over 2,025 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/blazing-start rendered: 2026-11-11T13:31Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Blazing Start](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/blazing-start) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Blazing Start A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/blazing-start?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/blazing-start?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/blazing-start) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/blazing-start?window=all) Price · $32.36 · 49.79 gems Advertised RTP · 89.99% · EV $29.12 from 9 items Observed RTP, 30d · 87.66% · 2,025 openings, odds method Variance · 8.9× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 25 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 90.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 89.43% ±31.16 352 openings 7 days · 89.49% ±13.86 1,779 openings 30 days · 87.66% ±12.99 2,025 openings since tracking started · 87.66% ±12.99 2,025 openings 57.5% 89.3% 121.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/blazing-start?window=24h) | 352 | 89.43% ±31.2 | −0.0σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/blazing-start?window=7d) | 1,779 | 89.49% ±13.9 | −0.1σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/blazing-start) | 2,025 | 87.66% ±13.0 | −0.4σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/blazing-start?window=all) | 2,025 | 87.66% ±13.0 | −0.4σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 9 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 2,095 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Desert Eagle \| Blaze (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blaze-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $593 913 gems | 40.8% | 44 | 41.9 | 1.05× | | [MP9 \| Hot Rod (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-hot-rod-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $282 434 gems | 19.4% | 40 | 41.9 | 0.95× | | [★ Shadow Daggers \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 50 | $250 385 gems | 17.2% | 37 | 41.9 | 0.88× | | [AK-47 \| Red Laminate (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-red-laminate-minimal-wear) | 1 in 50 | $99.14 153 gems | 6.8% | 43 | 41.9 | 1.03× | | [USP-S \| The Traitor (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-the-traitor-minimal-wear) | 1 in 50 | $48.38 74.43 gems | 3.3% | 34 | 41.9 | 0.81× | | [MP9 \| Setting Sun (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-setting-sun-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $22.06 33.94 gems | 3.8% | 121 | 104.8 | 1.16× | | [Galil AR \| Firefight (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-firefight-factory-new) | 15.0% | $7.00 10.77 gems | 3.6% | 324 | 314.3 | 1.03× | | [MAG-7 \| Firestarter (Factory New) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-firestarter-factory-new) | 20.0% | $3.55 5.46 gems | 2.4% | 445 | 419.0 | 1.06× | | [Glock-18 \| Bunsen Burner (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-bunsen-burner-factory-new) | 50.0% | $1.58 2.43 gems | 2.7% | 1,007 | 1047.5 | 0.96× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Desert Eagle | Blaze (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blaze-factory-new) [Snail](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Snail) $32.36 49.79 gems $593 913 gems 18.34x 2026-11-11 08:24 UTC [Desert Eagle | Blaze (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blaze-factory-new) Hidden $32.36 49.79 gems $593 913 gems 18.34x 2026-11-11 05:43 UTC [Desert Eagle | Blaze (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blaze-factory-new) Hidden $32.36 49.79 gems $593 913 gems 18.34x 2026-11-11 01:58 UTC [Desert Eagle | Blaze (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blaze-factory-new) Hidden $32.36 49.79 gems $593 913 gems 18.34x 2026-11-11 01:57 UTC [Desert Eagle | Blaze (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blaze-factory-new) [Gandamon](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Gandamon) $32.36 49.79 gems $593 913 gems 18.34x 2026-11-10 18:33 UTC [Desert Eagle | Blaze (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blaze-factory-new) Hidden $32.36 49.79 gems $593 913 gems 18.34x 2026-11-10 18:28 UTC [Desert Eagle | Blaze (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blaze-factory-new) Hidden $32.36 49.79 gems $593 913 gems 18.34x 2026-11-10 18:19 UTC [Desert Eagle | Blaze (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blaze-factory-new) Hidden $32.36 49.79 gems $593 913 gems 18.34x 2026-11-09 23:36 UTC [Desert Eagle | Blaze (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blaze-factory-new) [Barsbek](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Barsbek) $32.36 49.79 gems $593 913 gems 18.34x 2026-11-09 14:04 UTC [Desert Eagle | Blaze (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blaze-factory-new) Hidden $32.36 49.79 gems $593 913 gems 18.34x 2026-11-09 05:27 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=blazing-start) [Glock-18 | Bunsen Burner (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-bunsen-burner-factory-new) Hidden $32.36 49.79 gems $1.58 2.43 gems 0.05x 2026-11-11 08:29 UTC [Glock-18 | Bunsen Burner (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-bunsen-burner-factory-new) Hidden $32.36 49.79 gems $1.58 2.43 gems 0.05x 2026-11-11 08:29 UTC [MAG-7 | Firestarter (Factory New) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-firestarter-factory-new) Hidden $32.36 49.79 gems $3.55 5.46 gems 0.11x 2026-11-11 08:29 UTC [MAG-7 | Firestarter (Factory New) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-firestarter-factory-new) Hidden $32.36 49.79 gems $3.55 5.46 gems 0.11x 2026-11-11 08:29 UTC [Galil AR | Firefight (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-firefight-factory-new) Hidden $32.36 49.79 gems $7.00 10.77 gems 0.22x 2026-11-11 08:29 UTC [Glock-18 | Bunsen Burner (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-bunsen-burner-factory-new) [Juni6969](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Juni6969) $32.36 49.79 gems $1.58 2.43 gems 0.05x 2026-11-11 08:29 UTC [Galil AR | Firefight (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-firefight-factory-new) Hidden $32.36 49.79 gems $7.00 10.77 gems 0.22x 2026-11-11 08:27 UTC [Glock-18 | Bunsen Burner (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-bunsen-burner-factory-new) Hidden $32.36 49.79 gems $1.58 2.43 gems 0.05x 2026-11-11 08:27 UTC [MAG-7 | Firestarter (Factory New) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-firestarter-factory-new) Hidden $32.36 49.79 gems $3.55 5.46 gems 0.11x 2026-11-11 08:27 UTC [MAG-7 | Firestarter (Factory New) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-firestarter-factory-new) Hidden $32.36 49.79 gems $3.55 5.46 gems 0.11x 2026-11-11 08:27 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $32.36 | 89.99% | 9 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed rare 2.0% mil spec 57.0% covert 4.0% classified 2.0% restricted 15.0% Mil Spec Grade 20.0% best hit $593 (18.34x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.99 on average: an expected loss of $10.01 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt