---
title: "Blending In case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Blending In ($90.40) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.99% from 10 items with odds, observed 94.59% over 166 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/blending-in
rendered: 2026-11-11T17:25Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Blending In](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/blending-in)

# [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Blending In

A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/blending-in?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/blending-in?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/blending-in) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/blending-in?window=all)

Price · $90.40 · 139 gems

Advertised RTP · 89.99% · EV $81.35 from 10 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 94.59% · 166 openings, odds method

Variance · 7.5× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 25 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 88.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 16 openings · below min

7 days · 118 openings · below min

30 days · 94.59% ±41.57 166 openings

since tracking started · 94.59% ±41.57 166 openings

-0.5% 79.3% 159.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/blending-in?window=24h) | 16 | 24.28% ±133.9 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/blending-in?window=7d) | 118 | 93.39% ±49.3 | — | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/blending-in) | 166 | 94.59% ±41.6 | +0.2σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/blending-in?window=all) | 166 | 94.59% ±41.6 | +0.2σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 10 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 196 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Tiger Strike (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-tiger-strike-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $1,462 2,250 gems | 35.9% | 3 | 3.9 | 0.77× |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $969 1,490 gems | 23.8% | 6 | 3.9 | 1.53× |
| [★ Hand Wraps \| Badlands (Factory New) gloves · Extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-badlands-factory-new) | 1 in 25 | $341 524 gems | 16.7% | 10 | 7.8 | 1.28× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Fennec Fox (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-fennec-fox-battle-scarred) | 1 in 25 | $154 237 gems | 7.6% | 8 | 7.8 | 1.02× |
| [USP-S \| Orange Anolis (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-orange-anolis-factory-new) | 1 in 13 | $53.95 83 gems | 5.3% | 20 | 15.7 | 1.28× |
| [M4A4 \| Jungle Tiger (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-jungle-tiger-factory-new) | 1 in 13 | $46.37 71.34 gems | 4.6% | 14 | 15.7 | 0.89× |
| [USP-S \| Overgrowth (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-overgrowth-factory-new) | 1 in 13 | $35.44 54.52 gems | 3.5% | 13 | 15.7 | 0.83× |
| [P250 \| Bengal Tiger (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-bengal-tiger-factory-new) | 1 in 13 | $11.93 18.36 gems | 1.2% | 17 | 15.7 | 1.08× |
| [MP9 \| Rose Iron (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-rose-iron-factory-new) | 1 in 13 | $4.04 6.21 gems | 0.4% | 14 | 15.7 | 0.89× |
| [MP9 \| Green Plaid (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-green-plaid-battle-scarred) | 48.0% | $1.68 2.58 gems | 1.0% | 91 | 94.1 | 0.97× |

Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ Specialist Gloves | Tiger Strike (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-tiger-strike-factory-new) [BOTAIRTXonKICK Refbot,ai 50kLBs](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/BOTAIRTXonKICK%20Refbot%2Cai%2050kLBs) $90.40 139 gems $1,462 2,250 gems 16.18x 2026-11-06 22:03 UTC

[★ Specialist Gloves | Tiger Strike (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-tiger-strike-factory-new) Hidden $90.40 139 gems $1,462 2,250 gems 16.18x 2026-11-05 19:46 UTC

[★ Specialist Gloves | Tiger Strike (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-tiger-strike-factory-new) Hidden $90.40 139 gems $1,462 2,250 gems 16.18x 2026-11-04 21:39 UTC

[★ Butterfly Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) Hidden $90.40 139 gems $969 1,490 gems 10.72x 2026-11-05 05:50 UTC

[★ Butterfly Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) Hidden $90.40 139 gems $969 1,490 gems 10.72x 2026-11-04 03:33 UTC

[★ Butterfly Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) Hidden $90.40 139 gems $969 1,490 gems 10.72x 2026-11-03 20:58 UTC

[★ Butterfly Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) [Live kick/vaultycs](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Live%20kick%2Fvaultycs) $90.40 139 gems $969 1,490 gems 10.72x 2026-11-03 20:13 UTC

[★ Butterfly Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) Hidden $90.40 139 gems $969 1,490 gems 10.72x 2026-11-03 00:18 UTC

[★ Butterfly Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) Hidden $90.40 139 gems $969 1,490 gems 10.72x 2026-11-03 00:16 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=blending-in)

[USP-S | Overgrowth (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-overgrowth-factory-new) Hidden $90.40 139 gems $35.44 54.52 gems 0.39x 2026-11-10 23:27 UTC

[MP9 | Green Plaid (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-green-plaid-battle-scarred) Hidden $90.40 139 gems $1.68 2.58 gems 0.02x 2026-11-10 23:27 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-fennec-fox-battle-scarred) Hidden $90.40 139 gems $154 237 gems 1.70x 2026-11-10 23:27 UTC

[M4A4 | Jungle Tiger (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-jungle-tiger-factory-new) Hidden $90.40 139 gems $46.37 71.34 gems 0.51x 2026-11-10 23:27 UTC

[MP9 | Green Plaid (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-green-plaid-battle-scarred) Hidden $90.40 139 gems $1.68 2.58 gems 0.02x 2026-11-10 23:27 UTC

[MP9 | Rose Iron (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-rose-iron-factory-new) [BOTAIRTXonKICK Refbot,ai 50kLBs](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/BOTAIRTXonKICK%20Refbot%2Cai%2050kLBs) $90.40 139 gems $4.04 6.21 gems 0.04x 2026-11-10 23:27 UTC

[P250 | Bengal Tiger (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-bengal-tiger-factory-new) Hidden $90.40 139 gems $11.93 18.36 gems 0.13x 2026-11-10 23:02 UTC

[MP9 | Green Plaid (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-green-plaid-battle-scarred) Hidden $90.40 139 gems $1.68 2.58 gems 0.02x 2026-11-10 23:02 UTC

[MP9 | Green Plaid (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-green-plaid-battle-scarred) Hidden $90.40 139 gems $1.68 2.58 gems 0.02x 2026-11-10 23:02 UTC

[MP9 | Green Plaid (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-green-plaid-battle-scarred) [Helqxz](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Helqxz) $90.40 139 gems $1.68 2.58 gems 0.02x 2026-11-10 23:02 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 01:59 UTC | $90.40 | 89.99% | 10 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed extraordinary 2.0% covert 2.0% Extraordinary 4.0% #d32ee6 4.0% restricted 24.0% industrial 8.0% #4b69ff 8.0% Consumer Grade 48.0% best hit $1,462 (16.18x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.99 on average: an expected loss of $10.01 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
