---
title: "Blood Rain case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Blood Rain ($16.73) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.97% from 13 items with odds, observed 88.95% over 9,595 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/blood-rain
rendered: 2026-11-11T18:34Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Blood Rain](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/blood-rain)

# [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Blood Rain

A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/blood-rain?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/blood-rain?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/blood-rain) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/blood-rain?window=all)

Price · $16.73 · 25.74 gems

Advertised RTP · 89.97% · EV $15.05 from 13 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 88.95% · 9,595 openings, odds method

Variance · 27.6× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 74 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 91.5% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 90.65% ±33.04 970 openings

7 days · 86.11% ±12.07 7,270 openings

30 days · 88.95% ±10.50 9,595 openings

since tracking started · 88.95% ±10.50 9,595 openings

57.0% 90.8% 124.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/blood-rain?window=24h) | 970 | 90.65% ±33.0 | +0.0σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/blood-rain?window=7d) | 7,270 | 86.11% ±12.1 | −0.6σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/blood-rain) | 9,595 | 88.95% ±10.5 | −0.2σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/blood-rain?window=all) | 9,595 | 88.95% ±10.5 | −0.2σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 13 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 9,793 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Bayonet \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-doppler-minimal-wear-ruby) | 1 in 1,000 | $1,780 2,738 gems | 11.8% | 7 | 9.8 | 0.71× |
| [★ Ursus Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 400 | $1,040 1,600 gems | 17.3% | 29 | 24.5 | 1.18× |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 100 | $325 500 gems | 21.6% | 96 | 97.9 | 0.98× |
| [★ Hand Wraps \| Slaughter (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-slaughter-field-tested) | 1 in 87 | $273 420 gems | 20.9% | 104 | 112.6 | 0.92× |
| [Sticker \| NiKo (Foil) \| Krakow 2017 sticker · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-niko-foil-krakow-2017) | 1 in 33 | $62.76 96.56 gems | 12.5% | 293 | 293.8 | 1.00× |
| [P90 \| Cold Blooded (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-cold-blooded-minimal-wear) | 1 in 33 | $32.89 50.6 gems | 6.6% | 299 | 293.8 | 1.02× |
| [USP-S \| Bleeding Edge (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-bleeding-edge-field-tested) | 1 in 25 | $6.50 10 gems | 1.7% | 395 | 391.7 | 1.01× |
| [Sticker \| FaZe (Foil) \| 2020 RMR sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-faze-foil-2020-rmr) | 1 in 20 | $5.89 9.06 gems | 2.0% | 527 | 489.7 | 1.08× |
| [Sticker \| Ruby Stream (Lenticular) sticker · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ruby-stream-lenticular) | 1 in 13 | $3.09 4.76 gems | 1.5% | 734 | 734.5 | 1.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Serpent Strike (Factory New) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-serpent-strike-factory-new) | 15.0% | $1.22 1.88 gems | 1.2% | 1,502 | 1469.0 | 1.02× |
| [P250 \| Nevermore (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-nevermore-factory-new) | 20.0% | $0.92 1.41 gems | 1.2% | 1,914 | 1958.6 | 0.98× |
| [M4A1-S \| Night Terror (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-night-terror-factory-new) | 20.0% | $0.85 1.31 gems | 1.1% | 1,959 | 1958.6 | 1.00× |
| [Sticker \| rain (Holo) \| Paris 2023 sticker · Exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-rain-holo-paris-2023) | 20.0% | $0.44 0.68 gems | 0.6% | 1,934 | 1958.6 | 0.99× |

Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 17:55 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ Bayonet | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-doppler-minimal-wear-ruby) Hidden $16.73 25.74 gems $1,780 2,738 gems 106.4x 2026-11-11 03:51 UTC

[★ Bayonet | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-doppler-minimal-wear-ruby) [\[JH\]](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/%5BJH%5D) $16.73 25.74 gems $1,780 2,738 gems 106.4x 2026-11-10 14:12 UTC

[★ Bayonet | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-doppler-minimal-wear-ruby) Hidden $16.73 25.74 gems $1,780 2,738 gems 106.4x 2026-11-10 13:49 UTC

[★ Bayonet | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-doppler-minimal-wear-ruby) [4akal](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/4akal) $16.73 25.74 gems $1,780 2,738 gems 106.4x 2026-11-07 02:27 UTC

[★ Bayonet | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-doppler-minimal-wear-ruby) Hidden $16.73 25.74 gems $1,780 2,738 gems 106.4x 2026-11-05 16:34 UTC

[★ Bayonet | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-doppler-minimal-wear-ruby) Hidden $16.73 25.74 gems $1,780 2,738 gems 106.4x 2026-11-03 05:53 UTC

[★ Bayonet | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-doppler-minimal-wear-ruby) Hidden $16.73 25.74 gems $1,780 2,738 gems 106.4x 2026-11-03 05:44 UTC

[★ Ursus Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $16.73 25.74 gems $1,040 1,600 gems 62.16x 2026-11-11 16:58 UTC

[★ Ursus Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $16.73 25.74 gems $1,040 1,600 gems 62.16x 2026-11-11 14:40 UTC

[★ Ursus Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $16.73 25.74 gems $1,040 1,600 gems 62.16x 2026-11-11 12:17 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=blood-rain)

[Sticker | rain (Holo) | Paris 2023 sticker · Exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-rain-holo-paris-2023) Hidden $16.73 25.74 gems $0.44 0.68 gems 0.03x 2026-11-11 18:26 UTC

[P250 | Nevermore (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-nevermore-factory-new) Hidden $16.73 25.74 gems $0.92 1.41 gems 0.05x 2026-11-11 18:26 UTC

[P250 | Nevermore (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-nevermore-factory-new) Hidden $16.73 25.74 gems $0.92 1.41 gems 0.05x 2026-11-11 18:26 UTC

[M4A1-S | Night Terror (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-night-terror-factory-new) Hidden $16.73 25.74 gems $0.85 1.31 gems 0.05x 2026-11-11 18:26 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Serpent Strike (Factory New) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-serpent-strike-factory-new) Hidden $16.73 25.74 gems $1.22 1.88 gems 0.07x 2026-11-11 18:26 UTC

[P250 | Nevermore (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-nevermore-factory-new) [Danny](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Danny) $16.73 25.74 gems $0.92 1.41 gems 0.05x 2026-11-11 18:26 UTC

[Sticker | rain (Holo) | Paris 2023 sticker · Exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-rain-holo-paris-2023) Hidden $16.73 25.74 gems $0.44 0.68 gems 0.03x 2026-11-11 18:11 UTC

[USP-S | Bleeding Edge (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-bleeding-edge-field-tested) Hidden $16.73 25.74 gems $6.50 10 gems 0.39x 2026-11-11 18:11 UTC

[Sticker | Ruby Stream (Lenticular) sticker · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ruby-stream-lenticular) Hidden $16.73 25.74 gems $3.09 4.76 gems 0.18x 2026-11-11 18:11 UTC

[Sticker | rain (Holo) | Paris 2023 sticker · Exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-rain-holo-paris-2023) Hidden $16.73 25.74 gems $0.44 0.68 gems 0.03x 2026-11-11 18:11 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $16.73 | 89.97% | 13 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 1.4% extraordinary 8.6% Mythical 7.0% classified 3.0% exotic 5.0% uncommon 15.0% restricted 20.0% #8847ff 20.0% Exotic 20.0% best hit $1,780 (106.4x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.97 on average: an expected loss of $10.03 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt