--- title: "Blood River case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Blood River ($433.25) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 11 items with odds, observed 78.27% over 461 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/blood-river rendered: 2026-11-11T18:01Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Blood River](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/blood-river) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Blood River A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/blood-river?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/blood-river?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/blood-river) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/blood-river?window=all) Price · $433.25 · 667 gems Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $389.92 from 11 items Observed RTP, 30d · 78.27% · 461 openings, odds method Variance · 11.2× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 40 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 90.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 40 openings · below min 7 days · 74.33% ±36.48 323 openings 30 days · 78.27% ±30.54 461 openings since tracking started · 78.27% ±30.54 461 openings -0.5% 85.5% 171.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/blood-river?window=24h) | 40 | 67.02% ±103.7 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/blood-river?window=7d) | 323 | 74.33% ±36.5 | −0.8σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/blood-river) | 461 | 78.27% ±30.5 | −0.8σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/blood-river?window=all) | 461 | 78.27% ±30.5 | −0.8σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 11 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 461 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Specialist Gloves \| Crimson Kimono (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-crimson-kimono-factory-new) | 1 in 40 | $8,450 13,000 gems | 54.2% | 9 | 11.5 | 0.78× | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Slingshot (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-slingshot-factory-new) | 1 in 40 | $4,141 6,371 gems | 26.6% | 11 | 11.5 | 0.95× | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Amphibious (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-amphibious-minimal-wear) | 1 in 40 | $898 1,381 gems | 5.8% | 10 | 11.5 | 0.87× | | [M4A4 \| Poseidon (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poseidon-field-tested) | 1 in 40 | $610 939 gems | 3.9% | 12 | 11.5 | 1.04× | | [AK-47 \| X-Ray (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-x-ray-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $391 601 gems | 5.0% | 26 | 23.0 | 1.13× | | [Desert Eagle \| Sunset Storm 壱 (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-sunset-storm-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $155 238 gems | 2.0% | 26 | 23.0 | 1.13× | | [Glock-18 \| Twilight Galaxy (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-twilight-galaxy-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $94.38 145 gems | 1.2% | 19 | 23.0 | 0.82× | | [Five-SeveN \| Berries And Cherries (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-berries-and-cherries-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $47.47 73.03 gems | 0.6% | 20 | 23.0 | 0.87× | | [SSG 08 \| Dragonfire (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-dragonfire-factory-new) | 20.0% | $10.42 16.03 gems | 0.5% | 99 | 92.2 | 1.07× | | [Glock-18 \| Water Elemental (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-water-elemental-minimal-wear) | 25.0% | $2.89 4.44 gems | 0.2% | 123 | 115.2 | 1.07× | | [M4A4 \| Spider Lily (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-spider-lily-battle-scarred) | 25.0% | $1.03 1.58 gems | 0.1% | 106 | 115.3 | 0.92× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Kimono (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-crimson-kimono-factory-new) Hidden $433 667 gems $8,450 13,000 gems 19.50x 2026-11-11 12:33 UTC [★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Kimono (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-crimson-kimono-factory-new) [Kick.com/Romix](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Kick.com%2FRomix) $433 667 gems $8,450 13,000 gems 19.50x 2026-11-08 00:18 UTC [★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Kimono (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-crimson-kimono-factory-new) Hidden $433 667 gems $8,450 13,000 gems 19.50x 2026-11-05 23:13 UTC [★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Kimono (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-crimson-kimono-factory-new) Hidden $433 667 gems $8,450 13,000 gems 19.50x 2026-11-05 18:22 UTC [★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Kimono (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-crimson-kimono-factory-new) Hidden $433 667 gems $8,450 13,000 gems 19.50x 2026-11-05 05:54 UTC [★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Kimono (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-crimson-kimono-factory-new) [xCK97x On Kick | CODE : CK97](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/xCK97x%20On%20Kick%20%7C%20CODE%20%3A%20%20CK97) $433 667 gems $8,450 13,000 gems 19.50x 2026-11-03 10:25 UTC [★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Kimono (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-crimson-kimono-factory-new) Hidden $433 667 gems $8,450 13,000 gems 19.50x 2026-11-03 04:06 UTC [★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Kimono (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-crimson-kimono-factory-new) Hidden $433 667 gems $8,450 13,000 gems 19.50x 2026-11-03 04:06 UTC [★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Kimono (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-crimson-kimono-factory-new) Hidden $433 667 gems $8,450 13,000 gems 19.50x 2026-11-03 04:03 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Slingshot (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-slingshot-factory-new) Hidden $433 667 gems $4,141 6,371 gems 9.56x 2026-11-09 11:06 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=blood-river) [★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Kimono (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-crimson-kimono-factory-new) Hidden $433 667 gems $8,450 13,000 gems 19.50x 2026-11-11 12:33 UTC [Glock-18 | Twilight Galaxy (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-twilight-galaxy-minimal-wear) Hidden $433 667 gems $94.38 145 gems 0.22x 2026-11-11 12:33 UTC [Glock-18 | Water Elemental (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-water-elemental-minimal-wear) Hidden $433 667 gems $2.89 4.44 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 12:33 UTC [SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-dragonfire-factory-new) Hidden $433 667 gems $10.42 16.03 gems 0.02x 2026-11-11 12:33 UTC [M4A4 | Spider Lily (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-spider-lily-battle-scarred) Hidden $433 667 gems $1.03 1.58 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:33 UTC [M4A4 | Spider Lily (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-spider-lily-battle-scarred) [Kick/HarryJZ](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Kick%2FHarryJZ) $433 667 gems $1.03 1.58 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:33 UTC [SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-dragonfire-factory-new) Hidden $433 667 gems $10.42 16.03 gems 0.02x 2026-11-11 09:58 UTC [Glock-18 | Water Elemental (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-water-elemental-minimal-wear) Hidden $433 667 gems $2.89 4.44 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 09:58 UTC [SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-dragonfire-factory-new) Hidden $433 667 gems $10.42 16.03 gems 0.02x 2026-11-11 09:58 UTC [M4A4 | Spider Lily (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-spider-lily-battle-scarred) Hidden $433 667 gems $1.03 1.58 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 09:58 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $433 | 90.00% | 11 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed extraordinary 7.5% classified 7.5% covert 25.0% restricted 35.0% Legendary 25.0% best hit $8,450 (19.50x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt