--- title: "Bloody case case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Bloody case ($46.29) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.99% from 10 items with odds, observed 86.94% over 291 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/bloody-case rendered: 2026-11-11T18:37Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Bloody case](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/bloody-case) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Bloody case A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/bloody-case?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/bloody-case?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/bloody-case) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/bloody-case?window=all) Price · $46.29 · 71.21 gems Advertised RTP · 89.99% · EV $41.65 from 10 items Observed RTP, 30d · 86.94% · 291 openings, odds method Variance · 2.9× · of price², per opening Tail share · 10.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 80.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 42 openings · below min 7 days · 87.37% ±21.66 237 openings 30 days · 86.94% ±19.55 291 openings since tracking started · 86.94% ±19.55 291 openings 51.0% 103.0% 155.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/bloody-case?window=24h) | 42 | 102.98% ±51.5 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/bloody-case?window=7d) | 237 | 87.37% ±21.7 | −0.2σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/bloody-case) | 291 | 86.94% ±19.5 | −0.3σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/bloody-case?window=all) | 291 | 86.94% ±19.5 | −0.3σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 10 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 297 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Kill Confirmed (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-kill-confirmed-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $422 649 gems | 20.2% | 3 | 5.9 | 0.51× | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Bloodsport (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-bloodsport-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $259 398 gems | 18.6% | 12 | 8.9 | 1.35× | | [StatTrak™ SSG 08 \| Blood in the Water (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ssg-08-blood-in-the-water-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $167 257 gems | 20.0% | 11 | 14.9 | 0.74× | | [AK-47 \| Bloodsport (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-bloodsport-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $106 163 gems | 12.7% | 23 | 14.9 | 1.55× | | [MP7 \| Bloodsport (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-bloodsport-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $62.73 96.51 gems | 7.5% | 9 | 14.9 | 0.61× | | [Sir Bloody Darryl Royale \| The Professionals agent · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/sir-bloody-darryl-royale-the-professionals) | 10.0% | $37.56 57.79 gems | 9.0% | 29 | 29.7 | 0.98× | | [USP-S \| Blood Tiger (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-blood-tiger-factory-new) | 10.0% | $23.32 35.87 gems | 5.6% | 34 | 29.7 | 1.14× | | [SSG 08 \| Bloodshot (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-bloodshot-battle-scarred) | 15.0% | $12.17 18.72 gems | 4.4% | 44 | 44.5 | 0.99× | | [M4A1-S \| Blood Tiger (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-blood-tiger-field-tested) | 15.0% | $3.72 5.73 gems | 1.3% | 39 | 44.5 | 0.88× | | [Patch \| Bloodhound patch · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/patch-bloodhound) | 30.0% | $0.65 1 gems | 0.5% | 93 | 89.1 | 1.04× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 17:55 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=bloody-case) [AK-47 | Bloodsport (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-bloodsport-minimal-wear) Hidden $46.29 71.21 gems $106 163 gems 2.29x 2026-11-11 01:50 UTC [Patch | Bloodhound patch · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/patch-bloodhound) Hidden $46.29 71.21 gems $0.65 1 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 01:50 UTC [Patch | Bloodhound patch · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/patch-bloodhound) Hidden $46.29 71.21 gems $0.65 1 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 01:50 UTC [USP-S | Blood Tiger (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-blood-tiger-factory-new) Hidden $46.29 71.21 gems $23.32 35.87 gems 0.50x 2026-11-11 01:50 UTC [Sir Bloody Darryl Royale | The Professionals agent · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/sir-bloody-darryl-royale-the-professionals) Hidden $46.29 71.21 gems $37.56 57.79 gems 0.81x 2026-11-11 01:50 UTC [Patch | Bloodhound patch · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/patch-bloodhound) Hidden $46.29 71.21 gems $0.65 1 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 01:50 UTC [M4A1-S | Blood Tiger (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-blood-tiger-field-tested) Hidden $46.29 71.21 gems $3.72 5.73 gems 0.08x 2026-11-11 01:50 UTC [Patch | Bloodhound patch · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/patch-bloodhound) Hidden $46.29 71.21 gems $0.65 1 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 01:50 UTC [MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-bloodsport-factory-new) Hidden $46.29 71.21 gems $62.73 96.51 gems 1.36x 2026-11-11 01:50 UTC [Sir Bloody Darryl Royale | The Professionals agent · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/sir-bloody-darryl-royale-the-professionals) Hidden $46.29 71.21 gems $37.56 57.79 gems 0.81x 2026-11-11 01:50 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 01:59 UTC | $46.29 | 89.99% | 10 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 15.0% Covert 5.0% Ancient 10.0% Rare 40.0% classified 15.0% mil spec 15.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.99 on average: an expected loss of $10.01 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt