--- title: "Blue Factory case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Blue Factory ($3.25) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 112.63% over 2,347 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/blue-factory rendered: 2026-11-12T04:21Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Blue Factory](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/blue-factory) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Blue Factory A case on Clash.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/blue-factory?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/blue-factory?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/blue-factory) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/blue-factory?window=all) Price · $3.25 · 5 gems Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 112.63% · 2,347 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 550 openings · below min 7 days · 116.76% ±61.22 2,080 openings 30 days · 112.63% ±54.86 2,347 openings since tracking started · 112.63% ±54.86 2,347 openings 23.5% 101.0% 178.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/blue-factory?window=24h) | 550 | 64.33% ±40.0 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/blue-factory?window=7d) | 2,080 | 116.76% ±61.2 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/blue-factory) | 2,347 | 112.63% ±54.9 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/blue-factory?window=all) | 2,347 | 112.63% ±54.9 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Clash.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Sticker | Titan | Katowice 2014 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-titan-katowice-2014) Hidden $3.25 5 gems $1,855 2,854 gems 570.8x 2026-11-10 10:40 UTC [M4A4 | Poseidon (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poseidon-field-tested) [Dweller](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Dweller) $3.25 5 gems $632 972 gems 194.3x 2026-11-06 13:12 UTC [M4A1-S | Blue Phosphor (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-blue-phosphor-factory-new) Hidden $3.25 5 gems $302 465 gems 93.00x 2026-11-11 19:12 UTC [M4A1-S | Blue Phosphor (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-blue-phosphor-factory-new) Hidden $3.25 5 gems $302 465 gems 93.00x 2026-11-09 15:16 UTC [M4A1-S | Blue Phosphor (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-blue-phosphor-factory-new) Hidden $3.25 5 gems $302 465 gems 93.00x 2026-11-07 16:02 UTC [M4A1-S | Blue Phosphor (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-blue-phosphor-factory-new) Hidden $3.25 5 gems $302 465 gems 93.00x 2026-11-07 14:54 UTC [M4A1-S | Blue Phosphor (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-blue-phosphor-factory-new) [Sup](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Sup) $3.25 5 gems $302 465 gems 93.00x 2026-11-07 14:30 UTC [M4A1-S | Blue Phosphor (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-blue-phosphor-factory-new) Hidden $3.25 5 gems $302 465 gems 93.00x 2026-11-04 15:11 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=blue-factory) [MAC-10 | Oceanic (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-oceanic-factory-new) Hidden $3.25 5 gems $0.11 0.17 gems 0.03x 2026-11-12 03:04 UTC [MAC-10 | Oceanic (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-oceanic-factory-new) Hidden $3.25 5 gems $0.11 0.17 gems 0.03x 2026-11-12 03:04 UTC [MAC-10 | Oceanic (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-oceanic-factory-new) Hidden $3.25 5 gems $0.11 0.17 gems 0.03x 2026-11-12 03:04 UTC [MAC-10 | Oceanic (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-oceanic-factory-new) [Punk Star](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Punk%20Star) $3.25 5 gems $0.11 0.17 gems 0.03x 2026-11-12 03:04 UTC [SG 553 | Anodized Navy (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-anodized-navy-factory-new) Hidden $3.25 5 gems $0.83 1.28 gems 0.26x 2026-11-12 03:03 UTC [MAC-10 | Oceanic (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-oceanic-factory-new) Hidden $3.25 5 gems $0.11 0.17 gems 0.03x 2026-11-12 03:03 UTC [MAC-10 | Oceanic (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-oceanic-factory-new) Hidden $3.25 5 gems $0.11 0.17 gems 0.03x 2026-11-12 03:03 UTC [MAC-10 | Oceanic (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-oceanic-factory-new) [Punk Star](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Punk%20Star) $3.25 5 gems $0.11 0.17 gems 0.03x 2026-11-12 03:03 UTC [MAC-10 | Oceanic (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-oceanic-factory-new) Hidden $3.25 5 gems $0.11 0.17 gems 0.03x 2026-11-12 03:01 UTC [MP7 | Ocean Foam (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-ocean-foam-factory-new) Hidden $3.25 5 gems $2.15 3.31 gems 0.66x 2026-11-12 03:01 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $1,855 (570.8x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 112.6% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $112.63 on average: an expected loss of $0.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt