--- title: "Blue Screen case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Blue Screen ($24.11) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.98% from 9 items with odds, observed 90.85% over 1,376 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/blue-screen rendered: 2026-11-11T20:10Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Blue Screen](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/blue-screen) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Blue Screen A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/blue-screen?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/blue-screen?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/blue-screen) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/blue-screen?window=all) Price · $24.11 · 37.09 gems Advertised RTP · 89.98% · EV $21.69 from 9 items Observed RTP, 30d · 90.85% · 1,376 openings, odds method Variance · 10.0× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 33 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 90.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 75.13% ±37.53 273 openings 7 days · 92.29% ±18.88 1,078 openings 30 days · 90.85% ±16.71 1,376 openings since tracking started · 90.85% ±16.71 1,376 openings 37.0% 75.3% 113.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/blue-screen?window=24h) | 273 | 75.13% ±37.5 | −0.8σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/blue-screen?window=7d) | 1,078 | 92.29% ±18.9 | +0.2σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/blue-screen) | 1,376 | 90.85% ±16.7 | +0.1σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/blue-screen?window=all) | 1,376 | 90.85% ±16.7 | +0.1σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 9 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,379 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Souvenir M4A1-S \| Blue Phosphor (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-m4a1-s-blue-phosphor-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $468 720 gems | 21.6% | 12 | 13.8 | 0.87× | | [★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife \| Blue Steel (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-stiletto-knife-blue-steel-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $382 587 gems | 35.2% | 36 | 27.6 | 1.31× | | [★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife \| Blue Steel (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-survival-knife-blue-steel-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $223 343 gems | 20.6% | 21 | 27.6 | 0.76× | | [Desert Eagle \| Starcade (Minimal Wear) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-starcade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $61.04 93.9 gems | 14.1% | 58 | 69.0 | 0.84× | | [SCAR-20 \| Powercore (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-powercore-factory-new) | 15.0% | $3.43 5.27 gems | 2.4% | 204 | 206.8 | 0.99× | | [SCAR-20 \| Enforcer (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-enforcer-factory-new) | 15.0% | $2.93 4.5 gems | 2.0% | 201 | 206.8 | 0.97× | | [SCAR-20 \| Wild Berry (Factory New) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-wild-berry-factory-new) | 20.0% | $2.24 3.45 gems | 2.1% | 286 | 275.8 | 1.04× | | [SCAR-20 \| Torn (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-torn-factory-new) | 20.0% | $1.70 2.62 gems | 1.6% | 268 | 275.8 | 0.97× | | [SCAR-20 \| Grotto (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-grotto-factory-new) | 20.0% | $0.65 1 gems | 0.6% | 293 | 275.8 | 1.06× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 17:55 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=blue-screen) [★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Blue Steel (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-stiletto-knife-blue-steel-factory-new) Hidden $24.11 37.09 gems $382 587 gems 15.83x 2026-11-11 19:03 UTC [SCAR-20 | Wild Berry (Factory New) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-wild-berry-factory-new) Hidden $24.11 37.09 gems $2.24 3.45 gems 0.09x 2026-11-11 19:03 UTC [SCAR-20 | Grotto (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-grotto-factory-new) Hidden $24.11 37.09 gems $0.65 1 gems 0.03x 2026-11-11 19:03 UTC [SCAR-20 | Wild Berry (Factory New) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-wild-berry-factory-new) Hidden $24.11 37.09 gems $2.24 3.45 gems 0.09x 2026-11-11 19:03 UTC [SCAR-20 | Wild Berry (Factory New) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-wild-berry-factory-new) Hidden $24.11 37.09 gems $2.24 3.45 gems 0.09x 2026-11-11 19:03 UTC [SCAR-20 | Enforcer (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-enforcer-factory-new) [BolpyFR](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/BolpyFR) $24.11 37.09 gems $2.93 4.5 gems 0.12x 2026-11-11 19:03 UTC [Desert Eagle | Starcade (Minimal Wear) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-starcade-minimal-wear) Hidden $24.11 37.09 gems $61.04 93.9 gems 2.53x 2026-11-11 18:58 UTC [SCAR-20 | Enforcer (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-enforcer-factory-new) Hidden $24.11 37.09 gems $2.93 4.5 gems 0.12x 2026-11-11 18:58 UTC [SCAR-20 | Wild Berry (Factory New) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-wild-berry-factory-new) Hidden $24.11 37.09 gems $2.24 3.45 gems 0.09x 2026-11-11 18:58 UTC [SCAR-20 | Torn (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-torn-factory-new) Hidden $24.11 37.09 gems $1.70 2.62 gems 0.07x 2026-11-11 18:58 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $24.11 | 89.98% | 9 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed other 1.0% covert 2.0% covert knife 2.0% rare 5.0% restricted 30.0% milspec 20.0% mil spec 20.0% Rare 20.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.98 on average: an expected loss of $10.02 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt