--- title: "Bomb Squad case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Bomb Squad ($11.21) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.96% from 8 items with odds, observed 93.67% over 2,183 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/bomb-squad rendered: 2026-11-11T19:44Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Bomb Squad](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/bomb-squad) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Bomb Squad A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/bomb-squad?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/bomb-squad?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/bomb-squad) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/bomb-squad?window=all) Price · $11.21 · 17.24 gems Advertised RTP · 89.96% · EV $10.08 from 8 items Observed RTP, 30d · 93.67% · 2,183 openings, odds method Variance · 6.8× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 25 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 86.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 93.81% ±27.41 346 openings 7 days · 89.70% ±12.31 1,716 openings 30 days · 93.67% ±10.91 2,183 openings since tracking started · 93.67% ±10.91 2,183 openings 65.5% 93.8% 122.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/bomb-squad?window=24h) | 346 | 93.81% ±27.4 | +0.3σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/bomb-squad?window=7d) | 1,716 | 89.70% ±12.3 | −0.0σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/bomb-squad) | 2,183 | 93.67% ±10.9 | +0.7σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/bomb-squad?window=all) | 2,183 | 93.67% ±10.9 | +0.7σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 2,189 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AWP \| BOOM (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-boom-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $159 245 gems | 31.6% | 41 | 43.8 | 0.94× | | [P250 \| Nuclear Threat (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-nuclear-threat-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $126 194 gems | 25.0% | 51 | 43.8 | 1.16× | | [M4A1-S \| Chantico's Fire (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-chanticos-fire-factory-new) | 1 in 25 | $47.39 72.91 gems | 18.8% | 94 | 87.6 | 1.07× | | [P90 \| Fallout Warning (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-fallout-warning-factory-new) | 1 in 17 | $23.34 35.9 gems | 13.9% | 131 | 131.3 | 1.00× | | [XM1014 \| Incinegator (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-incinegator-minimal-wear) | 1 in 13 | $5.30 8.16 gems | 4.2% | 189 | 175.1 | 1.08× | | [MAG-7 \| Core Breach (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-core-breach-factory-new) | 16.0% | $2.72 4.19 gems | 4.3% | 366 | 350.2 | 1.05× | | [SCAR-20 \| Fragments (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-fragments-factory-new) | 31.0% | $0.58 0.89 gems | 1.8% | 683 | 678.6 | 1.01× | | [SG 553 \| Danger Close (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-danger-close-factory-new) | 31.0% | $0.12 0.19 gems | 0.4% | 634 | 678.6 | 0.93× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 17:55 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=bomb-squad) [SG 553 | Danger Close (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-danger-close-factory-new) Hidden $11.21 17.24 gems $0.12 0.19 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 19:27 UTC [MAG-7 | Core Breach (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-core-breach-factory-new) Hidden $11.21 17.24 gems $2.72 4.19 gems 0.24x 2026-11-11 19:27 UTC [MAG-7 | Core Breach (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-core-breach-factory-new) Hidden $11.21 17.24 gems $2.72 4.19 gems 0.24x 2026-11-11 19:27 UTC [MAG-7 | Core Breach (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-core-breach-factory-new) Hidden $11.21 17.24 gems $2.72 4.19 gems 0.24x 2026-11-11 19:27 UTC [XM1014 | Incinegator (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-incinegator-minimal-wear) Hidden $11.21 17.24 gems $5.30 8.16 gems 0.47x 2026-11-11 19:27 UTC [SCAR-20 | Fragments (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-fragments-factory-new) [Stariks](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Stariks) $11.21 17.24 gems $0.58 0.89 gems 0.05x 2026-11-11 19:27 UTC [SCAR-20 | Fragments (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-fragments-factory-new) Hidden $11.21 17.24 gems $0.58 0.89 gems 0.05x 2026-11-11 19:24 UTC [SG 553 | Danger Close (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-danger-close-factory-new) Hidden $11.21 17.24 gems $0.12 0.19 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 19:24 UTC [SCAR-20 | Fragments (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-fragments-factory-new) Hidden $11.21 17.24 gems $0.58 0.89 gems 0.05x 2026-11-11 19:24 UTC [SCAR-20 | Fragments (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-fragments-factory-new) Hidden $11.21 17.24 gems $0.58 0.89 gems 0.05x 2026-11-11 19:24 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $11.21 | 89.96% | 8 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed classified 10.0% restricted 2.0% covert 4.0% industrial 6.0% #8847ff 16.0% blue 62.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.96 on average: an expected loss of $10.04 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt