--- title: "Boxing Match case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Boxing Match ($704.64) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 8 items with odds, observed 64.19% over 13 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/boxing-match rendered: 2026-11-11T22:00Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Boxing Match](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/boxing-match) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Boxing Match A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/boxing-match?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/boxing-match?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/boxing-match) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/boxing-match?window=all) Price · $704.64 · 1,084 gems Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $634.17 from 8 items Observed RTP, 30d · 64.19% · 13 openings, odds method Variance · 0.2× · of price², per opening Tail share · 30.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 65.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 7 openings · below min 30 days · 13 openings · below min since tracking started · 13 openings · below min 25.5% 62.5% 99.5% **Small sample.** 13 openings and 3.9 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/boxing-match?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/boxing-match?window=7d) | 7 | 62.54% ±36.4 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/boxing-match) | 13 | 64.19% ±26.7 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/boxing-match?window=all) | 13 | 64.19% ±26.7 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 13 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Hand Wraps \| Slaughter (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-slaughter-factory-new) | 10.0% | $1,237 1,903 gems | 19.5% | 0 | 1.3 | 0.00× | | [★ Hand Wraps \| Cobalt Skulls (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-cobalt-skulls-minimal-wear) | 10.0% | $1,070 1,646 gems | 16.9% | 1 | 1.3 | 0.77× | | [★ Hand Wraps \| Overprint (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-overprint-factory-new) | 10.0% | $1,009 1,552 gems | 15.9% | 1 | 1.3 | 0.77× | | [★ Hand Wraps \| Giraffe (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-giraffe-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $943 1,452 gems | 7.4% | 0 | 0.6 | — | | [★ Hand Wraps \| Leather (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-leather-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $578 889 gems | 4.6% | 0 | 0.6 | — | | [★ Hand Wraps \| Badlands (Factory New) gloves · Extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-badlands-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $481 740 gems | 3.8% | 1 | 0.6 | — | | [★ Hand Wraps \| Desert Shamagh (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-desert-shamagh-factory-new) | 25.0% | $476 733 gems | 18.8% | 4 | 3.2 | 1.23× | | [★ Hand Wraps \| Duct Tape (Factory New) gloves · Extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-duct-tape-factory-new) | 30.0% | $278 428 gems | 13.2% | 6 | 3.9 | 1.54× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 17:55 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Hand Wraps | Cobalt Skulls (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-cobalt-skulls-minimal-wear) Hidden $705 1,084 gems $1,070 1,646 gems 1.52x 2026-11-09 11:21 UTC [★ Hand Wraps | Overprint (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-overprint-factory-new) Hidden $705 1,084 gems $1,009 1,552 gems 1.43x 2026-11-04 00:20 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=boxing-match) [★ Hand Wraps | Duct Tape (Factory New) gloves · Extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-duct-tape-factory-new) Hidden $705 1,084 gems $278 428 gems 0.39x 2026-11-09 11:21 UTC [★ Hand Wraps | Badlands (Factory New) gloves · Extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-badlands-factory-new) Hidden $705 1,084 gems $481 740 gems 0.68x 2026-11-09 11:21 UTC [★ Hand Wraps | Cobalt Skulls (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-cobalt-skulls-minimal-wear) Hidden $705 1,084 gems $1,070 1,646 gems 1.52x 2026-11-09 11:21 UTC [★ Hand Wraps | Duct Tape (Factory New) gloves · Extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-duct-tape-factory-new) Hidden $705 1,084 gems $278 428 gems 0.39x 2026-11-09 11:21 UTC [★ Hand Wraps | Desert Shamagh (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-desert-shamagh-factory-new) Hidden $705 1,084 gems $476 733 gems 0.68x 2026-11-09 11:21 UTC [★ Hand Wraps | Desert Shamagh (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-desert-shamagh-factory-new) [Palm Beach Pete](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Palm%20Beach%20Pete) $705 1,084 gems $476 733 gems 0.68x 2026-11-09 11:21 UTC [★ Hand Wraps | Duct Tape (Factory New) gloves · Extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-duct-tape-factory-new) [co\*\*\*df](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/co***df-11889991) $705 1,084 gems $25.30 38.92 gems 0.04x 2026-11-06 19:53 UTC [★ Hand Wraps | Giraffe (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-giraffe-factory-new) [co\*\*\*df](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/co***df-11889991) $705 1,084 gems $85.85 132 gems 0.12x 2026-11-06 19:53 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $705 | 90.00% | 8 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed extraordinary 50.0% legendary 15.0% Extraordinary 35.0% best hit $1,070 (1.52x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt