--- title: "Brokie 50-50 case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Brokie 50-50 ($3.11) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.94% from 5 items with odds, observed 89.15% over 8,438 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/brokie-50-50 rendered: 2026-11-12T05:03Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Brokie 50-50](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/brokie-50-50) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Brokie 50-50 A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/brokie-50-50?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/brokie-50-50?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/brokie-50-50) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/brokie-50-50?window=all) Price · $3.11 · 4.78 gems Advertised RTP · 89.94% · EV $2.79 from 5 items Observed RTP, 30d · 89.15% · 8,438 openings, odds method Variance · 0.9× · of price², per opening Tail share · 30.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 50.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 88.21% ±4.96 1,382 openings 7 days · 89.20% ±2.13 7,474 openings 30 days · 89.15% ±2.01 8,438 openings since tracking started · 89.15% ±2.01 8,438 openings 82.5% 88.3% 94.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/brokie-50-50?window=24h) | 1,382 | 88.21% ±4.96 | −0.7σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/brokie-50-50?window=7d) | 7,474 | 89.20% ±2.13 | −0.7σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/brokie-50-50) | 8,438 | 89.15% ±2.01 | −0.8σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/brokie-50-50?window=all) | 8,438 | 89.15% ±2.01 | −0.8σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 5 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 8,551 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AWP \| Atheris (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-atheris-factory-new) | 10.0% | $9.15 14.08 gems | 32.8% | 820 | 855.1 | 0.96× | | [Sawed-Off \| The Kraken (Well-Worn) weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-the-kraken-well-worn) | 20.0% | $4.52 6.96 gems | 32.4% | 1,707 | 1710.2 | 1.00× | | [FAMAS \| Styx (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-styx-well-worn) | 20.0% | $4.37 6.73 gems | 31.3% | 1,757 | 1710.2 | 1.03× | | [Glock-18 \| Weasel (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-weasel-well-worn) | 20.0% | $0.47 0.72 gems | 3.3% | 1,762 | 1710.2 | 1.03× | | [MP9 \| Sand Dashed (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-well-worn) | 30.0% | $0.02 0.03 gems | 0.2% | 2,505 | 2565.4 | 0.98× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 12 Nov, 00:07 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=brokie-50-50) [Glock-18 | Weasel (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-weasel-well-worn) Hidden $3.11 4.78 gems $0.47 0.72 gems 0.15x 2026-11-12 03:11 UTC [MP9 | Sand Dashed (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-well-worn) Hidden $3.11 4.78 gems $0.02 0.03 gems 0.01x 2026-11-12 03:11 UTC [AWP | Atheris (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-atheris-factory-new) Hidden $3.11 4.78 gems $9.15 14.08 gems 2.95x 2026-11-12 03:11 UTC [MP9 | Sand Dashed (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-well-worn) [RobYTZA](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/RobYTZA) $3.11 4.78 gems $0.02 0.03 gems 0.01x 2026-11-12 03:11 UTC [FAMAS | Styx (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-styx-well-worn) Hidden $3.11 4.78 gems $4.37 6.73 gems 1.41x 2026-11-12 03:11 UTC [FAMAS | Styx (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-styx-well-worn) Hidden $3.11 4.78 gems $4.37 6.73 gems 1.41x 2026-11-12 03:11 UTC [Sawed-Off | The Kraken (Well-Worn) weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-the-kraken-well-worn) Hidden $3.11 4.78 gems $4.52 6.96 gems 1.46x 2026-11-12 03:11 UTC [FAMAS | Styx (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-styx-well-worn) [RobYTZA](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/RobYTZA) $3.11 4.78 gems $4.37 6.73 gems 1.41x 2026-11-12 03:11 UTC [Glock-18 | Weasel (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-weasel-well-worn) Hidden $3.11 4.78 gems $0.47 0.72 gems 0.15x 2026-11-12 03:10 UTC [FAMAS | Styx (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-styx-well-worn) Hidden $3.11 4.78 gems $4.37 6.73 gems 1.41x 2026-11-12 03:10 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $3.11 | 89.94% | 5 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed restricted 30.0% Covert 20.0% violet 20.0% consumer 30.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.94 on average: an expected loss of $10.06 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt