--- title: "Bullet Proof case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Bullet Proof ($23.48) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.98% from 6 items with odds, observed 86.62% over 452 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/bullet-proof rendered: 2026-11-11T14:59Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Bullet Proof](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/bullet-proof) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Bullet Proof A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/bullet-proof?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/bullet-proof?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/bullet-proof) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/bullet-proof?window=all) Price · $23.48 · 36.12 gems Advertised RTP · 89.98% · EV $21.13 from 6 items Observed RTP, 30d · 86.62% · 452 openings, odds method Variance · 4.3× · of price², per opening Tail share · 15.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 70.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 27 openings · below min 7 days · 83.35% ±21.02 378 openings 30 days · 86.62% ±19.22 452 openings since tracking started · 86.62% ±19.22 452 openings 21.0% 100.3% 179.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/bullet-proof?window=24h) | 27 | 100.26% ±78.7 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/bullet-proof?window=7d) | 378 | 83.35% ±21.0 | −0.6σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/bullet-proof) | 452 | 86.62% ±19.2 | −0.3σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/bullet-proof?window=all) | 452 | 86.62% ±19.2 | −0.3σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 6 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 452 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AK-47 \| Head Shot (Factory New) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-head-shot-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $280 431 gems | 39.8% | 10 | 13.6 | 0.74× | | [M4A4 \| Bullet Rain (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-bullet-rain-factory-new) | 12.0% | $49.24 75.75 gems | 28.0% | 66 | 54.2 | 1.22× | | [Glock-18 \| Bullet Queen (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-bullet-queen-factory-new) | 15.0% | $35.35 54.39 gems | 25.1% | 71 | 67.8 | 1.05× | | [MP7 \| Full Stop (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-full-stop-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $9.60 14.77 gems | 2.3% | 18 | 22.6 | 0.80× | | [Five-SeveN \| Hot Shot (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-hot-shot-factory-new) | 20.0% | $3.16 4.86 gems | 3.0% | 90 | 90.4 | 1.00× | | [MAC-10 \| Button Masher (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-button-masher-factory-new) | 45.0% | $0.87 1.34 gems | 1.9% | 197 | 203.4 | 0.97× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=bullet-proof) [MAC-10 | Button Masher (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-button-masher-factory-new) Hidden $23.48 36.12 gems $0.87 1.34 gems 0.04x 2026-11-11 13:30 UTC [Five-SeveN | Hot Shot (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-hot-shot-factory-new) Hidden $23.48 36.12 gems $3.16 4.86 gems 0.13x 2026-11-11 13:30 UTC [Glock-18 | Bullet Queen (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-bullet-queen-factory-new) Hidden $23.48 36.12 gems $35.35 54.39 gems 1.51x 2026-11-11 13:30 UTC [Five-SeveN | Hot Shot (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-hot-shot-factory-new) Hidden $23.48 36.12 gems $3.16 4.86 gems 0.13x 2026-11-11 13:30 UTC [Glock-18 | Bullet Queen (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-bullet-queen-factory-new) Hidden $23.48 36.12 gems $35.35 54.39 gems 1.51x 2026-11-11 13:30 UTC [Five-SeveN | Hot Shot (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-hot-shot-factory-new) [(GUAVA) KONKKI](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/%28GUAVA%29%20KONKKI) $23.48 36.12 gems $3.16 4.86 gems 0.13x 2026-11-11 13:30 UTC [MP7 | Full Stop (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-full-stop-factory-new) Hidden $23.48 36.12 gems $9.60 14.77 gems 0.41x 2026-11-11 13:26 UTC [Glock-18 | Bullet Queen (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-bullet-queen-factory-new) Hidden $23.48 36.12 gems $35.35 54.39 gems 1.51x 2026-11-11 13:26 UTC [Glock-18 | Bullet Queen (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-bullet-queen-factory-new) Hidden $23.48 36.12 gems $35.35 54.39 gems 1.51x 2026-11-11 13:26 UTC [MP7 | Full Stop (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-full-stop-factory-new) Hidden $23.48 36.12 gems $9.60 14.77 gems 0.41x 2026-11-11 13:26 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $23.48 | 89.98% | 6 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed Ancient 3.0% covert 27.0% mil spec 5.0% industrial 20.0% #8847ff 45.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.98 on average: an expected loss of $10.02 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt