--- title: "Buried Treasure case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Buried Treasure ($197.73) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 6 items with odds, observed 64.36% over 72 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/buried-treasure rendered: 2026-11-11T19:23Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Buried Treasure](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/buried-treasure) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Buried Treasure A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/buried-treasure?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/buried-treasure?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/buried-treasure) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/buried-treasure?window=all) Price · $197.73 · 304 gems Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $177.96 from 6 items Observed RTP, 30d · 64.36% · 72 openings, odds method Variance · 2.4× · of price², per opening Tail share · 10.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 70.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 58 openings · below min 30 days · 72 openings · below min since tracking started · 72 openings · below min 14.5% 57.5% 100.5% **Small sample.** 72 openings and 7.2 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/buried-treasure?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/buried-treasure?window=7d) | 58 | 54.53% ±39.5 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/buried-treasure) | 72 | 64.36% ±35.5 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/buried-treasure?window=all) | 72 | 64.36% ±35.5 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 6 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 84 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Bayonet \| Lore (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-lore-factory-new) | 10.0% | $910 1,400 gems | 51.1% | 5 | 8.4 | 0.60× | | [Sticker \| Crown (Foil) sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-crown-foil) | 10.0% | $565 869 gems | 31.7% | 6 | 8.4 | 0.71× | | [★ Shadow Daggers \| Lore (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-lore-factory-new) | 10.0% | $305 469 gems | 17.1% | 7 | 8.4 | 0.83× | | [P250 \| Sand Dune (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-factory-new) | 20.0% | $0.02 0.03 gems | 0.0% | 17 | 16.8 | 1.01× | | [MP9 \| Sand Dashed (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-minimal-wear) | 20.0% | $0.01 0.02 gems | 0.0% | 15 | 16.8 | 0.89× | | [PP-Bizon \| Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-battle-scarred) | 30.0% | \<$0.01 0.01 gems | 0.0% | 34 | 25.2 | 1.35× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 17:55 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Bayonet | Lore (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-lore-factory-new) Hidden $198 304 gems $910 1,400 gems 4.60x 2026-11-06 08:31 UTC [★ Bayonet | Lore (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-lore-factory-new) [Dartt](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Dartt) $198 304 gems $910 1,400 gems 4.60x 2026-11-05 06:28 UTC [★ Bayonet | Lore (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-lore-factory-new) Hidden $198 304 gems $910 1,400 gems 4.60x 2026-11-05 06:26 UTC [★ Bayonet | Lore (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-lore-factory-new) Hidden $198 304 gems $910 1,400 gems 4.60x 2026-11-03 10:19 UTC [★ Bayonet | Lore (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-lore-factory-new) Hidden $198 304 gems $910 1,400 gems 4.60x 2026-11-02 22:20 UTC [Sticker | Crown (Foil) sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-crown-foil) Hidden $198 304 gems $565 869 gems 2.86x 2026-11-10 12:26 UTC [Sticker | Crown (Foil) sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-crown-foil) Hidden $198 304 gems $565 869 gems 2.86x 2026-11-05 06:16 UTC [Sticker | Crown (Foil) sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-crown-foil) Hidden $198 304 gems $565 869 gems 2.86x 2026-11-05 06:00 UTC [Sticker | Crown (Foil) sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-crown-foil) Hidden $198 304 gems $565 869 gems 2.86x 2026-11-04 00:17 UTC [Sticker | Crown (Foil) sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-crown-foil) Hidden $198 304 gems $565 869 gems 2.86x 2026-11-03 10:20 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=buried-treasure) [P250 | Sand Dune (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-factory-new) Hidden $198 304 gems $0.02 0.03 gems 0.00x 2026-11-10 15:23 UTC [PP-Bizon | Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-battle-scarred) Hidden $198 304 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-10 15:23 UTC [★ Shadow Daggers | Lore (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-lore-factory-new) Hidden $198 304 gems $305 469 gems 1.54x 2026-11-10 15:23 UTC [PP-Bizon | Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-battle-scarred) Hidden $198 304 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-10 15:23 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-factory-new) Hidden $198 304 gems $0.02 0.03 gems 0.00x 2026-11-10 12:26 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-factory-new) Hidden $198 304 gems $0.02 0.03 gems 0.00x 2026-11-10 12:26 UTC [PP-Bizon | Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-battle-scarred) Hidden $198 304 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-10 12:26 UTC [PP-Bizon | Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-battle-scarred) Hidden $198 304 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-10 12:26 UTC [Sticker | Crown (Foil) sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-crown-foil) Hidden $198 304 gems $565 869 gems 2.86x 2026-11-10 12:26 UTC [PP-Bizon | Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-battle-scarred) [1010010101](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/1010010101) $198 304 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-10 12:26 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $198 | 90.00% | 6 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed epic 10.0% exotic 10.0% covert 10.0% consumer 70.0% best hit $910 (4.60x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt