---
title: "Burnout Case case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Burnout Case ($67.88) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 10 items with odds, observed 98.86% over 592 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/burnout-case
rendered: 2026-11-11T21:20Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Burnout Case](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/burnout-case)

# [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Burnout Case

A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/burnout-case?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/burnout-case?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/burnout-case) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/burnout-case?window=all)

Price · $67.88 · 104 gems

Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $61.09 from 10 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 98.86% · 592 openings, odds method

Variance · 4.0× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 10.0% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 90.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 63 openings · below min

7 days · 99.28% ±16.21 582 openings

30 days · 98.86% ±16.08 592 openings

since tracking started · 98.86% ±16.08 592 openings

44.0% 94.0% 144.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/burnout-case?window=24h) | 63 | 93.89% ±49.3 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/burnout-case?window=7d) | 582 | 99.28% ±16.2 | +1.1σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/burnout-case) | 592 | 98.86% ±16.1 | +1.1σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/burnout-case?window=all) | 592 | 98.86% ±16.1 | +1.1σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 10 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 592 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Stiletto Knife \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-ruby) | 1 in 100 | $1,156 1,779 gems | 18.9% | 7 | 5.9 | 1.18× |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) | 1 in 100 | $672 1,034 gems | 11.0% | 6 | 5.9 | 1.01× |
| [★ Ursus Knife \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-sapphire) | 1 in 100 | $406 624 gems | 6.6% | 11 | 5.9 | 1.86× |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Brocade Crane (Minimal Wear) gloves · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-brocade-crane-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $237 365 gems | 3.9% | 9 | 5.9 | 1.52× |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Blackbook (Field-Tested) gloves · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-blackbook-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $155 238 gems | 2.5% | 1 | 5.9 | 0.17× |
| [★ Moto Gloves \| Smoke Out (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-smoke-out-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $113 174 gems | 9.3% | 35 | 29.6 | 1.18× |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Queen Jaguar (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-queen-jaguar-minimal-wear) | 10.0% | $64.66 99.48 gems | 10.6% | 50 | 59.2 | 0.84× |
| [★ Hand Wraps \| Duct Tape (Minimal Wear) gloves · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-duct-tape-minimal-wear) | 20.0% | $40.13 61.74 gems | 13.1% | 130 | 118.4 | 1.10× |
| [★ Paracord Knife \| Rust Coat (Well-Worn) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-rust-coat-well-worn) | 30.0% | $28.09 43.21 gems | 13.8% | 178 | 177.6 | 1.00× |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-rust-coat-battle-scarred) | 30.0% | $20.85 32.08 gems | 10.2% | 165 | 177.6 | 0.93× |

Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 17:55 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ Stiletto Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-ruby) Hidden $67.88 104 gems $1,156 1,779 gems 17.04x 2026-11-11 21:04 UTC

[★ Stiletto Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-ruby) [Lost Panda](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Lost%20Panda) $67.88 104 gems $1,156 1,779 gems 17.04x 2026-11-10 00:36 UTC

[★ Stiletto Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-ruby) Hidden $67.88 104 gems $1,156 1,779 gems 17.04x 2026-11-09 18:37 UTC

[★ Stiletto Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-ruby) Hidden $67.88 104 gems $1,156 1,779 gems 17.04x 2026-11-08 00:17 UTC

[★ Stiletto Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-ruby) Hidden $67.88 104 gems $1,156 1,779 gems 17.04x 2026-11-07 15:00 UTC

[★ Stiletto Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-ruby) Hidden $67.88 104 gems $1,156 1,779 gems 17.04x 2026-11-07 15:00 UTC

[★ Stiletto Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-ruby) [white toe nail lover](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/white%20toe%20nail%20lover) $67.88 104 gems $1,156 1,779 gems 17.04x 2026-11-06 22:45 UTC

[★ Huntsman Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) Hidden $67.88 104 gems $672 1,034 gems 9.90x 2026-11-10 00:37 UTC

[★ Huntsman Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) Hidden $67.88 104 gems $672 1,034 gems 9.90x 2026-11-09 18:33 UTC

[★ Huntsman Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) [Dingus](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Dingus) $67.88 104 gems $672 1,034 gems 9.90x 2026-11-09 02:37 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=burnout-case)

[★ Stiletto Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-ruby) Hidden $67.88 104 gems $1,156 1,779 gems 17.04x 2026-11-11 21:04 UTC

[★ Paracord Knife | Rust Coat (Well-Worn) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-rust-coat-well-worn) Hidden $67.88 104 gems $28.09 43.21 gems 0.41x 2026-11-11 21:04 UTC

[★ Shadow Daggers | Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-rust-coat-battle-scarred) Hidden $67.88 104 gems $20.85 32.08 gems 0.31x 2026-11-11 21:04 UTC

[★ Hand Wraps | Duct Tape (Minimal Wear) gloves · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-duct-tape-minimal-wear) Hidden $67.88 104 gems $40.13 61.74 gems 0.59x 2026-11-11 21:04 UTC

[★ Hand Wraps | Duct Tape (Minimal Wear) gloves · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-duct-tape-minimal-wear) Hidden $67.88 104 gems $40.13 61.74 gems 0.59x 2026-11-11 21:04 UTC

[★ Paracord Knife | Rust Coat (Well-Worn) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-rust-coat-well-worn) [Lost Panda](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Lost%20Panda) $67.88 104 gems $28.09 43.21 gems 0.41x 2026-11-11 21:04 UTC

[★ Driver Gloves | Brocade Crane (Minimal Wear) gloves · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-brocade-crane-minimal-wear) Hidden $67.88 104 gems $237 365 gems 3.50x 2026-11-11 21:03 UTC

[★ Shadow Daggers | Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-rust-coat-battle-scarred) Hidden $67.88 104 gems $20.85 32.08 gems 0.31x 2026-11-11 21:03 UTC

[★ Hand Wraps | Duct Tape (Minimal Wear) gloves · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-duct-tape-minimal-wear) Hidden $67.88 104 gems $40.13 61.74 gems 0.59x 2026-11-11 21:03 UTC

[★ Paracord Knife | Rust Coat (Well-Worn) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-rust-coat-well-worn) Hidden $67.88 104 gems $28.09 43.21 gems 0.41x 2026-11-11 21:03 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $67.88 | 90.00% | 10 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 33.0% Immortal 1.0% rare 1.0% extraordinary 15.0% #ffd700 50.0% best hit $1,156 (17.04x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
