--- title: "Butter Knife case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Butter Knife ($165.14) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 9 items with odds, observed 87.25% over 185 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/butter-knife rendered: 2026-11-11T19:23Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Butter Knife](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/butter-knife) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Butter Knife A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/butter-knife?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/butter-knife?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/butter-knife) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/butter-knife?window=all) Price · $165.14 · 254 gems Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $148.62 from 9 items Observed RTP, 30d · 87.25% · 185 openings, odds method Variance · 0.3× · of price², per opening Tail share · 27.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 73.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 90.29% ±8.77 148 openings 30 days · 87.25% ±7.85 185 openings since tracking started · 87.25% ±7.85 185 openings 78.5% 89.0% 99.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/butter-knife?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/butter-knife?window=7d) | 148 | 90.29% ±8.77 | +0.1σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/butter-knife) | 185 | 87.25% ±7.85 | −0.7σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/butter-knife?window=all) | 185 | 87.25% ±7.85 | −0.7σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 9 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 231 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Flip Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $416 640 gems | 8.4% | 6 | 6.9 | 0.87× | | [★ Flip Knife \| Fade (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 33 | $386 594 gems | 7.8% | 6 | 6.9 | 0.87× | | [★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Autotronic (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-flip-knife-autotronic-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $304 467 gems | 10.2% | 8 | 11.6 | 0.69× | | [★ Flip Knife \| Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-crimson-web-minimal-wear) | 1 in 17 | $262 403 gems | 10.6% | 8 | 13.9 | 0.58× | | [★ Flip Knife \| Vanilla knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-vanilla) | 10.0% | $210 323 gems | 14.1% | 26 | 23.1 | 1.13× | | [★ Flip Knife \| Bright Water (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-bright-water-field-tested) | 15.0% | $126 194 gems | 12.7% | 47 | 34.6 | 1.36× | | [★ Flip Knife \| Scorched (Battle-Scarred) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-scorched-battle-scarred) | 15.0% | $95.22 146 gems | 9.6% | 31 | 34.6 | 0.89× | | [★ Flip Knife \| Safari Mesh (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-safari-mesh-field-tested) | 21.0% | $92.20 142 gems | 13.0% | 40 | 48.5 | 0.82× | | [★ Flip Knife \| Forest DDPAT (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-forest-ddpat-well-worn) | 22.0% | $91.16 140 gems | 13.5% | 59 | 50.8 | 1.16× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 17:55 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=butter-knife) [★ Flip Knife | Scorched (Battle-Scarred) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-scorched-battle-scarred) Hidden $165 254 gems $95.22 146 gems 0.58x 2026-11-10 14:42 UTC [★ Flip Knife | Safari Mesh (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-safari-mesh-field-tested) Hidden $165 254 gems $92.20 142 gems 0.56x 2026-11-10 14:42 UTC [★ Flip Knife | Scorched (Battle-Scarred) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-scorched-battle-scarred) Hidden $165 254 gems $95.22 146 gems 0.58x 2026-11-10 14:42 UTC [★ Flip Knife | Forest DDPAT (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-forest-ddpat-well-worn) [batapepe](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/batapepe) $165 254 gems $91.16 140 gems 0.55x 2026-11-10 14:42 UTC [★ Flip Knife | Forest DDPAT (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-forest-ddpat-well-worn) Hidden $165 254 gems $91.16 140 gems 0.55x 2026-11-10 14:08 UTC [★ Flip Knife | Vanilla knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-vanilla) Hidden $165 254 gems $210 323 gems 1.27x 2026-11-10 14:08 UTC [★ Flip Knife | Safari Mesh (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-safari-mesh-field-tested) [trickytrash](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/trickytrash) $165 254 gems $92.20 142 gems 0.56x 2026-11-10 14:08 UTC [★ Flip Knife | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-crimson-web-minimal-wear) Hidden $165 254 gems $262 403 gems 1.59x 2026-11-10 14:04 UTC [★ Flip Knife | Forest DDPAT (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-forest-ddpat-well-worn) Hidden $165 254 gems $91.16 140 gems 0.55x 2026-11-10 14:04 UTC [★ Flip Knife | Forest DDPAT (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-forest-ddpat-well-worn) Hidden $165 254 gems $91.16 140 gems 0.55x 2026-11-10 14:04 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 01:59 UTC | $165 | 90.00% | 9 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed #ffd700 18.0% covert 46.0% covert knife 26.0% Immortal 10.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt