--- title: "CanweWinThistime case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "CanweWinThistime ($4.54) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 293.43% over 40 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/canwewinthistime rendered: 2026-11-12T07:11Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [CanweWinThistime](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/canwewinthistime) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · CanweWinThistime A case on Clash.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/canwewinthistime?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/canwewinthistime?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/canwewinthistime) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/canwewinthistime?window=all) Price · $4.54 · 6.99 gems Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 293.43% · 40 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 3 openings · below min 7 days · 19 openings · below min 30 days · 40 openings · below min since tracking started · 40 openings · below min -0.5% 712.5% 1425.5% **Small sample.** 40 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/canwewinthistime?window=24h) | 3 | 24.70% ±16.1 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/canwewinthistime?window=7d) | 19 | 596.81% ±827.8 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/canwewinthistime) | 40 | 293.43% ±398.0 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/canwewinthistime?window=all) | 40 | 293.43% ±398.0 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Clash.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Souvenir Glock-18 | Candy Apple (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-glock-18-candy-apple-field-tested) Hidden $4.54 6.99 gems $337 518 gems 74.14x 2026-11-09 10:59 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=canwewinthistime) [Shattered Web Case container · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/shattered-web-case) Hidden $4.54 6.99 gems $1.83 2.81 gems 0.40x 2026-11-11 16:19 UTC [Dreams & Nightmares Case container · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/dreams-and-nightmares-case) Hidden $4.54 6.99 gems $0.55 0.85 gems 0.12x 2026-11-11 16:19 UTC [Spectrum 2 Case container · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/spectrum-2-case) [Tobbe](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Tobbe) $4.54 6.99 gems $0.99 1.52 gems 0.22x 2026-11-11 16:19 UTC [Shattered Web Case container · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/shattered-web-case) Hidden $4.54 6.99 gems $1.83 2.81 gems 0.40x 2026-11-09 10:59 UTC [Shattered Web Case container · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/shattered-web-case) Hidden $4.54 6.99 gems $1.83 2.81 gems 0.40x 2026-11-09 10:59 UTC [Dreams & Nightmares Case container · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/dreams-and-nightmares-case) Hidden $4.54 6.99 gems $0.55 0.85 gems 0.12x 2026-11-09 10:59 UTC [Dreams & Nightmares Case container · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/dreams-and-nightmares-case) [Gabo13](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Gabo13) $4.54 6.99 gems $0.55 0.85 gems 0.12x 2026-11-09 10:59 UTC [Dreams & Nightmares Case container · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/dreams-and-nightmares-case) Hidden $4.54 6.99 gems $0.55 0.85 gems 0.12x 2026-11-09 10:59 UTC [Dreams & Nightmares Case container · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/dreams-and-nightmares-case) Hidden $4.54 6.99 gems $0.55 0.85 gems 0.12x 2026-11-09 10:59 UTC [Spectrum 2 Case container · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/spectrum-2-case) Hidden $4.54 6.99 gems $0.99 1.52 gems 0.22x 2026-11-09 10:59 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $337 (74.14x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 293.4% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $293.43 on average: an expected loss of $0.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt