--- title: "Capsule Collector case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Capsule Collector ($20.87) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.98% from 10 items with odds, observed 78.09% over 2,173 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/capsule-collector rendered: 2026-11-11T18:37Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Capsule Collector](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/capsule-collector) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Capsule Collector A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/capsule-collector?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/capsule-collector?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/capsule-collector) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/capsule-collector?window=all) Price · $20.87 · 32.11 gems Advertised RTP · 89.98% · EV $18.78 from 10 items Observed RTP, 30d · 78.09% · 2,173 openings, odds method Variance · 85.9× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 28 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 91.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 61.76% ±121.09 225 openings 7 days · 81.45% ±43.84 1,717 openings 30 days · 78.09% ±38.97 2,173 openings since tracking started · 78.09% ±38.97 2,173 openings -0.5% 91.5% 183.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/capsule-collector?window=24h) | 225 | 61.76% ±121.1 | −0.5σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/capsule-collector?window=7d) | 1,717 | 81.45% ±43.8 | −0.4σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/capsule-collector) | 2,173 | 78.09% ±39.0 | −0.6σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/capsule-collector?window=all) | 2,173 | 78.09% ±39.0 | −0.6σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 10 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 2,189 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [EMS Katowice 2014 Legends other · base](https://gambatracker.com/items/ems-katowice-2014-legends) | 1 in 10,000 | $18.4K 28,249 gems | 9.8% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [ESL One Katowice 2015 Challengers (Holo-Foil) other · base](https://gambatracker.com/items/esl-one-katowice-2015-challengers-holo-foil) | 1 in 100 | $480 738 gems | 25.5% | 19 | 21.9 | 0.87× | | [DreamHack 2014 Legends (Holo-Foil) other · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/dreamhack-2014-legends-holo-foil-2) | 1 in 40 | $168 259 gems | 22.4% | 52 | 54.7 | 0.95× | | [Boston 2018 Legends (Holo-Foil) other · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/boston-2018-legends-holo-foil) | 1 in 40 | $139 214 gems | 18.5% | 55 | 54.7 | 1.01× | | [Boston 2018 Minor Challengers Autograph Capsule container · base](https://gambatracker.com/items/boston-2018-minor-challengers-autograph-capsule) | 1 in 33 | $136 210 gems | 21.7% | 71 | 65.5 | 1.08× | | [Poorly Drawn Capsule container](https://gambatracker.com/items/poorly-drawn-capsule) | 10.0% | $0.51 0.79 gems | 0.3% | 215 | 218.9 | 0.98× | | [Enfu Sticker Capsule container](https://gambatracker.com/items/enfu-sticker-capsule) | 10.0% | $0.51 0.78 gems | 0.3% | 220 | 218.9 | 1.01× | | [CS20 Sticker Capsule container](https://gambatracker.com/items/cs20-sticker-capsule) | 20.0% | $0.47 0.72 gems | 0.5% | 419 | 437.8 | 0.96× | | [Warhammer 40,000 Traitor Astartes Sticker Capsule container · common](https://gambatracker.com/items/warhammer-40-000-traitor-astartes-sticker-capsule) | 21.0% | $0.42 0.65 gems | 0.5% | 471 | 459.7 | 1.02× | | [Sticker Capsule container · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-capsule) | 30.0% | $0.31 0.48 gems | 0.5% | 667 | 656.7 | 1.02× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 17:55 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=capsule-collector) [Warhammer 40,000 Traitor Astartes Sticker Capsule container · common](https://gambatracker.com/items/warhammer-40-000-traitor-astartes-sticker-capsule) Hidden $20.87 32.11 gems $0.42 0.65 gems 0.02x 2026-11-11 17:29 UTC [Enfu Sticker Capsule container](https://gambatracker.com/items/enfu-sticker-capsule) Hidden $20.87 32.11 gems $0.51 0.78 gems 0.02x 2026-11-11 17:29 UTC [CS20 Sticker Capsule container](https://gambatracker.com/items/cs20-sticker-capsule) Hidden $20.87 32.11 gems $0.47 0.72 gems 0.02x 2026-11-11 17:29 UTC [Sticker Capsule container · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-capsule) Hidden $20.87 32.11 gems $0.31 0.48 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 17:29 UTC [Enfu Sticker Capsule container](https://gambatracker.com/items/enfu-sticker-capsule) Hidden $20.87 32.11 gems $0.51 0.78 gems 0.02x 2026-11-11 17:29 UTC [CS20 Sticker Capsule container](https://gambatracker.com/items/cs20-sticker-capsule) [VYCK4](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/VYCK4) $20.87 32.11 gems $0.47 0.72 gems 0.02x 2026-11-11 17:29 UTC [Sticker Capsule container · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-capsule) Hidden $20.87 32.11 gems $0.31 0.48 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 17:27 UTC [Warhammer 40,000 Traitor Astartes Sticker Capsule container · common](https://gambatracker.com/items/warhammer-40-000-traitor-astartes-sticker-capsule) Hidden $20.87 32.11 gems $0.42 0.65 gems 0.02x 2026-11-11 17:27 UTC [Warhammer 40,000 Traitor Astartes Sticker Capsule container · common](https://gambatracker.com/items/warhammer-40-000-traitor-astartes-sticker-capsule) Hidden $20.87 32.11 gems $0.42 0.65 gems 0.02x 2026-11-11 17:27 UTC [CS20 Sticker Capsule container](https://gambatracker.com/items/cs20-sticker-capsule) Hidden $20.87 32.11 gems $0.47 0.72 gems 0.02x 2026-11-11 17:27 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $20.87 | 89.98% | 10 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed base 4.0% #B0C3D9 2.5% Base Grade 32.5% other 40.0% common 21.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.98 on average: an expected loss of $10.02 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt