--- title: "Cartoon case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Cartoon ($401.67) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 10 items with odds, observed 101.76% over 30 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/cartoon rendered: 2026-11-11T13:25Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Cartoon](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/cartoon) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Cartoon A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/cartoon?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/cartoon?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/cartoon) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/cartoon?window=all) Price · $401.67 · 618 gems Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $361.50 from 10 items Observed RTP, 30d · 101.76% · 30 openings, odds method Variance · 1.4× · of price², per opening Tail share · 35.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 65.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 26 openings · below min 30 days · 30 openings · below min since tracking started · 30 openings · below min 52.0% 98.3% 144.5% **Small sample.** 30 openings and 10.5 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/cartoon?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/cartoon?window=7d) | 26 | 97.95% ±45.4 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/cartoon) | 30 | 101.76% ±42.3 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/cartoon?window=all) | 30 | 101.76% ±42.3 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 10 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 38 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AUG \| Akihabara Accept (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-akihabara-accept-minimal-wear) | 35.0% | $1,007 1,549 gems | 97.5% | 16 | 13.3 | 1.20× | | [M4A4 \| Temukau (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-temukau-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $130 200 gems | 1.8% | 1 | 1.9 | 0.53× | | [M4A1-S \| Player Two (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-player-two-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $48.21 74.17 gems | 0.4% | 0 | 1.1 | 0.00× | | [M4A4 \| Neo-Noir (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-neo-noir-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $17.97 27.65 gems | 0.1% | 2 | 1.1 | 1.75× | | [StatTrak™ Five-SeveN \| Angry Mob (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-angry-mob-minimal-wear) | 1 in 33 | $8.22 12.65 gems | 0.1% | 0 | 1.1 | 0.00× | | [MP9 \| Mount Fuji (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-mount-fuji-factory-new) | 1 in 17 | $2.75 4.23 gems | 0.0% | 3 | 2.3 | 1.32× | | [Galil AR \| Kami (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-kami-factory-new) | 1 in 17 | $1.22 1.88 gems | 0.0% | 1 | 2.3 | 0.44× | | [Sticker \| Kawaii Killer Terrorist sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-kawaii-killer-terrorist) | 1 in 11 | $0.45 0.69 gems | 0.0% | 5 | 3.4 | 1.46× | | [Sticker \| Clutchman (Holo) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-clutchman-holo) | 10.0% | $0.20 0.31 gems | 0.0% | 2 | 3.8 | 0.53× | | [Sticker \| Noodles sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-noodles) | 20.0% | $0.03 0.05 gems | 0.0% | 8 | 7.6 | 1.05× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [AUG | Akihabara Accept (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-akihabara-accept-minimal-wear) Hidden $402 618 gems $1,007 1,549 gems 2.51x 2026-11-07 20:17 UTC [AUG | Akihabara Accept (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-akihabara-accept-minimal-wear) Hidden $402 618 gems $1,007 1,549 gems 2.51x 2026-11-07 20:17 UTC [AUG | Akihabara Accept (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-akihabara-accept-minimal-wear) [Energetic Ferret](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Energetic%20Ferret) $402 618 gems $1,007 1,549 gems 2.51x 2026-11-07 19:36 UTC [AUG | Akihabara Accept (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-akihabara-accept-minimal-wear) Hidden $402 618 gems $1,007 1,549 gems 2.51x 2026-11-07 19:36 UTC [AUG | Akihabara Accept (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-akihabara-accept-minimal-wear) Hidden $402 618 gems $1,007 1,549 gems 2.51x 2026-11-07 19:36 UTC [AUG | Akihabara Accept (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-akihabara-accept-minimal-wear) [tman](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/tman) $402 618 gems $1,007 1,549 gems 2.51x 2026-11-07 12:32 UTC [AUG | Akihabara Accept (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-akihabara-accept-minimal-wear) Hidden $402 618 gems $1,007 1,549 gems 2.51x 2026-11-07 12:32 UTC [AUG | Akihabara Accept (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-akihabara-accept-minimal-wear) Hidden $402 618 gems $1,007 1,549 gems 2.51x 2026-11-05 06:34 UTC [AUG | Akihabara Accept (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-akihabara-accept-minimal-wear) Hidden $402 618 gems $1,007 1,549 gems 2.51x 2026-11-05 06:34 UTC [AUG | Akihabara Accept (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-akihabara-accept-minimal-wear) Hidden $402 618 gems $1,007 1,549 gems 2.51x 2026-11-05 06:34 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=cartoon) [Sticker | Noodles sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-noodles) Hidden $402 618 gems $0.03 0.05 gems 0.00x 2026-11-09 22:39 UTC [M4A4 | Neo-Noir (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-neo-noir-factory-new) [Sensitive Young Man](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Sensitive%20Young%20Man) $402 618 gems $17.97 27.65 gems 0.04x 2026-11-09 22:39 UTC [Sticker | Noodles sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-noodles) Hidden $402 618 gems $0.03 0.05 gems 0.00x 2026-11-07 20:17 UTC [AUG | Akihabara Accept (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-akihabara-accept-minimal-wear) Hidden $402 618 gems $1,007 1,549 gems 2.51x 2026-11-07 20:17 UTC [AUG | Akihabara Accept (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-akihabara-accept-minimal-wear) Hidden $402 618 gems $1,007 1,549 gems 2.51x 2026-11-07 20:17 UTC [Sticker | Noodles sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-noodles) Hidden $402 618 gems $0.03 0.05 gems 0.00x 2026-11-07 20:17 UTC [Sticker | Kawaii Killer Terrorist sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-kawaii-killer-terrorist) Hidden $402 618 gems $0.45 0.69 gems 0.00x 2026-11-07 20:17 UTC [MP9 | Mount Fuji (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-mount-fuji-factory-new) [clepto holding](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/clepto%20holding) $402 618 gems $2.75 4.23 gems 0.01x 2026-11-07 20:17 UTC [AUG | Akihabara Accept (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-akihabara-accept-minimal-wear) Hidden $402 618 gems $1,007 1,549 gems 2.51x 2026-11-07 19:36 UTC [Sticker | Noodles sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-noodles) Hidden $402 618 gems $0.03 0.05 gems 0.00x 2026-11-07 19:36 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $402 | 90.00% | 10 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 46.0% Covert 3.0% violet 6.0% #4b69ff 6.0% Rare 29.0% remarkable 10.0% best hit $1,007 (2.51x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt