--- title: "Cashout Button case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Cashout Button ($405.88) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 9 items with odds, observed 56.83% over 221 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/cashout-button rendered: 2026-11-11T16:50Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Cashout Button](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/cashout-button) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Cashout Button A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/cashout-button?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/cashout-button?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/cashout-button) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/cashout-button?window=all) Price · $405.88 · 624 gems Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $365.28 from 9 items Observed RTP, 30d · 56.83% · 221 openings, odds method Variance · 7.3× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 20 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 78.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 3 openings · below min 7 days · 56.16% ±38.40 191 openings 30 days · 56.83% ±35.70 221 openings since tracking started · 56.83% ±35.70 221 openings -0.5% 193.5% 387.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/cashout-button?window=24h) | 3 | 80.57% ±306.4 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/cashout-button?window=7d) | 191 | 56.16% ±38.4 | −1.7σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/cashout-button) | 221 | 56.83% ±35.7 | −1.8σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/cashout-button?window=all) | 221 | 56.83% ±35.7 | −1.8σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 9 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 221 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AWP \| Dragon Lore (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $7,479 11,506 gems | 40.9% | 1 | 4.4 | 0.23× | | [★ Karambit \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $1,780 2,739 gems | 14.6% | 5 | 6.6 | 0.75× | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 25 | $1,345 2,070 gems | 14.7% | 7 | 8.8 | 0.79× | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Black Laminate (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-black-laminate-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $879 1,352 gems | 12.0% | 10 | 11.0 | 0.90× | | [AK-47 \| Hydroponic (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-hydroponic-well-worn) | 1 in 13 | $419 644 gems | 9.2% | 23 | 17.7 | 1.30× | | [M4A1-S \| Master Piece (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-master-piece-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $148 227 gems | 2.0% | 9 | 11.0 | 0.81× | | [Desert Eagle \| Ocean Drive (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-ocean-drive-factory-new) | 10.0% | $88.79 137 gems | 2.4% | 25 | 22.1 | 1.13× | | [SSG 08 \| Blood in the Water (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-blood-in-the-water-factory-new) | 26.0% | $37.76 58.09 gems | 2.7% | 54 | 57.5 | 0.94× | | [R8 Revolver \| Fade (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-fade-factory-new) | 37.0% | $13.42 20.64 gems | 1.4% | 87 | 81.8 | 1.06× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [AWP | Dragon Lore (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-factory-new) [Live @ Kick/JaekCreates](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Live%20%40%20Kick%2FJaekCreates) $406 624 gems $7,479 11,506 gems 18.43x 2026-11-04 19:52 UTC [★ Karambit | Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-fade-factory-new) Hidden $406 624 gems $1,780 2,739 gems 4.39x 2026-11-07 16:36 UTC [★ Karambit | Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-fade-factory-new) [news](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/news) $406 624 gems $1,780 2,739 gems 4.39x 2026-11-06 07:34 UTC [★ Karambit | Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-fade-factory-new) Hidden $406 624 gems $1,780 2,739 gems 4.39x 2026-11-04 23:59 UTC [★ Karambit | Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-fade-factory-new) Hidden $406 624 gems $1,780 2,739 gems 4.39x 2026-11-04 19:52 UTC [★ Karambit | Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-fade-factory-new) Hidden $406 624 gems $1,780 2,739 gems 4.39x 2026-11-04 00:22 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-fade-factory-new) Hidden $406 624 gems $1,345 2,070 gems 3.31x 2026-11-10 15:20 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-fade-factory-new) Hidden $406 624 gems $1,345 2,070 gems 3.31x 2026-11-07 16:36 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-fade-factory-new) Hidden $406 624 gems $1,345 2,070 gems 3.31x 2026-11-05 00:13 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-fade-factory-new) Hidden $406 624 gems $1,345 2,070 gems 3.31x 2026-11-04 23:59 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=cashout-button) [★ Butterfly Knife | Black Laminate (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-black-laminate-factory-new) Hidden $406 624 gems $879 1,352 gems 2.17x 2026-11-11 14:53 UTC [Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-ocean-drive-factory-new) Hidden $406 624 gems $88.79 137 gems 0.22x 2026-11-11 14:53 UTC [R8 Revolver | Fade (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-fade-factory-new) [Daxo](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Daxo) $406 624 gems $13.42 20.64 gems 0.03x 2026-11-11 14:53 UTC [AK-47 | Hydroponic (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-hydroponic-well-worn) Hidden $406 624 gems $419 644 gems 1.03x 2026-11-10 15:20 UTC [Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-ocean-drive-factory-new) Hidden $406 624 gems $88.79 137 gems 0.22x 2026-11-10 15:20 UTC [AK-47 | Hydroponic (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-hydroponic-well-worn) Hidden $406 624 gems $419 644 gems 1.03x 2026-11-10 15:20 UTC [R8 Revolver | Fade (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-fade-factory-new) Hidden $406 624 gems $13.42 20.64 gems 0.03x 2026-11-10 15:20 UTC [SSG 08 | Blood in the Water (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-blood-in-the-water-factory-new) Hidden $406 624 gems $37.76 58.09 gems 0.09x 2026-11-10 15:20 UTC [AK-47 | Hydroponic (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-hydroponic-well-worn) [Surgest](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Surgest) $406 624 gems $419 644 gems 1.03x 2026-11-10 15:20 UTC [SSG 08 | Blood in the Water (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-blood-in-the-water-factory-new) Hidden $406 624 gems $37.76 58.09 gems 0.09x 2026-11-10 15:20 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 01:59 UTC | $406 | 90.00% | 9 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 82.0% gold 5.0% classified 13.0% best hit $7,479 (18.43x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt