--- title: "Charming case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Charming ($5.21) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.96% from 13 items with odds, observed 88.89% over 1,864 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/charming rendered: 2026-11-11T13:18Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Charming](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/charming) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Charming A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/charming?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/charming?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/charming) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/charming?window=all) Price · $5.21 · 8.01 gems Advertised RTP · 89.96% · EV $4.68 from 13 items Observed RTP, 30d · 88.89% · 1,864 openings, odds method Variance · 2.7× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 10 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 80.3% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 88.21% ±21.42 229 openings 7 days · 89.87% ±8.09 1,607 openings 30 days · 88.89% ±7.51 1,864 openings since tracking started · 88.89% ±7.51 1,864 openings 66.0% 88.3% 110.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/charming?window=24h) | 229 | 88.21% ±21.4 | −0.2σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/charming?window=7d) | 1,607 | 89.87% ±8.09 | −0.0σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/charming) | 1,864 | 88.89% ±7.51 | −0.3σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/charming?window=all) | 1,864 | 88.89% ±7.51 | −0.3σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 13 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,890 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Charm \| Baby Karat T charm · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-baby-karat-t) | 1 in 80 | $48.50 74.61 gems | 12.9% | 19 | 23.6 | 0.80× | | [Charm \| Hot Howl charm · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-hot-howl) | 1 in 67 | $34.64 53.3 gems | 11.1% | 25 | 28.3 | 0.88× | | [Charm \| Semi-Precious charm · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-semi-precious) | 1 in 67 | $34.64 53.3 gems | 11.1% | 31 | 28.3 | 1.09× | | [Charm \| Hot Wurst charm · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-hot-wurst) | 1 in 40 | $23.79 36.6 gems | 12.7% | 56 | 47.2 | 1.19× | | [Charm \| Diamond Dog charm · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-diamond-dog) | 1 in 33 | $14.06 21.63 gems | 9.0% | 58 | 56.7 | 1.02× | | [Charm \| Titeenium AWP charm · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-titeenium-awp) | 1 in 20 | $10.04 15.45 gems | 10.7% | 100 | 94.5 | 1.06× | | [Charm \| Lil' Monster charm · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-lil-monster) | 1 in 20 | $6.96 10.7 gems | 7.4% | 73 | 94.5 | 0.77× | | [Charm \| Lil' Squirt charm · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-lil-squirt) | 1 in 13 | $4.60 7.08 gems | 7.4% | 126 | 141.7 | 0.89× | | [Charm \| Glamour Shot charm · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-glamour-shot) | 10.0% | $2.63 4.05 gems | 5.6% | 179 | 189.0 | 0.95× | | [Charm \| POP Art charm · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-pop-art) | 10.0% | $2.07 3.18 gems | 4.4% | 205 | 189.0 | 1.08× | | [Charm \| Disco MAC charm · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-disco-mac) | 10.0% | $1.81 2.78 gems | 3.9% | 199 | 189.0 | 1.05× | | [Charm \| Baby's AK charm · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-babys-ak) | 15.8% | $0.70 1.07 gems | 2.3% | 290 | 297.7 | 0.97× | | [Charm \| Lil' Cap Gun charm · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-lil-cap-gun) | 27.0% | $0.25 0.38 gems | 1.4% | 529 | 510.3 | 1.04× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=charming) [Charm | Lil' Cap Gun charm · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-lil-cap-gun) Hidden $5.21 8.01 gems $0.25 0.38 gems 0.05x 2026-11-11 12:39 UTC [Charm | Lil' Cap Gun charm · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-lil-cap-gun) Hidden $5.21 8.01 gems $0.25 0.38 gems 0.05x 2026-11-11 12:39 UTC [Charm | Lil' Cap Gun charm · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-lil-cap-gun) Hidden $5.21 8.01 gems $0.25 0.38 gems 0.05x 2026-11-11 12:39 UTC [Charm | POP Art charm · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-pop-art) Hidden $5.21 8.01 gems $2.07 3.18 gems 0.40x 2026-11-11 12:39 UTC [Charm | Disco MAC charm · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-disco-mac) Hidden $5.21 8.01 gems $1.81 2.78 gems 0.35x 2026-11-11 12:39 UTC [Charm | Lil' Cap Gun charm · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-lil-cap-gun) [Elizabeth](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Elizabeth) $5.21 8.01 gems $0.25 0.38 gems 0.05x 2026-11-11 12:39 UTC [Charm | Baby's AK charm · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-babys-ak) Hidden $5.21 8.01 gems $0.70 1.07 gems 0.13x 2026-11-11 10:49 UTC [Charm | POP Art charm · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-pop-art) Hidden $5.21 8.01 gems $2.07 3.18 gems 0.40x 2026-11-11 10:49 UTC [Charm | Disco MAC charm · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-disco-mac) Hidden $5.21 8.01 gems $1.81 2.78 gems 0.35x 2026-11-11 10:49 UTC [Charm | Disco MAC charm · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-disco-mac) Hidden $5.21 8.01 gems $1.81 2.78 gems 0.35x 2026-11-11 10:49 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $5.21 | 89.96% | 13 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed #eb4b4b 3.8% Ancient 1.5% rare 4.5% Legendary 5.0% uncommon 25.0% #d32ce6 7.5% #8847ff 10.0% Rare 42.8% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.96 on average: an expected loss of $10.04 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt