--- title: "Cheap Coinflip case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Cheap Coinflip ($3.72) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.86% from 10 items with odds, observed 90.94% over 2,857 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/cheap-coinflip rendered: 2026-11-11T18:29Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Cheap Coinflip](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/cheap-coinflip) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Cheap Coinflip A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/cheap-coinflip?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/cheap-coinflip?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/cheap-coinflip) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/cheap-coinflip?window=all) Price · $3.72 · 5.73 gems Advertised RTP · 89.86% · EV $3.35 from 10 items Observed RTP, 30d · 90.94% · 2,857 openings, odds method Variance · 0.8× · of price², per opening Tail share · 30.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 50.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 87.91% ±12.48 194 openings 7 days · 91.10% ±3.53 2,425 openings 30 days · 90.94% ±3.25 2,857 openings since tracking started · 90.94% ±3.25 2,857 openings 75.0% 88.0% 101.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/cheap-coinflip?window=24h) | 194 | 87.91% ±12.5 | −0.3σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/cheap-coinflip?window=7d) | 2,425 | 91.10% ±3.53 | +0.7σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/cheap-coinflip) | 2,857 | 90.94% ±3.25 | +0.6σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/cheap-coinflip?window=all) | 2,857 | 90.94% ±3.25 | +0.6σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 10 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 2,943 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [MAC-10 \| Stalker (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-stalker-well-worn) | 10.0% | $7.42 11.42 gems | 22.2% | 316 | 294.3 | 1.07× | | [USP-S \| The Traitor (Well-Worn) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-the-traitor-well-worn) | 10.0% | $6.99 10.75 gems | 20.9% | 266 | 294.3 | 0.90× | | [AWP \| Ice Coaled (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-ice-coaled-battle-scarred) | 10.0% | $6.50 10 gems | 19.4% | 283 | 294.3 | 0.96× | | [Glock-18 \| Gold Toof (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gold-toof-field-tested) | 10.0% | $6.37 9.8 gems | 19.0% | 299 | 294.3 | 1.02× | | [SSG 08 \| Big Iron (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-big-iron-well-worn) | 10.0% | $5.86 9.02 gems | 17.5% | 325 | 294.3 | 1.10× | | [Zeus x27 \| Electric Blue (Well-Worn) weapon · #5e98d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeus-x27-electric-blue-well-worn) | 10.0% | $0.09 0.14 gems | 0.3% | 306 | 294.3 | 1.04× | | [Tec-9 \| Citric Acid (Well-Worn) weapon · blueLight](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-citric-acid-well-worn) | 10.0% | $0.08 0.12 gems | 0.2% | 304 | 294.3 | 1.03× | | [M4A1-S \| Wash me plz (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-wash-me-plz-field-tested) | 10.0% | $0.07 0.11 gems | 0.2% | 275 | 294.3 | 0.93× | | [USP-S \| 27 (Battle-Scarred) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-27-battle-scarred) | 10.0% | $0.06 0.09 gems | 0.2% | 315 | 294.3 | 1.07× | | [USP-S \| PC-GRN (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-pc-grn-field-tested) | 10.0% | $0.03 0.04 gems | 0.1% | 254 | 294.3 | 0.86× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 17:55 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=cheap-coinflip) [Zeus x27 | Electric Blue (Well-Worn) weapon · #5e98d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeus-x27-electric-blue-well-worn) Hidden $3.72 5.73 gems $0.09 0.14 gems 0.02x 2026-11-11 18:29 UTC [SSG 08 | Big Iron (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-big-iron-well-worn) Hidden $3.72 5.73 gems $5.86 9.02 gems 1.57x 2026-11-11 18:29 UTC [USP-S | 27 (Battle-Scarred) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-27-battle-scarred) Hidden $3.72 5.73 gems $0.06 0.09 gems 0.02x 2026-11-11 18:29 UTC [Zeus x27 | Electric Blue (Well-Worn) weapon · #5e98d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeus-x27-electric-blue-well-worn) [Cookie! :) always has a loan!](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Cookie!%20%3A%29%20always%20has%20a%20loan!) $3.72 5.73 gems $0.09 0.14 gems 0.02x 2026-11-11 18:29 UTC [SSG 08 | Big Iron (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-big-iron-well-worn) Hidden $3.72 5.73 gems $5.86 9.02 gems 1.57x 2026-11-11 17:40 UTC [M4A1-S | Wash me plz (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-wash-me-plz-field-tested) Hidden $3.72 5.73 gems $0.07 0.11 gems 0.02x 2026-11-11 17:40 UTC [Tec-9 | Citric Acid (Well-Worn) weapon · blueLight](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-citric-acid-well-worn) Hidden $3.72 5.73 gems $0.08 0.12 gems 0.02x 2026-11-11 17:40 UTC [M4A1-S | Wash me plz (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-wash-me-plz-field-tested) Hidden $3.72 5.73 gems $0.07 0.11 gems 0.02x 2026-11-11 17:40 UTC [USP-S | 27 (Battle-Scarred) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-27-battle-scarred) Hidden $3.72 5.73 gems $0.06 0.09 gems 0.02x 2026-11-11 17:40 UTC [USP-S | 27 (Battle-Scarred) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-27-battle-scarred) [draco](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/draco) $3.72 5.73 gems $0.06 0.09 gems 0.02x 2026-11-11 17:40 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $3.72 | 89.86% | 10 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 10.0% red 20.0% pink 20.0% #5e98d9 10.0% blueLight 10.0% industrial 10.0% blue 10.0% #4b69ff 10.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.86 on average: an expected loss of $10.14 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt