--- title: "CHEAP MEGA 5% case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "CHEAP MEGA 5% ($0.48) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 1119.78% over 64 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/cheap-mega-5percent rendered: 2026-11-11T14:00Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [CHEAP MEGA 5%](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/cheap-mega-5percent) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · CHEAP MEGA 5% A case on Clash.gg, first seen 5 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/cheap-mega-5percent?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/cheap-mega-5percent?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/cheap-mega-5percent) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/cheap-mega-5percent?window=all) Price · $0.48 · 0.74 gems Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 1119.78% · 64 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 7 days · 64 openings · below min 30 days · 64 openings · below min since tracking started · 64 openings · below min -0.5% 1593.0% 3186.5% **Small sample.** 64 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/cheap-mega-5percent?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/cheap-mega-5percent?window=7d) | 64 | 1119.78% ±2066.1 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/cheap-mega-5percent) | 64 | 1119.78% ±2066.1 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/cheap-mega-5percent?window=all) | 64 | 1119.78% ±2066.1 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Clash.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Nomad Knife | Blue Steel (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-blue-steel-factory-new) Hidden $0.48 0.74 gems $324 499 gems 674.3x 2026-11-05 20:07 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=cheap-mega-5percent) [P250 | Sand Dune (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-field-tested) Hidden $0.48 0.74 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.01x 2026-11-05 20:25 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-field-tested) Hidden $0.48 0.74 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.01x 2026-11-05 20:25 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-field-tested) Hidden $0.48 0.74 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.01x 2026-11-05 20:25 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-field-tested) [RektByHase](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/RektByHase) $0.48 0.74 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.01x 2026-11-05 20:25 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-field-tested) Hidden $0.48 0.74 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.01x 2026-11-05 20:24 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-field-tested) Hidden $0.48 0.74 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.01x 2026-11-05 20:24 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-field-tested) Hidden $0.48 0.74 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.01x 2026-11-05 20:24 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-field-tested) [RektByHase](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/RektByHase) $0.48 0.74 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.01x 2026-11-05 20:24 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-field-tested) Hidden $0.48 0.74 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.01x 2026-11-05 20:22 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-field-tested) Hidden $0.48 0.74 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.01x 2026-11-05 20:22 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $324 (674.3x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 1119.8% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $1,119.78 on average: an expected loss of $0.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt