--- title: "Cheap Skate case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Cheap Skate ($1.08) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.89% from 9 items with odds, observed 87.54% over 24.3K openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/cheap-skate rendered: 2026-11-11T13:59Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Cheap Skate](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/cheap-skate) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Cheap Skate A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/cheap-skate?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/cheap-skate?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/cheap-skate) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/cheap-skate?window=all) Price · $1.08 · 1.66 gems Advertised RTP · 89.89% · EV $0.97 from 9 items Observed RTP, 30d · 87.54% · 24.3K openings, odds method Variance · 15.0× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 19 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 85.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 91.14% ±10.76 4,993 openings 7 days · 87.18% ±5.30 20.6K openings 30 days · 87.54% ±4.88 24.3K openings since tracking started · 87.54% ±4.88 24.3K openings 79.5% 91.0% 102.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/cheap-skate?window=24h) | 4,993 | 91.14% ±10.8 | +0.2σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/cheap-skate?window=7d) | 20.6K | 87.18% ±5.30 | −1.0σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/cheap-skate) | 24.3K | 87.54% ±4.88 | −0.9σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/cheap-skate?window=all) | 24.3K | 87.54% ±4.88 | −0.9σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 9 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 24.8K openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Gut Knife \| Black Laminate (Well-Worn) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-black-laminate-well-worn) | 1 in 500 | $78.53 121 gems | 16.2% | 45 | 49.7 | 0.91× | | [AWP \| Chrome Cannon (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-chrome-cannon-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $15.20 23.39 gems | 15.7% | 241 | 248.3 | 0.97× | | [P250 \| Asiimov (Factory New) weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-asiimov-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $12.23 18.82 gems | 12.6% | 266 | 248.3 | 1.07× | | [MP9 \| Arctic Tri-Tone (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-arctic-tri-tone-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $6.31 9.71 gems | 19.5% | 703 | 744.8 | 0.94× | | [Galil AR \| Eco (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-eco-minimal-wear) | 1 in 21 | $3.84 5.91 gems | 19.0% | 1,164 | 1191.6 | 0.98× | | [AK-47 \| Legion of Anubis (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-legion-of-anubis-battle-scarred) | 1 in 20 | $2.82 4.34 gems | 14.5% | 1,216 | 1241.3 | 0.98× | | [Sticker \| Mastermind sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-mastermind) | 15.0% | $0.07 0.1 gems | 1.0% | 3,778 | 3723.9 | 1.01× | | [Sticker \| XD sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-xd) | 25.0% | $0.03 0.05 gems | 0.8% | 6,290 | 6206.5 | 1.01× | | [Sticker \| Lefty (CT) sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-lefty-ct) | 45.0% | $0.01 0.02 gems | 0.6% | 11,123 | 11171.7 | 1.00× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Gut Knife | Black Laminate (Well-Worn) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-black-laminate-well-worn) Hidden $1.08 1.66 gems $78.53 121 gems 72.78x 2026-11-11 09:45 UTC [★ Gut Knife | Black Laminate (Well-Worn) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-black-laminate-well-worn) [easymoneyyyy](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/easymoneyyyy) $1.08 1.66 gems $78.53 121 gems 72.78x 2026-11-11 09:41 UTC [★ Gut Knife | Black Laminate (Well-Worn) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-black-laminate-well-worn) Hidden $1.08 1.66 gems $78.53 121 gems 72.78x 2026-11-11 00:15 UTC [★ Gut Knife | Black Laminate (Well-Worn) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-black-laminate-well-worn) Hidden $1.08 1.66 gems $78.53 121 gems 72.78x 2026-11-11 00:07 UTC [★ Gut Knife | Black Laminate (Well-Worn) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-black-laminate-well-worn) Hidden $1.08 1.66 gems $78.53 121 gems 72.78x 2026-11-11 00:00 UTC [★ Gut Knife | Black Laminate (Well-Worn) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-black-laminate-well-worn) Hidden $1.08 1.66 gems $78.53 121 gems 72.78x 2026-11-10 23:55 UTC [★ Gut Knife | Black Laminate (Well-Worn) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-black-laminate-well-worn) Hidden $1.08 1.66 gems $78.53 121 gems 72.78x 2026-11-10 23:11 UTC [★ Gut Knife | Black Laminate (Well-Worn) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-black-laminate-well-worn) [✪Adrijanović](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/%E2%9C%AAAdrijanovi%C4%87) $1.08 1.66 gems $78.53 121 gems 72.78x 2026-11-10 23:09 UTC [★ Gut Knife | Black Laminate (Well-Worn) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-black-laminate-well-worn) Hidden $1.08 1.66 gems $78.53 121 gems 72.78x 2026-11-10 22:33 UTC [★ Gut Knife | Black Laminate (Well-Worn) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-black-laminate-well-worn) Hidden $1.08 1.66 gems $78.53 121 gems 72.78x 2026-11-10 21:58 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=cheap-skate) [Sticker | Lefty (CT) sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-lefty-ct) Hidden $1.08 1.66 gems $0.01 0.02 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 13:48 UTC [Sticker | XD sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-xd) [VeryTired𐰁ᶻ𐰁ᶻ](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/VeryTired%F0%90%B0%81%E1%B6%BB%F0%90%B0%81%E1%B6%BB) $1.08 1.66 gems $0.03 0.05 gems 0.03x 2026-11-11 13:48 UTC [Sticker | Lefty (CT) sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-lefty-ct) Hidden $1.08 1.66 gems $0.01 0.02 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 13:30 UTC [Sticker | Lefty (CT) sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-lefty-ct) Hidden $1.08 1.66 gems $0.01 0.02 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 13:30 UTC [Sticker | Lefty (CT) sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-lefty-ct) Hidden $1.08 1.66 gems $0.01 0.02 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 13:30 UTC [Sticker | Mastermind sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-mastermind) Hidden $1.08 1.66 gems $0.07 0.1 gems 0.06x 2026-11-11 13:30 UTC [Sticker | Lefty (CT) sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-lefty-ct) Hidden $1.08 1.66 gems $0.01 0.02 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 13:30 UTC [Sticker | Lefty (CT) sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-lefty-ct) [Anonymous763873](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Anonymous763873) $1.08 1.66 gems $0.01 0.02 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 13:30 UTC [Sticker | Lefty (CT) sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-lefty-ct) Hidden $1.08 1.66 gems $0.01 0.02 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 12:52 UTC [Galil AR | Eco (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-eco-minimal-wear) Hidden $1.08 1.66 gems $3.84 5.91 gems 3.56x 2026-11-11 12:52 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $1.08 | 89.89% | 9 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed gold 0.2% red 6.0% other 1.0% restricted 3.0% classified 4.8% High Grade 15.0% #4b69ff 70.0% best hit $78.53 (72.78x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.89 on average: an expected loss of $10.11 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt