--- title: "Cheese's Curse case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Cheese's Curse ($62.07) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 90.82% over 387 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/cheeses-curse rendered: 2026-11-11T21:45Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Cheese's Curse](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/cheeses-curse) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Cheese's Curse A case on Clash.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/cheeses-curse?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/cheeses-curse?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/cheeses-curse) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/cheeses-curse?window=all) Price · $62.07 · 95.49 gems Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 90.82% · 387 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 228 openings · below min 7 days · 326 openings · below min 30 days · 387 openings · below min since tracking started · 387 openings · below min 59.0% 92.2% 125.5% **Small sample.** 387 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/cheeses-curse?window=24h) | 228 | 92.18% ±32.5 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/cheeses-curse?window=7d) | 326 | 91.11% ±29.4 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/cheeses-curse) | 387 | 90.82% ±26.3 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/cheeses-curse?window=all) | 387 | 90.82% ±26.3 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Clash.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [AWP | Medusa (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-medusa-well-worn) Hidden $62.07 95.49 gems $1,336 2,055 gems 21.52x 2026-11-11 16:52 UTC [AWP | Medusa (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-medusa-well-worn) Hidden $62.07 95.49 gems $1,336 2,055 gems 21.52x 2026-11-10 02:38 UTC [AWP | Medusa (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-medusa-well-worn) Hidden $62.07 95.49 gems $1,336 2,055 gems 21.52x 2026-11-05 23:07 UTC [M4A4 | Eye of Horus (Factory New) weapon · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-eye-of-horus-factory-new) Hidden $62.07 95.49 gems $1,043 1,604 gems 16.80x 2026-11-11 16:53 UTC [M4A4 | Eye of Horus (Factory New) weapon · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-eye-of-horus-factory-new) Hidden $62.07 95.49 gems $1,043 1,604 gems 16.80x 2026-11-11 16:52 UTC [AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-minimal-wear) Hidden $62.07 95.49 gems $777 1,195 gems 12.51x 2026-11-11 16:53 UTC [AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-minimal-wear) Hidden $62.07 95.49 gems $777 1,195 gems 12.51x 2026-11-03 00:22 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $62.07 95.49 gems $570 877 gems 9.18x 2026-11-03 00:07 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=cheeses-curse) [Sticker | Blue Gem (Glitter) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-blue-gem-glitter) Hidden $62.07 95.49 gems $3.74 5.75 gems 0.06x 2026-11-11 19:54 UTC [Sticker | Blue Gem (Glitter) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-blue-gem-glitter) Hidden $62.07 95.49 gems $3.74 5.75 gems 0.06x 2026-11-11 19:54 UTC [Sticker | Blue Gem (Glitter) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-blue-gem-glitter) Hidden $62.07 95.49 gems $3.74 5.75 gems 0.06x 2026-11-11 19:54 UTC [P250 | Nuclear Threat (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-nuclear-threat-factory-new) [WiSh\_OnE#moe](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/WiSh_OnE%23moe) $62.07 95.49 gems $126 194 gems 2.03x 2026-11-11 19:54 UTC [Sticker | Blue Gem (Glitter) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-blue-gem-glitter) Hidden $62.07 95.49 gems $3.74 5.75 gems 0.06x 2026-11-11 19:49 UTC [AWP | Asiimov (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-asiimov-well-worn) Hidden $62.07 95.49 gems $64.66 99.48 gems 1.04x 2026-11-11 19:49 UTC [AWP | Asiimov (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-asiimov-well-worn) Hidden $62.07 95.49 gems $64.66 99.48 gems 1.04x 2026-11-11 19:49 UTC [Sticker | Blue Gem (Glitter) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-blue-gem-glitter) [WiSh\_OnE#moe](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/WiSh_OnE%23moe) $62.07 95.49 gems $3.74 5.75 gems 0.06x 2026-11-11 19:49 UTC [Sticker | Blue Gem (Glitter) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-blue-gem-glitter) Hidden $62.07 95.49 gems $3.74 5.75 gems 0.06x 2026-11-11 16:53 UTC [Sticker | Blue Gem (Glitter) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-blue-gem-glitter) Hidden $62.07 95.49 gems $3.74 5.75 gems 0.06x 2026-11-11 16:53 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $1,336 (21.52x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.8% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.82 on average: an expected loss of $9.18 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt