---
title: "Chroma 2 Case case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Chroma 2 Case ($2.55) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.93% from 46 items with odds, observed 80.54% over 5,685 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/chroma-2-case
rendered: 2026-11-11T17:26Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Chroma 2 Case](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/chroma-2-case)

# [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Chroma 2 Case

A case on Clash.gg (cs2), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/chroma-2-case?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/chroma-2-case?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/chroma-2-case) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/chroma-2-case?window=all)

Price · $2.55 · 3.93 gems

Advertised RTP · 89.93% · EV $2.30 from 46 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 80.54% · 5,685 openings, odds method

Variance · 94.8× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 181 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 82.6% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 542 openings · below min

7 days · 75.90% ±27.82 4,706 openings

30 days · 80.54% ±25.31 5,685 openings

since tracking started · 80.54% ±25.31 5,685 openings

18.0% 100.8% 183.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/chroma-2-case?window=24h) | 542 | 100.81% ±82.0 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/chroma-2-case?window=7d) | 4,706 | 75.90% ±27.8 | −1.0σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/chroma-2-case) | 5,685 | 80.54% ±25.3 | −0.7σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/chroma-2-case?window=all) | 5,685 | 80.54% ±25.3 | −0.7σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 46 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 5,747 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Karambit \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $934 1,437 gems | 3.3% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $893 1,374 gems | 3.1% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Ultraviolet (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-ultraviolet-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $839 1,291 gems | 2.9% | 1 | 0.5 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $806 1,240 gems | 2.8% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $806 1,240 gems | 2.8% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $785 1,207 gems | 2.7% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $734 1,129 gems | 2.6% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Ultraviolet (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-ultraviolet-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $724 1,113 gems | 2.5% | 1 | 0.5 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $639 982 gems | 2.2% | 1 | 0.5 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Damascus Steel (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-damascus-steel-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $556 856 gems | 1.9% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Damascus Steel (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-damascus-steel-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $491 756 gems | 1.7% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Rust Coat (Factory New) knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-rust-coat-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $397 610 gems | 1.4% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $373 574 gems | 1.3% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $358 550 gems | 1.2% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Ultraviolet (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-ultraviolet-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $354 544 gems | 1.2% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Rust Coat (Factory New) knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-rust-coat-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $345 531 gems | 1.2% | 2 | 0.5 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $296 455 gems | 1.0% | 1 | 0.5 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $280 430 gems | 1.0% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $272 419 gems | 0.9% | 1 | 0.5 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $239 367 gems | 0.8% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Ultraviolet (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-ultraviolet-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $237 365 gems | 0.8% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Damascus Steel (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-damascus-steel-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $199 306 gems | 0.7% | 1 | 0.5 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Damascus Steel (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-damascus-steel-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $143 220 gems | 0.5% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Ultraviolet (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-ultraviolet-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $142 218 gems | 0.5% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Rust Coat (Factory New) knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-rust-coat-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $137 210 gems | 0.5% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $109 168 gems | 0.4% | 2 | 0.5 | — |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $105 161 gems | 0.4% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Rust Coat (Factory New) knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-rust-coat-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $104 160 gems | 0.4% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $102 158 gems | 0.4% | 3 | 0.5 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Hyper Beast (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hyper-beast-factory-new) | 1 in 313 | $77.73 120 gems | 10.8% | 15 | 18.4 | 0.82× |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Damascus Steel (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-damascus-steel-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $69.32 107 gems | 0.2% | 1 | 0.5 | — |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Rust Coat (Factory New) knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-rust-coat-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $62.99 96.91 gems | 0.2% | 2 | 0.5 | — |
| [Galil AR \| Eco (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-eco-minimal-wear) | 1 in 94 | $18.47 28.41 gems | 8.6% | 72 | 61.3 | 1.18× |
| [FAMAS \| Djinn (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-djinn-factory-new) | 1 in 94 | $6.29 9.67 gems | 2.9% | 67 | 61.3 | 1.09× |
| [MAC-10 \| Neon Rider (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-neon-rider-factory-new) | 1 in 313 | $6.10 9.39 gems | 0.9% | 28 | 18.4 | 1.52× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Monkey Business (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-monkey-business-minimal-wear) | 1 in 94 | $5.57 8.57 gems | 2.6% | 54 | 61.3 | 0.88× |
| [AK-47 \| Elite Build (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-elite-build-factory-new) | 13.3% | $3.06 4.7 gems | 17.7% | 761 | 765.5 | 0.99× |
| [MAG-7 \| Heat (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-heat-factory-new) | 1 in 25 | $1.63 2.5 gems | 2.8% | 236 | 229.6 | 1.03× |
| [AWP \| Worm God (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-worm-god-factory-new) | 1 in 25 | $1.38 2.13 gems | 2.4% | 214 | 229.6 | 0.93× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Pole Position (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-pole-position-factory-new) | 1 in 25 | $1.18 1.82 gems | 2.1% | 218 | 229.6 | 0.95× |
| [P250 \| Valence (Factory New) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-valence-factory-new) | 13.3% | $0.33 0.51 gems | 1.9% | 758 | 765.5 | 0.99× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Bronze Deco (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-bronze-deco-factory-new) | 13.3% | $0.24 0.37 gems | 1.4% | 758 | 765.5 | 0.99× |
| [UMP-45 \| Grand Prix (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-grand-prix-field-tested) | 1 in 25 | $0.20 0.3 gems | 0.3% | 232 | 229.6 | 1.01× |
| [MP7 \| Armor Core (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-armor-core-factory-new) | 13.3% | $0.14 0.22 gems | 0.8% | 772 | 765.5 | 1.01× |
| [Sawed-Off \| Origami (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-origami-factory-new) | 13.3% | $0.14 0.21 gems | 0.8% | 793 | 765.5 | 1.04× |
| [Negev \| Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-man-o-war-minimal-wear) | 13.3% | $0.06 0.09 gems | 0.3% | 753 | 766.3 | 0.98× |

Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ Karambit | Ultraviolet (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-ultraviolet-factory-new) [PEETER-PIKKKÕRV](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/PEETER-PIKKK%C3%95RV) $2.55 3.93 gems $839 1,291 gems 328.5x 2026-11-09 09:35 UTC

[★ M9 Bayonet | Ultraviolet (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-ultraviolet-factory-new) Hidden $2.55 3.93 gems $724 1,113 gems 283.3x 2026-11-03 10:50 UTC

[★ M9 Bayonet | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-tiger-tooth-factory-new) Hidden $2.55 3.93 gems $639 982 gems 250.0x 2026-11-11 17:25 UTC

[★ M9 Bayonet | Rust Coat (Factory New) knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-rust-coat-factory-new) Hidden $2.55 3.93 gems $345 531 gems 135.2x 2026-11-07 18:24 UTC

[★ M9 Bayonet | Rust Coat (Factory New) knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-rust-coat-factory-new) Hidden $2.55 3.93 gems $345 531 gems 135.2x 2026-11-04 12:39 UTC

[★ Bayonet | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-tiger-tooth-factory-new) Hidden $2.55 3.93 gems $296 455 gems 115.8x 2026-11-07 22:39 UTC

[★ Flip Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) Hidden $2.55 3.93 gems $272 419 gems 106.6x 2026-11-05 10:12 UTC

[★ Bayonet | Damascus Steel (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-damascus-steel-factory-new) Hidden $2.55 3.93 gems $199 306 gems 77.89x 2026-11-07 17:46 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=chroma-2-case)

[★ M9 Bayonet | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-tiger-tooth-factory-new) Hidden $2.55 3.93 gems $639 982 gems 250.0x 2026-11-11 17:25 UTC

[MP7 | Armor Core (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-armor-core-factory-new) Hidden $2.55 3.93 gems $0.14 0.22 gems 0.06x 2026-11-11 17:25 UTC

[MP7 | Armor Core (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-armor-core-factory-new) Hidden $2.55 3.93 gems $0.14 0.22 gems 0.06x 2026-11-11 17:25 UTC

[AK-47 | Elite Build (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-elite-build-factory-new) Hidden $2.55 3.93 gems $3.06 4.7 gems 1.20x 2026-11-11 17:25 UTC

[CZ75-Auto | Pole Position (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-pole-position-factory-new) Hidden $2.55 3.93 gems $1.18 1.82 gems 0.46x 2026-11-11 17:25 UTC

[Sawed-Off | Origami (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-origami-factory-new) [Timmybanditcamp](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Timmybanditcamp) $2.55 3.93 gems $0.14 0.21 gems 0.05x 2026-11-11 17:25 UTC

[Sawed-Off | Origami (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-origami-factory-new) Hidden $2.55 3.93 gems $0.14 0.21 gems 0.05x 2026-11-11 17:25 UTC

[AK-47 | Elite Build (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-elite-build-factory-new) Hidden $2.55 3.93 gems $3.06 4.7 gems 1.20x 2026-11-11 17:25 UTC

[MP7 | Armor Core (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-armor-core-factory-new) Hidden $2.55 3.93 gems $0.14 0.22 gems 0.06x 2026-11-11 17:25 UTC

[Negev | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-man-o-war-minimal-wear) Hidden $2.55 3.93 gems $0.06 0.09 gems 0.02x 2026-11-11 17:25 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $2.55 | 89.93% | 46 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed Covert 0.0% covert 0.8% sunny 0.0% other 0.0% classified 3.2% mil spec 40.0% Mythical 4.0% restricted 4.0% #8847ff 4.0% milspec 13.3% violet 4.0% #4b69ff 26.7% best hit $839 (328.5x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.93 on average: an expected loss of $10.07 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt