--- title: "Clarity case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Clarity ($58.82) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.99% from 10 items with odds, observed 90.44% over 479 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/clarity rendered: 2026-11-11T16:56Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Clarity](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/clarity) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Clarity A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/clarity?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/clarity?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/clarity) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/clarity?window=all) Price · $58.82 · 90.49 gems Advertised RTP · 89.99% · EV $52.93 from 10 items Observed RTP, 30d · 90.44% · 479 openings, odds method Variance · 4.4× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 17 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 85.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 45 openings · below min 7 days · 89.65% ±20.04 419 openings 30 days · 90.44% ±18.75 479 openings since tracking started · 90.44% ±18.75 479 openings 8.0% 69.8% 131.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/clarity?window=24h) | 45 | 69.74% ±61.2 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/clarity?window=7d) | 419 | 89.65% ±20.0 | −0.0σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/clarity) | 479 | 90.44% ±18.7 | +0.0σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/clarity?window=all) | 479 | 90.44% ±18.7 | +0.0σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 10 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 479 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [(Emerald) ★ Bowie Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/emerald-bowie-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $756 1,163 gems | 14.3% | 3 | 4.8 | 0.63× | | [Souvenir MAG-7 \| Bulldozer (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-mag-7-bulldozer-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $545 839 gems | 20.6% | 12 | 9.6 | 1.25× | | [Sticker \| 100 Thieves (Foil) \| Boston 2018 sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-100-thieves-foil-boston-2018) | 1 in 33 | $317 488 gems | 18.0% | 16 | 14.4 | 1.11× | | [StatTrak™ P2000 \| Ocean Foam (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p2000-ocean-foam-minimal-wear) | 1 in 25 | $228 351 gems | 17.2% | 18 | 19.2 | 0.94× | | [StatTrak™ MAC-10 \| Stalker (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-stalker-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $131 201 gems | 12.4% | 27 | 23.9 | 1.13× | | [StatTrak™ SCAR-20 \| Cyrex (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-scar-20-cyrex-factory-new) | 10.0% | $55.11 84.78 gems | 10.4% | 38 | 47.9 | 0.79× | | [Sticker \| OpTic Gaming (Foil) \| London 2018 sticker · #d2d2d2](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-optic-gaming-foil-london-2018) | 10.0% | $18.06 27.78 gems | 3.4% | 54 | 47.9 | 1.13× | | [MP9 \| Hydra (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-hydra-factory-new) | 15.0% | $8.11 12.48 gems | 2.3% | 66 | 71.8 | 0.92× | | [Negev \| Power Loader (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-power-loader-factory-new) | 25.0% | $2.65 4.08 gems | 1.3% | 115 | 119.7 | 0.96× | | [Sticker \| Mister Chief sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-mister-chief) | 25.0% | $0.37 0.57 gems | 0.2% | 130 | 119.8 | 1.09× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [(Emerald) ★ Bowie Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/emerald-bowie-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $58.82 90.49 gems $756 1,163 gems 12.85x 2026-11-06 04:48 UTC [(Emerald) ★ Bowie Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/emerald-bowie-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $58.82 90.49 gems $756 1,163 gems 12.85x 2026-11-06 03:47 UTC [(Emerald) ★ Bowie Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) other](https://gambatracker.com/items/emerald-bowie-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $58.82 90.49 gems $756 1,163 gems 12.85x 2026-11-04 14:48 UTC [Souvenir MAG-7 | Bulldozer (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-mag-7-bulldozer-factory-new) [everythingroi](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/everythingroi) $58.82 90.49 gems $545 839 gems 9.27x 2026-11-11 16:16 UTC [Souvenir MAG-7 | Bulldozer (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-mag-7-bulldozer-factory-new) [FarelEnergy skinbet.gg](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/FarelEnergy%20skinbet.gg) $58.82 90.49 gems $545 839 gems 9.27x 2026-11-11 12:42 UTC [Souvenir MAG-7 | Bulldozer (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-mag-7-bulldozer-factory-new) [efe](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/efe) $58.82 90.49 gems $545 839 gems 9.27x 2026-11-09 22:10 UTC [Souvenir MAG-7 | Bulldozer (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-mag-7-bulldozer-factory-new) [kalu](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/kalu) $58.82 90.49 gems $545 839 gems 9.27x 2026-11-08 23:51 UTC [Souvenir MAG-7 | Bulldozer (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-mag-7-bulldozer-factory-new) Hidden $58.82 90.49 gems $545 839 gems 9.27x 2026-11-06 05:01 UTC [Souvenir MAG-7 | Bulldozer (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-mag-7-bulldozer-factory-new) Hidden $58.82 90.49 gems $545 839 gems 9.27x 2026-11-06 04:36 UTC [Souvenir MAG-7 | Bulldozer (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-mag-7-bulldozer-factory-new) Hidden $58.82 90.49 gems $545 839 gems 9.27x 2026-11-06 03:58 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=clarity) [Sticker | Mister Chief sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-mister-chief) Hidden $58.82 90.49 gems $0.37 0.57 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 16:17 UTC [Sticker | Mister Chief sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-mister-chief) Hidden $58.82 90.49 gems $0.37 0.57 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 16:17 UTC [Sticker | Mister Chief sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-mister-chief) Hidden $58.82 90.49 gems $0.37 0.57 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 16:17 UTC [StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Stalker (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-stalker-factory-new) Hidden $58.82 90.49 gems $131 201 gems 2.23x 2026-11-11 16:17 UTC [Sticker | Mister Chief sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-mister-chief) Hidden $58.82 90.49 gems $0.37 0.57 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 16:17 UTC [Sticker | Mister Chief sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-mister-chief) [everythingroi](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/everythingroi) $58.82 90.49 gems $0.37 0.57 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 16:17 UTC [MP9 | Hydra (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-hydra-factory-new) Hidden $58.82 90.49 gems $8.11 12.48 gems 0.14x 2026-11-11 16:16 UTC [Sticker | Mister Chief sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-mister-chief) Hidden $58.82 90.49 gems $0.37 0.57 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 16:16 UTC [Negev | Power Loader (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-power-loader-factory-new) Hidden $58.82 90.49 gems $2.65 4.08 gems 0.05x 2026-11-11 16:16 UTC [Negev | Power Loader (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-power-loader-factory-new) Hidden $58.82 90.49 gems $2.65 4.08 gems 0.05x 2026-11-11 16:16 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 01:59 UTC | $58.82 | 89.99% | 10 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed other 1.0% restricted 2.0% exotic 3.0% classified 29.0% covert 5.0% #d2d2d2 10.0% #8847ff 25.0% Rare 25.0% best hit $756 (12.85x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.99 on average: an expected loss of $10.01 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt