--- title: "Clash Royalty case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Clash Royalty ($88.37) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 10 items with odds, observed 127.83% over 678 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/clash-royalty rendered: 2026-11-11T19:15Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Clash Royalty](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/clash-royalty) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Clash Royalty A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/clash-royalty?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/clash-royalty?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/clash-royalty) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/clash-royalty?window=all) Price · $88.37 · 136 gems Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $79.53 from 10 items Observed RTP, 30d · 127.83% · 678 openings, odds method Variance · 9.8× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 20 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 92.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 58 openings · below min 7 days · 137.02% ±25.38 582 openings 30 days · 127.83% ±23.51 678 openings since tracking started · 127.83% ±23.51 678 openings 89.5% 182.0% 274.5% **Outside band, 30 days.** Advertised 90.00% sits outside the 95% band of the observed openings (104.32% – 151.35%, 678 openings, 30 days). The band comes from the site's own odds and values; the figure is a fact about these openings, not a verdict on the case. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/clash-royalty?window=24h) | 58 | 193.64% ±80.4 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/clash-royalty?window=7d) | 582 | 137.02% ±25.4 | +3.6σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/clash-royalty) | 678 | 127.83% ±23.5 | +3.2σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/clash-royalty?window=all) | 678 | 127.83% ±23.5 | +3.2σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 10 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 720 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [M4A1-S \| Knight (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-knight-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $1,812 2,787 gems | 45.6% | 24 | 14.4 | 1.67× | | [Sticker \| King on the Field sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-king-on-the-field) | 1 in 33 | $683 1,050 gems | 25.7% | 25 | 21.6 | 1.16× | | [CZ75-Auto \| Chalice (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-chalice-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $283 436 gems | 10.7% | 25 | 21.6 | 1.16× | | [P2000 \| Chainmail (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-chainmail-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $66.18 102 gems | 2.5% | 31 | 21.6 | 1.44× | | [FAMAS \| Prime Conspiracy (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-prime-conspiracy-factory-new) | 1 in 11 | $47.67 73.34 gems | 5.4% | 75 | 64.8 | 1.16× | | [USP-S \| Royal Blue (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-royal-blue-factory-new) | 10.0% | $34.26 52.71 gems | 4.3% | 59 | 72.0 | 0.82× | | [M4A1-S \| Golden Coil (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-golden-coil-battle-scarred) | 10.0% | $16.15 24.85 gems | 2.0% | 63 | 72.0 | 0.88× | | [AWP \| Chromatic Aberration (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-chromatic-aberration-factory-new) | 10.0% | $8.57 13.18 gems | 1.1% | 80 | 72.0 | 1.11× | | [M4A4 \| The Coalition (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-the-coalition-battle-scarred) | 25.0% | $5.06 7.79 gems | 1.6% | 164 | 180.0 | 0.91× | | [FAMAS \| Pulse (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-pulse-factory-new) | 25.0% | $3.54 5.44 gems | 1.1% | 174 | 180.0 | 0.97× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 17:55 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [M4A1-S | Knight (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-knight-factory-new) Hidden $88.37 136 gems $1,812 2,787 gems 20.50x 2026-11-11 18:30 UTC [M4A1-S | Knight (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-knight-factory-new) Hidden $88.37 136 gems $1,812 2,787 gems 20.50x 2026-11-11 18:30 UTC [M4A1-S | Knight (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-knight-factory-new) Hidden $88.37 136 gems $1,812 2,787 gems 20.50x 2026-11-11 16:46 UTC [M4A1-S | Knight (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-knight-factory-new) Hidden $88.37 136 gems $1,812 2,787 gems 20.50x 2026-11-11 13:16 UTC [M4A1-S | Knight (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-knight-factory-new) Hidden $88.37 136 gems $1,812 2,787 gems 20.50x 2026-11-10 19:40 UTC [M4A1-S | Knight (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-knight-factory-new) [Bottavious](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Bottavious) $88.37 136 gems $1,812 2,787 gems 20.50x 2026-11-10 19:17 UTC [M4A1-S | Knight (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-knight-factory-new) Hidden $88.37 136 gems $1,812 2,787 gems 20.50x 2026-11-10 19:11 UTC [M4A1-S | Knight (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-knight-factory-new) Hidden $88.37 136 gems $1,812 2,787 gems 20.50x 2026-11-09 23:29 UTC [M4A1-S | Knight (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-knight-factory-new) Hidden $88.37 136 gems $1,812 2,787 gems 20.50x 2026-11-09 23:29 UTC [M4A1-S | Knight (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-knight-factory-new) Hidden $88.37 136 gems $1,812 2,787 gems 20.50x 2026-11-09 03:31 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=clash-royalty) [M4A1-S | Knight (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-knight-factory-new) Hidden $88.37 136 gems $1,812 2,787 gems 20.50x 2026-11-11 18:30 UTC [FAMAS | Pulse (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-pulse-factory-new) Hidden $88.37 136 gems $3.54 5.44 gems 0.04x 2026-11-11 18:30 UTC [FAMAS | Pulse (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-pulse-factory-new) Hidden $88.37 136 gems $3.54 5.44 gems 0.04x 2026-11-11 18:30 UTC [FAMAS | Pulse (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-pulse-factory-new) Hidden $88.37 136 gems $3.54 5.44 gems 0.04x 2026-11-11 18:30 UTC [M4A1-S | Knight (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-knight-factory-new) Hidden $88.37 136 gems $1,812 2,787 gems 20.50x 2026-11-11 18:30 UTC [FAMAS | Pulse (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-pulse-factory-new) [HayzeusC](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/HayzeusC) $88.37 136 gems $3.54 5.44 gems 0.04x 2026-11-11 18:30 UTC [FAMAS | Pulse (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-pulse-factory-new) Hidden $88.37 136 gems $3.54 5.44 gems 0.04x 2026-11-11 18:21 UTC [AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-chromatic-aberration-factory-new) Hidden $88.37 136 gems $8.57 13.18 gems 0.10x 2026-11-11 18:21 UTC [FAMAS | Pulse (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-pulse-factory-new) Hidden $88.37 136 gems $3.54 5.44 gems 0.04x 2026-11-11 18:21 UTC [FAMAS | Pulse (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-pulse-factory-new) Hidden $88.37 136 gems $3.54 5.44 gems 0.04x 2026-11-11 18:21 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $88.37 | 90.00% | 10 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed classified 2.0% high 3.0% restricted 28.0% mil spec 3.0% violet 9.0% industrial 10.0% covert 20.0% red 25.0% best hit $1,812 (20.50x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt