---
title: "Clutch Case case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Clutch Case ($3.71) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.86% from 41 items with odds, observed 86.93% over 23K openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/clutch-case
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:54Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Clutch Case](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/clutch-case)

# [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Clutch Case

A case on Clash.gg (cs2), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/clutch-case?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/clutch-case?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/clutch-case) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/clutch-case?window=all)

Price · $3.71 · 5.7 gems

Advertised RTP · 89.86% · EV $3.33 from 41 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 86.93% · 23K openings, odds method

Variance · 958.3× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 3,333 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 96.2% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 6,688 openings · below min

7 days · 84.10% ±42.59 20.3K openings

30 days · 86.93% ±40.03 23K openings

since tracking started · 86.93% ±40.03 23K openings

-0.5% 72.8% 146.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/clutch-case?window=24h) | 6,688 | 71.15% ±74.2 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/clutch-case?window=7d) | 20.3K | 84.10% ±42.6 | −0.3σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/clutch-case) | 23K | 86.93% ±40.0 | −0.1σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/clutch-case?window=all) | 23K | 86.93% ±40.0 | −0.1σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 41 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 23K openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Vice (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-vice-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $9,581 14,741 gems | 28.8% | 1 | 2.3 | 0.44× |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| King Snake (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-king-snake-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $4,334 6,668 gems | 13.0% | 2 | 2.3 | 0.87× |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Amphibious (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-amphibious-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $2,919 4,491 gems | 8.8% | 5 | 2.3 | 2.18× |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Fade (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $2,057 3,164 gems | 6.2% | 2 | 2.3 | 0.87× |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Omega (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-omega-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $1,687 2,595 gems | 5.1% | 3 | 2.3 | 1.31× |
| [★ Hand Wraps \| Cobalt Skulls (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-cobalt-skulls-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $1,154 1,775 gems | 3.5% | 2 | 2.3 | 0.87× |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Crimson Web (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $1,044 1,607 gems | 3.1% | 4 | 2.3 | 1.74× |
| [★ Moto Gloves \| POW! (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-pow-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $803 1,235 gems | 2.4% | 1 | 2.3 | 0.44× |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Imperial Plaid (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-imperial-plaid-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $801 1,232 gems | 2.4% | 5 | 2.3 | 2.18× |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Mogul (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-mogul-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $571 879 gems | 1.7% | 1 | 2.3 | 0.44× |
| [★ Moto Gloves \| Polygon (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-polygon-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $533 820 gems | 1.6% | 2 | 2.3 | 0.87× |
| [★ Hand Wraps \| Overprint (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-overprint-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $506 779 gems | 1.5% | 6 | 2.3 | 2.61× |
| [★ Moto Gloves \| Turtle (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-turtle-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $483 743 gems | 1.4% | 3 | 2.3 | 1.31× |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Bronze Morph (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-bronze-morph-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $423 650 gems | 1.3% | 4 | 2.3 | 1.74× |
| [★ Hydra Gloves \| Case Hardened (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hydra-gloves-case-hardened-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $322 496 gems | 1.0% | 0 | 2.3 | 0.00× |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Overtake (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-overtake-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $303 466 gems | 0.9% | 3 | 2.3 | 1.31× |
| [★ Moto Gloves \| Transport (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-transport-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $242 372 gems | 0.7% | 3 | 2.3 | 1.31× |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Buckshot (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-buckshot-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $192 295 gems | 0.6% | 2 | 2.3 | 0.87× |
| [★ Hydra Gloves \| Emerald (Factory New) gloves · Extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hydra-gloves-emerald-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $191 293 gems | 0.6% | 0 | 2.3 | 0.00× |
| [★ Hydra Gloves \| Mangrove (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hydra-gloves-mangrove-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $188 289 gems | 0.6% | 2 | 2.3 | 0.87× |
| [★ Hand Wraps \| Duct Tape (Factory New) gloves · Extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-duct-tape-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $185 284 gems | 0.6% | 3 | 2.3 | 1.31× |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Racing Green (Factory New) gloves · Extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-racing-green-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $170 261 gems | 0.5% | 3 | 2.3 | 1.31× |
| [★ Hand Wraps \| Arboreal (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-arboreal-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $155 239 gems | 0.5% | 2 | 2.3 | 0.87× |
| [★ Hydra Gloves \| Rattler (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hydra-gloves-rattler-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $118 181 gems | 0.4% | 2 | 2.3 | 0.87× |
| [M4A4 \| Neo-Noir (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-neo-noir-factory-new) | 1 in 313 | $17.92 27.57 gems | 1.7% | 72 | 73.5 | 0.98× |
| [USP-S \| Cortex (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cortex-factory-new) | 1 in 94 | $4.93 7.58 gems | 1.6% | 255 | 245.0 | 1.04× |
| [AUG \| Stymphalian (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-stymphalian-factory-new) | 1 in 94 | $4.06 6.24 gems | 1.3% | 256 | 245.0 | 1.05× |
| [AWP \| Mortis (Factory New) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-mortis-factory-new) | 1 in 94 | $4.02 6.18 gems | 1.3% | 246 | 245.0 | 1.00× |
| [MP7 \| Bloodsport (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-bloodsport-factory-new) | 1 in 313 | $2.09 3.21 gems | 0.2% | 70 | 73.5 | 0.95× |
| [Glock-18 \| Moonrise (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-moonrise-factory-new) | 1 in 31 | $0.89 1.37 gems | 0.9% | 735 | 734.4 | 1.00× |
| [MAG-7 \| SWAG-7 (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-swag-7-factory-new) | 1 in 31 | $0.85 1.31 gems | 0.8% | 753 | 734.4 | 1.03× |
| [Nova \| Wild Six (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-wild-six-factory-new) | 1 in 31 | $0.82 1.26 gems | 0.8% | 727 | 734.4 | 0.99× |
| [Negev \| Lionfish (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-lionfish-factory-new) | 1 in 31 | $0.71 1.09 gems | 0.7% | 696 | 734.4 | 0.95× |
| [UMP-45 \| Arctic Wolf (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-arctic-wolf-factory-new) | 1 in 31 | $0.70 1.08 gems | 0.7% | 720 | 734.4 | 0.98× |
| [R8 Revolver \| Grip (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-grip-factory-new) | 11.4% | $0.14 0.22 gems | 0.5% | 2,603 | 2623.6 | 0.99× |
| [MP9 \| Black Sand (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-factory-new) | 11.4% | $0.14 0.22 gems | 0.5% | 2,680 | 2623.6 | 1.02× |
| [P2000 \| Urban Hazard (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-urban-hazard-factory-new) | 11.4% | $0.14 0.21 gems | 0.5% | 2,662 | 2623.6 | 1.01× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Flame Test (Factory New) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-flame-test-factory-new) | 11.4% | $0.12 0.19 gems | 0.4% | 2,631 | 2623.6 | 1.00× |
| [XM1014 \| Oxide Blaze (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-oxide-blaze-factory-new) | 11.4% | $0.12 0.19 gems | 0.4% | 2,656 | 2623.6 | 1.01× |
| [PP-Bizon \| Night Riot (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-night-riot-factory-new) | 11.4% | $0.12 0.19 gems | 0.4% | 2,617 | 2623.6 | 1.00× |
| [SG 553 \| Aloha (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-aloha-factory-new) | 11.4% | $0.12 0.18 gems | 0.4% | 2,540 | 2628.9 | 0.97× |

Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ Sport Gloves | Vice (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-vice-factory-new) Hidden $3.71 5.7 gems $9,581 14,741 gems 2,586x 2026-11-10 11:21 UTC

[★ Driver Gloves | King Snake (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-king-snake-factory-new) Hidden $3.71 5.7 gems $4,334 6,668 gems 1,170x 2026-11-08 00:24 UTC

[★ Driver Gloves | King Snake (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-king-snake-factory-new) Hidden $3.71 5.7 gems $4,334 6,668 gems 1,170x 2026-11-03 21:48 UTC

[★ Sport Gloves | Amphibious (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-amphibious-factory-new) [eSk;](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/eSk%3B) $3.71 5.7 gems $2,919 4,491 gems 787.8x 2026-11-10 21:07 UTC

[★ Sport Gloves | Amphibious (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-amphibious-factory-new) Hidden $3.71 5.7 gems $2,919 4,491 gems 787.8x 2026-11-07 17:29 UTC

[★ Sport Gloves | Amphibious (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-amphibious-factory-new) Hidden $3.71 5.7 gems $2,919 4,491 gems 787.8x 2026-11-06 16:09 UTC

[★ Sport Gloves | Amphibious (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-amphibious-factory-new) Hidden $3.71 5.7 gems $2,919 4,491 gems 787.8x 2026-11-04 22:57 UTC

[★ Sport Gloves | Amphibious (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-amphibious-factory-new) Hidden $3.71 5.7 gems $2,919 4,491 gems 787.8x 2026-11-03 22:26 UTC

[★ Specialist Gloves | Fade (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-fade-factory-new) Hidden $3.71 5.7 gems $2,057 3,164 gems 555.1x 2026-11-10 19:17 UTC

[★ Specialist Gloves | Fade (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-fade-factory-new) Hidden $3.71 5.7 gems $2,057 3,164 gems 555.1x 2026-11-09 02:20 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=clutch-case)

[SG 553 | Aloha (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-aloha-factory-new) Hidden $3.71 5.7 gems $0.12 0.18 gems 0.03x 2026-11-11 13:41 UTC

[P2000 | Urban Hazard (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-urban-hazard-factory-new) Hidden $3.71 5.7 gems $0.14 0.21 gems 0.04x 2026-11-11 13:41 UTC

[Nova | Wild Six (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-wild-six-factory-new) [Winksy89](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Winksy89) $3.71 5.7 gems $0.82 1.26 gems 0.22x 2026-11-11 13:41 UTC

[R8 Revolver | Grip (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-grip-factory-new) Hidden $3.71 5.7 gems $0.14 0.22 gems 0.04x 2026-11-11 13:39 UTC

[MP9 | Black Sand (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-factory-new) Hidden $3.71 5.7 gems $0.14 0.22 gems 0.04x 2026-11-11 13:39 UTC

[SG 553 | Aloha (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-aloha-factory-new) Hidden $3.71 5.7 gems $0.12 0.18 gems 0.03x 2026-11-11 13:39 UTC

[P2000 | Urban Hazard (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-urban-hazard-factory-new) Hidden $3.71 5.7 gems $0.14 0.21 gems 0.04x 2026-11-11 13:39 UTC

[UMP-45 | Arctic Wolf (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-arctic-wolf-factory-new) Hidden $3.71 5.7 gems $0.70 1.08 gems 0.19x 2026-11-11 13:39 UTC

[MP9 | Black Sand (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-factory-new) [Winksy89](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Winksy89) $3.71 5.7 gems $0.14 0.22 gems 0.04x 2026-11-11 13:39 UTC

[P2000 | Urban Hazard (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-urban-hazard-factory-new) Hidden $3.71 5.7 gems $0.14 0.21 gems 0.04x 2026-11-11 13:37 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 01:59 UTC | $3.71 | 89.86% | 41 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed extraordinary 0.2% legendary 0.1% Extraordinary 0.0% covert 0.6% classified 2.1% Legendary 1.1% restricted 12.8% Mythical 3.2% mil spec 34.3% Rare 22.8% milspec 11.4% blue 11.4% best hit $9,581 (2,586x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.86 on average: an expected loss of $10.14 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt