--- title: "Clutch or Kick case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Clutch or Kick ($6.05) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.96% from 10 items with odds, observed 90.10% over 1,832 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/clutch-or-kick rendered: 2026-11-11T22:02Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Clutch or Kick](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/clutch-or-kick) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Clutch or Kick A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 8 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/clutch-or-kick?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/clutch-or-kick?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/clutch-or-kick) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/clutch-or-kick?window=all) Price · $6.05 · 9.31 gems Advertised RTP · 89.96% · EV $5.44 from 10 items Observed RTP, 30d · 90.10% · 1,832 openings, odds method Variance · 5.4× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 15 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 90.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 101.84% ±18.92 575 openings 7 days · 90.10% ±10.60 1,832 openings 30 days · 90.10% ±10.60 1,832 openings since tracking started · 90.10% ±10.60 1,832 openings 79.0% 100.3% 121.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/clutch-or-kick?window=24h) | 575 | 101.84% ±18.9 | +1.2σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/clutch-or-kick?window=7d) | 1,832 | 90.10% ±10.6 | +0.0σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/clutch-or-kick) | 1,832 | 90.10% ±10.6 | +0.0σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/clutch-or-kick?window=all) | 1,832 | 90.10% ±10.6 | +0.0σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 10 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,838 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AWP \| Hyper Beast (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-hyper-beast-factory-new) | 1 in 30 | $64.35 99 gems | 39.4% | 67 | 61.2 | 1.09× | | [M4A4 \| Neo-Noir (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-neo-noir-factory-new) | 1 in 30 | $43.74 67.29 gems | 26.8% | 54 | 61.2 | 0.88× | | [AK-47 \| Point Disarray (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-point-disarray-factory-new) | 1 in 30 | $25.60 39.38 gems | 15.7% | 57 | 61.4 | 0.93× | | [Sticker \| NQZ (Glitter) \| Shanghai 2024 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-nqz-glitter-shanghai-2024) | 1 in 20 | $5.08 7.81 gems | 4.7% | 92 | 91.9 | 1.00× | | [Sticker \| Lotus (Glitter) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-lotus-glitter) | 1 in 20 | $3.07 4.72 gems | 2.8% | 98 | 91.9 | 1.07× | | [Sticker \| ultimate (Glitter) \| Shanghai 2024 sticker · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ultimate-glitter-shanghai-2024) | 10.0% | $1.58 2.43 gems | 2.9% | 203 | 183.8 | 1.10× | | [Sticker \| Blue Gem (Glitter) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-blue-gem-glitter) | 10.0% | $1.32 2.03 gems | 2.4% | 179 | 183.8 | 0.97× | | [Sticker \| m0NESY (Glitter) \| Copenhagen 2024 sticker · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-m0nesy-glitter-copenhagen-2024) | 20.0% | $0.79 1.22 gems | 2.9% | 357 | 367.6 | 0.97× | | [Sticker \| Eternal Fire (Glitter) \| Antwerp 2022 sticker · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-eternal-fire-glitter-antwerp-2022) | 20.0% | $0.52 0.8 gems | 1.9% | 387 | 367.6 | 1.05× | | [Sticker \| aNdu (Glitter) \| Shanghai 2024 sticker · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-andu-glitter-shanghai-2024) | 20.0% | $0.15 0.23 gems | 0.5% | 344 | 367.6 | 0.94× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 17:55 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=clutch-or-kick) [Sticker | Eternal Fire (Glitter) | Antwerp 2022 sticker · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-eternal-fire-glitter-antwerp-2022) Hidden $6.05 9.31 gems $0.52 0.8 gems 0.09x 2026-11-11 21:23 UTC [Sticker | Blue Gem (Glitter) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-blue-gem-glitter) [AlpinLoot](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/AlpinLoot) $6.05 9.31 gems $1.32 2.03 gems 0.22x 2026-11-11 21:23 UTC [Sticker | m0NESY (Glitter) | Copenhagen 2024 sticker · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-m0nesy-glitter-copenhagen-2024) Hidden $6.05 9.31 gems $0.79 1.22 gems 0.13x 2026-11-11 21:15 UTC [Sticker | Lotus (Glitter) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-lotus-glitter) Hidden $6.05 9.31 gems $3.07 4.72 gems 0.51x 2026-11-11 21:15 UTC [Sticker | m0NESY (Glitter) | Copenhagen 2024 sticker · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-m0nesy-glitter-copenhagen-2024) Hidden $6.05 9.31 gems $0.79 1.22 gems 0.13x 2026-11-11 21:15 UTC [Sticker | Eternal Fire (Glitter) | Antwerp 2022 sticker · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-eternal-fire-glitter-antwerp-2022) Hidden $6.05 9.31 gems $0.52 0.8 gems 0.09x 2026-11-11 21:15 UTC [Sticker | Eternal Fire (Glitter) | Antwerp 2022 sticker · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-eternal-fire-glitter-antwerp-2022) Hidden $6.05 9.31 gems $0.52 0.8 gems 0.09x 2026-11-11 21:15 UTC [Sticker | Blue Gem (Glitter) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-blue-gem-glitter) [M3RL1N](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/M3RL1N) $6.05 9.31 gems $1.32 2.03 gems 0.22x 2026-11-11 21:15 UTC [AK-47 | Point Disarray (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-point-disarray-factory-new) Hidden $6.05 9.31 gems $25.60 39.38 gems 4.23x 2026-11-11 20:57 UTC [M4A4 | Neo-Noir (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-neo-noir-factory-new) Hidden $6.05 9.31 gems $43.74 67.29 gems 7.23x 2026-11-11 20:57 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 8 Nov, 17:38 UTC | $6.05 | 89.96% | 10 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 6.7% classified 3.3% remarkable 20.0% Mythical 70.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.96 on average: an expected loss of $10.04 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt