--- title: "Coffee Break case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Coffee Break ($11.08) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.95% from 10 items with odds, observed 86.91% over 976 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/coffee-break rendered: 2026-11-11T13:32Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Coffee Break](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/coffee-break) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Coffee Break A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/coffee-break?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/coffee-break?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/coffee-break) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/coffee-break?window=all) Price · $11.08 · 17.04 gems Advertised RTP · 89.95% · EV $9.96 from 10 items Observed RTP, 30d · 86.91% · 976 openings, odds method Variance · 1.7× · of price², per opening Tail share · 20.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 70.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 74.89% ±13.65 358 openings 7 days · 82.21% ±8.79 864 openings 30 days · 86.91% ±8.27 976 openings since tracking started · 86.91% ±8.27 976 openings 60.5% 78.3% 96.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/coffee-break?window=24h) | 358 | 74.89% ±13.7 | −2.2σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/coffee-break?window=7d) | 864 | 82.21% ±8.79 | −1.7σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/coffee-break) | 976 | 86.91% ±8.27 | −0.7σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/coffee-break?window=all) | 976 | 86.91% ±8.27 | −0.7σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 10 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 982 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [MP9 \| Latte Rush (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-latte-rush-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $54.84 84.37 gems | 27.5% | 44 | 49.1 | 0.90× | | [P2000 \| Scorpion (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-scorpion-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $42.39 65.21 gems | 21.3% | 42 | 49.1 | 0.86× | | [Five-SeveN \| Copper Galaxy (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-copper-galaxy-factory-new) | 10.0% | $20.18 31.05 gems | 20.3% | 110 | 98.2 | 1.12× | | [Glock-18 \| Ifrit Lattice (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-ifrit-lattice-factory-new) | 10.0% | $14.61 22.47 gems | 14.7% | 99 | 98.2 | 1.01× | | [P250 \| Crimson Kimono (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-crimson-kimono-minimal-wear) | 10.0% | $9.20 14.16 gems | 9.2% | 92 | 98.2 | 0.94× | | [Tec-9 \| Brass (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-brass-field-tested) | 10.0% | $3.54 5.44 gems | 3.5% | 113 | 98.2 | 1.15× | | [USP-S \| Lead Conduit (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-lead-conduit-minimal-wear) | 10.0% | $1.44 2.21 gems | 1.4% | 107 | 98.2 | 1.09× | | [CZ75-Auto \| Circaetus (Factory New) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-circaetus-factory-new) | 10.0% | $1.12 1.73 gems | 1.1% | 95 | 98.2 | 0.97× | | [Desert Eagle \| Light Rail (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-light-rail-field-tested) | 15.0% | $0.59 0.91 gems | 0.9% | 139 | 147.3 | 0.94× | | [R8 Revolver \| Mauve Aside (Factory New) weapon · #b0c3d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-mauve-aside-factory-new) | 15.0% | $0.03 0.04 gems | 0.0% | 141 | 147.3 | 0.96× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=coffee-break) [Desert Eagle | Light Rail (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-light-rail-field-tested) Hidden $11.08 17.04 gems $0.59 0.91 gems 0.05x 2026-11-11 13:30 UTC [Five-SeveN | Copper Galaxy (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-copper-galaxy-factory-new) Hidden $11.08 17.04 gems $20.18 31.05 gems 1.82x 2026-11-11 13:30 UTC [P2000 | Scorpion (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-scorpion-minimal-wear) Hidden $11.08 17.04 gems $42.39 65.21 gems 3.83x 2026-11-11 13:30 UTC [Glock-18 | Ifrit Lattice (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-ifrit-lattice-factory-new) Hidden $11.08 17.04 gems $14.61 22.47 gems 1.32x 2026-11-11 13:30 UTC [USP-S | Lead Conduit (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-lead-conduit-minimal-wear) Hidden $11.08 17.04 gems $1.44 2.21 gems 0.13x 2026-11-11 13:30 UTC [P250 | Crimson Kimono (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-crimson-kimono-minimal-wear) [Lost Panda](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Lost%20Panda) $11.08 17.04 gems $9.20 14.16 gems 0.83x 2026-11-11 13:30 UTC [USP-S | Lead Conduit (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-lead-conduit-minimal-wear) Hidden $11.08 17.04 gems $1.44 2.21 gems 0.13x 2026-11-11 13:30 UTC [Desert Eagle | Light Rail (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-light-rail-field-tested) Hidden $11.08 17.04 gems $0.59 0.91 gems 0.05x 2026-11-11 13:30 UTC [CZ75-Auto | Circaetus (Factory New) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-circaetus-factory-new) Hidden $11.08 17.04 gems $1.12 1.73 gems 0.10x 2026-11-11 13:30 UTC [P2000 | Scorpion (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-scorpion-minimal-wear) Hidden $11.08 17.04 gems $42.39 65.21 gems 3.83x 2026-11-11 13:30 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $11.08 | 89.95% | 10 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed rare 5.0% restricted 30.0% violet 10.0% industrial 10.0% mil spec 10.0% Rare 10.0% milspec 10.0% #b0c3d9 15.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.95 on average: an expected loss of $10.05 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt