--- title: "Cold as Ice case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Cold as Ice ($226.10) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 6 items with odds, observed 135.38% over 24 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/cold-as-ice rendered: 2026-11-11T13:43Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Cold as Ice](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/cold-as-ice) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Cold as Ice A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/cold-as-ice?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/cold-as-ice?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/cold-as-ice) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/cold-as-ice?window=all) Price · $226.10 · 348 gems Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $203.49 from 6 items Observed RTP, 30d · 135.38% · 24 openings, odds method Variance · 1.8× · of price², per opening Tail share · 15.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 70.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 24 openings · below min 30 days · 24 openings · below min since tracking started · 24 openings · below min 81.5% 135.5% 189.5% **Small sample.** 24 openings and 3.6 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/cold-as-ice?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/cold-as-ice?window=7d) | 24 | 135.38% ±53.4 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/cold-as-ice) | 24 | 135.38% ±53.4 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/cold-as-ice?window=all) | 24 | 135.38% ±53.4 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 6 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 24 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Bright Water (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-bright-water-factory-new) | 15.0% | $770 1,185 gems | 56.8% | 5 | 3.6 | 1.39× | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Snow Leopard (Field-Tested) gloves · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-snow-leopard-field-tested) | 15.0% | $536 825 gems | 39.5% | 6 | 3.6 | 1.67× | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Ice Coaled (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-ice-coaled-factory-new) | 10.0% | $64.95 99.93 gems | 3.2% | 4 | 2.4 | 1.67× | | [Galil AR \| Stone Cold (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-stone-cold-factory-new) | 20.0% | $3.39 5.22 gems | 0.3% | 4 | 4.8 | 0.83× | | [Galil AR \| Winter Forest (Well-Worn) weapon · #5E98D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-winter-forest-well-worn) | 20.0% | $1.77 2.73 gems | 0.2% | 3 | 4.8 | 0.63× | | [Tec-9 \| Ice Cap (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-ice-cap-minimal-wear) | 20.0% | $0.06 0.09 gems | 0.0% | 2 | 4.8 | 0.42× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Butterfly Knife | Bright Water (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-bright-water-factory-new) [Ramen Noodles](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Ramen%20Noodles) $226 348 gems $770 1,185 gems 3.41x 2026-11-05 20:58 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Bright Water (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-bright-water-factory-new) Hidden $226 348 gems $770 1,185 gems 3.41x 2026-11-05 20:58 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Bright Water (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-bright-water-factory-new) Hidden $226 348 gems $770 1,185 gems 3.41x 2026-11-05 20:56 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Bright Water (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-bright-water-factory-new) Hidden $226 348 gems $770 1,185 gems 3.41x 2026-11-05 20:56 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Bright Water (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-bright-water-factory-new) Hidden $226 348 gems $770 1,185 gems 3.41x 2026-11-05 20:54 UTC [★ Driver Gloves | Snow Leopard (Field-Tested) gloves · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-snow-leopard-field-tested) Hidden $226 348 gems $536 825 gems 2.37x 2026-11-08 23:53 UTC [★ Driver Gloves | Snow Leopard (Field-Tested) gloves · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-snow-leopard-field-tested) Hidden $226 348 gems $536 825 gems 2.37x 2026-11-08 23:53 UTC [★ Driver Gloves | Snow Leopard (Field-Tested) gloves · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-snow-leopard-field-tested) Hidden $226 348 gems $536 825 gems 2.37x 2026-11-05 20:58 UTC [★ Driver Gloves | Snow Leopard (Field-Tested) gloves · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-snow-leopard-field-tested) Hidden $226 348 gems $536 825 gems 2.37x 2026-11-05 20:58 UTC [★ Driver Gloves | Snow Leopard (Field-Tested) gloves · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-snow-leopard-field-tested) Hidden $226 348 gems $536 825 gems 2.37x 2026-11-05 20:56 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=cold-as-ice) [Galil AR | Winter Forest (Well-Worn) weapon · #5E98D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-winter-forest-well-worn) Hidden $226 348 gems $1.77 2.73 gems 0.01x 2026-11-08 23:53 UTC [★ Driver Gloves | Snow Leopard (Field-Tested) gloves · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-snow-leopard-field-tested) Hidden $226 348 gems $536 825 gems 2.37x 2026-11-08 23:53 UTC [★ Driver Gloves | Snow Leopard (Field-Tested) gloves · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-snow-leopard-field-tested) Hidden $226 348 gems $536 825 gems 2.37x 2026-11-08 23:53 UTC [StatTrak™ AK-47 | Ice Coaled (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-ice-coaled-factory-new) Hidden $226 348 gems $64.95 99.93 gems 0.29x 2026-11-08 23:53 UTC [Tec-9 | Ice Cap (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-ice-cap-minimal-wear) Hidden $226 348 gems $0.06 0.09 gems 0.00x 2026-11-08 23:53 UTC [Tec-9 | Ice Cap (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-ice-cap-minimal-wear) [colin](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/colin) $226 348 gems $0.06 0.09 gems 0.00x 2026-11-08 23:53 UTC [★ Driver Gloves | Snow Leopard (Field-Tested) gloves · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-snow-leopard-field-tested) Hidden $226 348 gems $536 825 gems 2.37x 2026-11-05 20:58 UTC [Galil AR | Winter Forest (Well-Worn) weapon · #5E98D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-winter-forest-well-worn) Hidden $226 348 gems $1.77 2.73 gems 0.01x 2026-11-05 20:58 UTC [Galil AR | Stone Cold (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-stone-cold-factory-new) Hidden $226 348 gems $3.39 5.22 gems 0.02x 2026-11-05 20:58 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Bright Water (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-bright-water-factory-new) Hidden $226 348 gems $770 1,185 gems 3.41x 2026-11-05 20:58 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $226 | 90.00% | 6 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 15.0% sunny 15.0% Classified 10.0% restricted 20.0% #5E98D9 20.0% Rare 20.0% best hit $770 (3.41x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt