--- title: "Color Hunt case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Color Hunt ($102.38) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 11 items with odds, observed 83.74% over 761 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/color-hunt rendered: 2026-11-11T18:45Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Color Hunt](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/color-hunt) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Color Hunt A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/color-hunt?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/color-hunt?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/color-hunt) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/color-hunt?window=all) Price · $102.38 · 158 gems Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $92.14 from 11 items Observed RTP, 30d · 83.74% · 761 openings, odds method Variance · 13.6× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 33 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 93.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 75 openings · below min 7 days · 84.24% ±28.70 635 openings 30 days · 83.74% ±26.22 761 openings since tracking started · 83.74% ±26.22 761 openings 1.0% 85.0% 169.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/color-hunt?window=24h) | 75 | 84.92% ±83.5 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/color-hunt?window=7d) | 635 | 84.24% ±28.7 | −0.4σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/color-hunt) | 761 | 83.74% ±26.2 | −0.5σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/color-hunt?window=all) | 761 | 83.74% ±26.2 | −0.5σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 11 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 848 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Huntsman Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $2,475 3,807 gems | 26.9% | 8 | 8.5 | 0.94× | | [★ Huntsman Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $2,125 3,270 gems | 23.1% | 12 | 8.5 | 1.42× | | [★ Huntsman Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $1,978 3,044 gems | 21.5% | 12 | 8.5 | 1.42× | | [★ Huntsman Knife \| Lore (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $403 621 gems | 8.8% | 13 | 17.0 | 0.77× | | [★ Huntsman Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $323 496 gems | 7.0% | 19 | 17.0 | 1.12× | | [Souvenir UMP-45 \| Fade (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ump-45-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $68.01 105 gems | 1.5% | 20 | 17.0 | 1.18× | | [P90 \| Death by Kitty (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-death-by-kitty-minimal-wear) | 1 in 25 | $41.74 64.22 gems | 1.8% | 41 | 33.9 | 1.21× | | [MAC-10 \| Fade (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 13 | $33.31 51.24 gems | 2.9% | 81 | 67.8 | 1.19× | | [R8 Revolver \| Fade (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-fade-factory-new) | 16.0% | $15.67 24.1 gems | 2.7% | 119 | 135.7 | 0.88× | | [MP7 \| Fade (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-fade-factory-new) | 31.0% | $9.24 14.21 gems | 3.1% | 264 | 262.9 | 1.00× | | [P250 \| Visions (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-visions-battle-scarred) | 32.0% | $2.42 3.73 gems | 0.8% | 271 | 271.4 | 1.00× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 17:55 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Huntsman Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $102 158 gems $2,475 3,807 gems 24.17x 2026-11-10 23:23 UTC [★ Huntsman Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $102 158 gems $2,475 3,807 gems 24.17x 2026-11-07 20:15 UTC [★ Huntsman Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $102 158 gems $2,475 3,807 gems 24.17x 2026-11-06 21:16 UTC [★ Huntsman Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $102 158 gems $2,475 3,807 gems 24.17x 2026-11-06 18:30 UTC [★ Huntsman Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) [smiffingtable](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/smiffingtable) $102 158 gems $2,475 3,807 gems 24.17x 2026-11-05 10:35 UTC [★ Huntsman Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $102 158 gems $2,475 3,807 gems 24.17x 2026-11-05 03:45 UTC [★ Huntsman Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $102 158 gems $2,475 3,807 gems 24.17x 2026-11-05 01:52 UTC [★ Huntsman Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) [SERIOGA](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/SERIOGA) $102 158 gems $2,475 3,807 gems 24.17x 2026-11-04 20:01 UTC [★ Huntsman Knife | Doppler (Factory New) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $102 158 gems $2,125 3,270 gems 20.76x 2026-11-10 23:24 UTC [★ Huntsman Knife | Doppler (Factory New) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $102 158 gems $2,125 3,270 gems 20.76x 2026-11-08 16:20 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=color-hunt) [P90 | Death by Kitty (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-death-by-kitty-minimal-wear) Hidden $102 158 gems $41.74 64.22 gems 0.41x 2026-11-10 23:43 UTC [P250 | Visions (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-visions-battle-scarred) Hidden $102 158 gems $2.42 3.73 gems 0.02x 2026-11-10 23:43 UTC [P90 | Death by Kitty (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-death-by-kitty-minimal-wear) Hidden $102 158 gems $41.74 64.22 gems 0.41x 2026-11-10 23:43 UTC [MP7 | Fade (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-fade-factory-new) Hidden $102 158 gems $9.24 14.21 gems 0.09x 2026-11-10 23:43 UTC [MP7 | Fade (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-fade-factory-new) Hidden $102 158 gems $9.24 14.21 gems 0.09x 2026-11-10 23:43 UTC [★ Huntsman Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) [Helqxz](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Helqxz) $102 158 gems $323 496 gems 3.15x 2026-11-10 23:43 UTC [★ Huntsman Knife | Lore (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-lore-factory-new) Hidden $102 158 gems $403 621 gems 3.94x 2026-11-10 23:24 UTC [MP7 | Fade (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-fade-factory-new) Hidden $102 158 gems $9.24 14.21 gems 0.09x 2026-11-10 23:24 UTC [MAC-10 | Fade (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-fade-factory-new) Hidden $102 158 gems $33.31 51.24 gems 0.33x 2026-11-10 23:24 UTC [P250 | Visions (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-visions-battle-scarred) Hidden $102 158 gems $2.42 3.73 gems 0.02x 2026-11-10 23:24 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 01:59 UTC | $102 | 90.00% | 11 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed sunny 1.0% #ffd700 2.0% covert 24.0% classified 2.0% mil spec 8.0% restricted 31.0% pink 32.0% best hit $2,475 (24.17x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt