--- title: "Come Up case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Come Up ($1.50) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.74% from 6 items with odds, observed 90.30% over 7,856 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/come-up rendered: 2026-11-11T13:32Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Come Up](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/come-up) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Come Up A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/come-up?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/come-up?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/come-up) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/come-up?window=all) Price · $1.50 · 2.31 gems Advertised RTP · 89.74% · EV $1.35 from 6 items Observed RTP, 30d · 90.30% · 7,856 openings, odds method Variance · 1.0× · of price², per opening Tail share · 20.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 60.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 93.69% ±5.63 1,198 openings 7 days · 90.06% ±2.33 7,004 openings 30 days · 90.30% ±2.20 7,856 openings since tracking started · 90.30% ±2.20 7,856 openings 87.0% 93.5% 100.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/come-up?window=24h) | 1,198 | 93.69% ±5.63 | +1.4σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/come-up?window=7d) | 7,004 | 90.06% ±2.33 | +0.3σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/come-up) | 7,856 | 90.30% ±2.20 | +0.5σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/come-up?window=all) | 7,856 | 90.30% ±2.20 | +0.5σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 6 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 7,978 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [USP-S \| Purple DDPAT (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-purple-ddpat-factory-new) | 10.0% | $3.89 5.99 gems | 28.9% | 782 | 797.8 | 0.98× | | [AK-47 \| Cartel (Well-Worn) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-cartel-well-worn) | 10.0% | $3.68 5.66 gems | 27.3% | 832 | 797.8 | 1.04× | | [R8 Revolver \| Llama Cannon (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-llama-cannon-minimal-wear) | 20.0% | $2.19 3.37 gems | 32.5% | 1,597 | 1595.6 | 1.00× | | [StatTrak™ Sawed-Off \| Serenity (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sawed-off-serenity-field-tested) | 10.0% | $1.46 2.24 gems | 10.8% | 809 | 797.8 | 1.01× | | [MP5-SD \| Dirt Drop (Well-Worn) weapon · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-dirt-drop-well-worn) | 25.0% | $0.02 0.03 gems | 0.4% | 1,955 | 1994.5 | 0.98× | | [P250 \| Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) | 25.0% | \<$0.01 0.01 gems | 0.1% | 2,003 | 1994.6 | 1.00× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=come-up) [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $1.50 2.31 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:28 UTC [MP5-SD | Dirt Drop (Well-Worn) weapon · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-dirt-drop-well-worn) [Sjefen sjøl](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Sjefen%20sj%C3%B8l) $1.50 2.31 gems $0.02 0.03 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 13:28 UTC [USP-S | Purple DDPAT (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-purple-ddpat-factory-new) Hidden $1.50 2.31 gems $3.89 5.99 gems 2.59x 2026-11-11 13:28 UTC [MP5-SD | Dirt Drop (Well-Worn) weapon · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-dirt-drop-well-worn) [Sjefen sjøl](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Sjefen%20sj%C3%B8l) $1.50 2.31 gems $0.02 0.03 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 13:28 UTC [MP5-SD | Dirt Drop (Well-Worn) weapon · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-dirt-drop-well-worn) Hidden $1.50 2.31 gems $0.02 0.03 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 13:28 UTC [AK-47 | Cartel (Well-Worn) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-cartel-well-worn) [Sjefen sjøl](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Sjefen%20sj%C3%B8l) $1.50 2.31 gems $3.68 5.66 gems 2.45x 2026-11-11 13:28 UTC [R8 Revolver | Llama Cannon (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-llama-cannon-minimal-wear) Hidden $1.50 2.31 gems $2.19 3.37 gems 1.46x 2026-11-11 13:28 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) [Sjefen sjøl](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Sjefen%20sj%C3%B8l) $1.50 2.31 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:28 UTC [AK-47 | Cartel (Well-Worn) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-cartel-well-worn) Hidden $1.50 2.31 gems $3.68 5.66 gems 2.45x 2026-11-11 13:28 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) [Sjefen sjøl](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Sjefen%20sj%C3%B8l) $1.50 2.31 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:28 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $1.50 | 89.74% | 6 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed mil spec 10.0% #d32ee6 10.0% classified 20.0% Restricted 10.0% #B0C3D9 25.0% consumer 25.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.7% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.74 on average: an expected loss of $10.26 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt